If someone wins at a 60% clip for 1000 plays, is it safe to assume -diverted-

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  • SexyMit
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-12-06
    • 6139

    #1
    If someone wins at a 60% clip for 1000 plays, is it safe to assume -diverted-
    Ganchrow always has to make us feel stupid with his insane but intelligent write ups on these math problems.
    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
  • Nicky Santoro
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-08-08
    • 16103

    #2
    come on ranch, gimme a break.. who the f-ck is going to read all that? i guarantee you not one poster here out of 304 posters read that whole post..


    there is no way ranch typed all that. 100% he copied and pasted all that from a website. why would ranch spend 39 minutes typing all that for a bunch of compulsive gamblers who don't understand what the hell he is talking about.


    If ranch did type all this himself, which i know he copied and pasted it.. but if he actually took out 39 min of his time to type all this, then we have a new winner on who is the biggest loser on sbr.. who the hell would have the time to sit here and type all this.. but i know he did type all that cause no one is that nuts to sit here and type all this stuff that 99.4% of posters will never understand.
    Comment
    • mbr_18
      SBR High Roller
      • 03-24-07
      • 119

      #3
      Originally posted by Nicky Santauro
      come on ranch, gimme a break.. who the f-ck is going to read all that? i guarantee you not one poster here out of 304 posters read that whole post..


      there is no way ranch typed all that. 100% he copied and pasted all that from a website. why would ranch spend 39 minutes typing all that for a bunch of compulsive gamblers who don't understand what the hell he is talking about.


      If ranch did type all this himself, which i know he copied and pasted it.. but if he actually took out 39 min of his time to type all this, then we have a new winner on who is the biggest loser on sbr.. who the hell would have the time to sit here and type all this.. but i know he did type all that cause no one is that nuts to sit here and type all this stuff that 99.4% of posters will never understand.


      LOL...guess i'm the biggest loser cause I'm the 0.6% who understands it and did read it all...oh well
      Comment
      • turnip
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-03-06
        • 940

        #4
        Originally posted by Nicky Santauro
        come on ranch, gimme a break.. who the f-ck is going to read all that? i guarantee you not one poster here out of 304 posters read that whole post..


        there is no way ranch typed all that. 100% he copied and pasted all that from a website. why would ranch spend 39 minutes typing all that for a bunch of compulsive gamblers who don't understand what the hell he is talking about.


        If ranch did type all this himself, which i know he copied and pasted it.. but if he actually took out 39 min of his time to type all this, then we have a new winner on who is the biggest loser on sbr.. who the hell would have the time to sit here and type all this.. but i know he did type all that cause no one is that nuts to sit here and type all this stuff that 99.4% of posters will never understand.
        I read it. By the way, I think you're lost. Even though it's also in the main forum, this is a think tank thread.
        Comment
        • Nicky Santoro
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-08-08
          • 16103

          #5
          mbr,

          i find it hard to believe that you actually sat there and read every word in that post.. if you did, i don't know if i should be congratulating you, or feeling sorry for you for having all that free time and having no life..

          i still say you skimmed through it.. why would anyone on this site read all that.. 99.87% of the posters here have no clue what he even meant.. this is not the place to be posting this stuff. this is a gambling site with a bunch of degenerate kids who are an avg age of 22 who dropped out of school with a dream to retire from making sports picks. this site is full of sick gamblers. they have no idea what ranch is even talking about.
          Comment
          • durito
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-03-06
            • 13173

            #6
            I saved it and will go through it all eventually.
            Comment
            • Quebb Diesel
              SBR MVP
              • 01-26-08
              • 3045

              #7
              so ganch is saying theres a chance!
              Comment
              • Nicky Santoro
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-08-08
                • 16103

                #8
                you guys don't get the point. this has nothing to do with sports gambling.. all you have to know is if you handicap game, get the best #, beat the closing line by at least 1 pt if you want a chance.. shop for best #'s, don't chase, bet within your means, don't lose your composure and have good money management skills. AND DONT RUN OUT OF MONEY.. that's all you need to be telling the kids here... no need to give out those formulas.. this stuff should not be in this forum.. it doesn't belong here cause it has no relevance to what the kids understand here. remember, your avg poster here is probably 22 yrs old and have no clue about mathematics nor do they care. they just want to bet redsox and over, lakers and over.

                this stuff IMO doesn't belong in this forum.. it's like me going to a drug addict forum and telling everyone to bet the braves. totally irrrelevant..
                Comment
                • Quebb Diesel
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-26-08
                  • 3045

                  #9
                  im only 23 and i might know a think or two about statistics*
                  Comment
                  • rake922
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-23-07
                    • 11692

                    #10
                    making picks and flipping coins is not the same concept
                    Comment
                    • mbr_18
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 03-24-07
                      • 119

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Nicky Santauro
                      mbr,

                      i find it hard to believe that you actually sat there and read every word in that post.. if you did, i don't know if i should be congratulating you, or feeling sorry for you for having all that free time and having no life..

                      i still say you skimmed through it.. why would anyone on this site read all that.. 99.87% of the posters here have no clue what he even meant.. this is not the place to be posting this stuff. this is a gambling site with a bunch of degenerate kids who are an avg age of 22 who dropped out of school with a dream to retire from making sports picks. this site is full of sick gamblers. they have no idea what ranch is even talking about.
                      Nicky...I enjoy reading your post as well and must i agree with you almost no one will be able to make any real sense of what is being said. As for me I understand, do I apply it to my bets...Hell NO. Gambling is a hobby for me like fishing is to others. As for my life...I'm doing just fine
                      Comment
                      • Bullajami
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-23-05
                        • 472

                        #12
                        I had a 33 on the math portion of my ACT, 1540 on the SAT, and I feel like an idiot.

                        I wanna party with Ganchrow.
                        Comment
                        • Ganchrow
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-28-05
                          • 5011

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Bullajami
                          I wanna party with Ganchrow.
                          If you make it out to the SBR Bash this August you'll have your chance.
                          Comment
                          • Sportsgirl
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-10-06
                            • 4493

                            #14
                            Hey Ganch - If I admittedly don't no crap about math, but can write you a heck of story, can we still have a beer or two in Vegas?
                            Comment
                            • mofome
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-19-07
                              • 13003

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Bullajami

                              I wanna party with Ganchrow.

                              It aint a bad time.



                              Comment
                              • Bullajami
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-23-05
                                • 472

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Ganchrow
                                If you make it out to the SBR Bash this August you'll have your chance.
                                I will be in Vegas from 4-13 June, and Mrs Bull would not suffer a second trip so soon after that. I tend to take her advice on such things. She has something that I want.

                                Raincheck
                                Comment
                                • flyingillini
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 41219

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Nicky Santauro
                                  if you are playing ML underdogs, then how do you expect to hit 60% over 1000 games? all you need to do is hit around 43%-47% to make a great profit.


                                  and if you are betting dogs at +200, all you will need is 34% to make a decent living.


                                  you wanted to hit 60% playing dogs?? are you nuts or what? it's impossible doing it with favs, how do you expect to do it with dogs.
                                  Tell em JJ
                                  המוסד‎
                                  המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                  Comment
                                  • mathdotcom
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-24-08
                                    • 11689

                                    #18
                                    Ganchrow's analysis is just 2nd year statistics. Be mindful of assumptions underlying it.
                                    Comment
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