Week 1 Nfl Lines Up At Thegreek

[Justin7]

Would rather tease Pitt if it were -7.5 or -8.5.

I can write you a thesis on NFL teasers. Maybe I will this fall

[SBR Lou]

I can write you a thesis on NFL teasers. Maybe I will this fall

I'm all ears.

I pretty much just do what Stanford Wong says, with regard to the teases, teams that are -7.5 to -8.5, or underdogs to the tune of +1.5 to +2.5. I never tease more than two teams, or very rarely, and I go for the standard 6pts.

I like playing them at books such as 5d or FF where the 6pters have no juice, however I think they're conscious of the teases because they are usually a half pt off from Wong's limitations. The -110 6pt books usually give you the parameters needed.

[Justin7]

5Dimes is a "sharp" teaser book. You think you're getting the best of it, but they shade their lines to punish sharp teaser players.

Look for a book that has +100 on 2-teamers, or +180 on 3 teamers. These are very comperable, and a lot of -110 books will offer +180 on 3 teamers.

First fidelity (Betpop.com) is a fantastic book for teasers, as well as parlays (2 teamers pay +280). I consider this a mandatory out. It's only rated B-, but I am not aware of any complaints with them in the last year (or longer where they were in the "wrong").

There are several situations outside of wong teasers that are profitable. Do your own due diligence. Look very closely at games with low totals.

[SBR Lou]

There are several situations outside of wong teasers that are profitable. Do your own due diligence. Look very closely at games with low totals.

I'd much rather have someone spell it all out for me.

Come on, Justin. I've posted here daily for long enough and enough hours to have a pro such as yourself help me become uber rich at teasers and NFL betting...

You may share your secrets by PM out of pity and another soul will not be informed...

[Justin7]

Look at the moneyline of the favorite you are teasing down.

If you have a 7-pt fav with a total of 37, you might see an ML of -300/+270.

Expect it to land on the "1" about 2% of the time. Can you spell a-r-b-i-t-r-a-g-e? With low totals, it's not uncommon to see MLs like this on 7, or even 6x. With a total of 6x, you can tease down to -0.5, and take a ML of more than +250. Free money is a wonderful think.

If you need someone to "insure" the "1", I can arrange this for large limits (I used to pay individuals to do this, and arb my entire bankroll on stuff like this when I was "young"). If you're worried about ties, you can insure that also. Just ask matchbook or pinnacle to put up a 2-way market on it.

[SBR Lou]

Thanks for the reply.

I have heard or read about teasing the low total games, but never sprinkled those in with Wong. I pretty much did those exclusively, but this year I will definitely branch out. I really want it to be a profitable season, so I'm going to try to focus, stay disciplined, and not chase.

I will bookmark your comments here and then take another look as the season comes closer.

[gm2022]

If alex Smith Starts all bet any line all year against the 49ers!!!

[seaborneq]

I still need to do my homework and all, however The KC does look temping to me +14.5

These lines are currently posted at TheGreek:

None of those lines will be valid in September. Preseason and injuries makes those lines obsolete.

[MadCapper]

The VIKINGS will beat the Packers!

[bigboydan]

None of those lines will be valid in September. Preseason and injuries makes those lines obsolete.

For the most part that is probably a very fair assessment sir. So if you like anything early you need to get down ASAP before that happens.

[diogee]

If alex Smith Starts all bet any line all year against the 49ers!!!

C'mon no faith in Smith and the Niners...sure he had a terrible year but was injured for the better majority of it and played a good deal of games with the injury before sitting out for the rest of the year. I think we will be decent this year...just hoping Smith can improve from what he did a couple years ago. Davis is a great target for him if he stays healthy...still need a little help at WR but I think the defense is really coming around. I didn't know anything about handicapping last year but only laid a bet on the Niners in the last game against TB but feel their lines might be a little inflated for a good majority of the year so might pick my spots as a gambler and not a fan.

[Bet Shooter]

Look at the moneyline of the favorite you are teasing down.

If you have a 7-pt fav with a total of 37, you might see an ML of -300/+270.

Expect it to land on the "1" about 2% of the time. Can you spell a-r-b-i-t-r-a-g-e? With low totals, it's not uncommon to see MLs like this on 7, or even 6x. With a total of 6x, you can tease down to -0.5, and take a ML of more than +250. Free money is a wonderful think.

If you need someone to "insure" the "1", I can arrange this for large limits (I used to pay individuals to do this, and arb my entire bankroll on stuff like this when I was "young"). If you're worried about ties, you can insure that also. Just ask matchbook or pinnacle to put up a 2-way market on it.

Bump
Thanks for the tip.

[bigboydan]

I'm gonna have to remember to bump this thread when we get closer to football season. Just for the fact of all the valuable info posted by Justin.

[dwaechte]

Alex Smith is terrible. He'd need to take a huge step up this year to be a passable NFL starter.

[flyingillini]

I still need to do my homework and all, however The KC does look temping to me +14.5

These lines are currently posted at TheGreek:

I am a bears fan but Indy will probably kill them the first week. Should be a good bet to take indy.

[bigboydan]

I am a bears fan but Indy will probably kill them the first week. Should be a good bet to take indy.

I'm not sold on that prediction sir. I was actually liking the Bears off the surface.

[rm18]

Carolina +10 and U41 San Fran/Zona

But why do you say you want Pitt to be favored by more and then tease them? That sounds ridiculous

[bigboydan]

I'm thinking the Panthers will rebound this year as well. Although, I have to wonder how focus Steve Smith is this year after being accepted to be an intern in some brokerage house.

[bigboydan]

I know it's way too early to wager on these games right now. However I kinda figured they might have been some line movement, but it doesn't appear like thats the case at all.

[Bet Shooter]

I don't think anyone wants to tie up too much of their bankroll for that long of a time. Even if they are soft.

[slacker00]

I don't think anyone wants to tie up too much of their bankroll for that long of a time. Even if they are soft.

I agree. Plus, the sharps probably plan on getting an even bigger edge gaining handicapping info over the preseason. The NFL squares will have a lot of stupid money riding on week 1 before they go busto, so the lines will be plenty soft anyway. There's just no value in grabbing the early NFL lines.

[topcat]

i love team total new england.i believe they will run the score up,and they should be able to score 40 easy.this play should be atleast worth 500 hundred.

[madmaxx]

i love team total new england.i believe they will run the score up,and they should be able to score 40 easy.this play should be atleast worth 500 hundred.

no more jared allen on KC and a QB who cant complete a pass, NE could score 55 if they want. I like your thinking.

[fiveteamer]

Cowboys look good.

[slacker00]

i love team total new england.i believe they will run the score up,and they should be able to score 40 easy.this play should be atleast worth 500 hundred.

NE ATS & ML is my #1 play for week 1 right now.
Bet the max.

[SBR Lou]

NE ATS & ML is my #1 play for week 1 right now.
Bet the max.

I don't know that I want to start my NFL year giving 14.5pts to any team no matter how bad they figure to be, but I agree that NE ML there would be somewhat of a 'cinch'.

[Godzilla]

Thats because people cant wait for them...People get hammered during basketball and baseball season and make it up during football season

Basketball is a lot easier to win bigtime than football

[Hollywood]

I really like the Titans and Dolphins getting points at home, but I would probably only play the Dolphins if the line is the same by opening day. I can't play the Titans as long as Vince Young is the QB. He's just so terrible. I love that defense though, so I probably won't touch Titan games for most of the year.

[apk2k6]

By the way, 5dimes also has week 1 lines posted.

[NardVa]

I like Texans to beat Steelers and Rams to beat Eagles. Both teams start week 1 on the road and both are 7 pt underdogs. Texans and Rams are my sleeper teams to make the playoffs this year.

[bigboydan]

Basketball is a lot easier to win bigtime than football

College or pro basketball sir?

I feel both college football and college basketball are much easier to beat, especially early in the season.

[ZBOIZ]

Detroit
Denver
Jets

All three of these games should be everyone play!!!

[ZBOIZ]

jets

[Brady2Moss]

Why would anyone bet these lines? its like russian roulette...

[woodg8]

What does 'pk' mean?