Hey Justin

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  • Mammon
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-08-11
    • 302

    #1
    Hey Justin
    I watched a few of your Videos today. Did you say that if you know the Money line and point spread you can predict the total?

    Something like if you know any two of these three things you know/can predict the third..

    Please clarify. I may have misunderstood this.
  • mikeanite
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-13-10
    • 475

    #2
    where do you find these videos?
    Comment
    • cant call it
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-29-10
      • 8817

      #3
      Comment
      • wiffle
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-07-10
        • 610

        #4
        lol, no
        Comment
        • brad89
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-19-10
          • 424

          #5
          Originally posted by mikeanite
          where do you find these videos?
          Comment
          • Justin7
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-31-06
            • 8577

            #6
            Originally posted by Mammon
            I watched a few of your Videos today. Did you say that if you know the Money line and point spread you can predict the total?

            Something like if you know any two of these three things you know/can predict the third..

            Please clarify. I may have misunderstood this.
            Yes. ML/Spread -> total is the least useful of the predictors. Using the 3 measures (spread, ml and total) you can guess the 3rd. The problem is that spread and ml are very similar (highly correlated). With only those two measures, your total could be way off.

            Compare that to using a spread and total, which is pretty good at generating a ML.
            Comment
            • Mammon
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-08-11
              • 302

              #7
              Thanks
              Comment
              • CHUBNUT
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-30-09
                • 321

                #8
                I find its not good to pin down specifics with certain formulas, every game is unique. asking which team will win outright is completely different to who will win giving up a certain spread. Push percentages are all very good but you have to look deeper in a particular event, does man utd care if they win 2-0 or 5-0.
                Comment
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