Backing Penny and the dodgers tonight -110.

[69882000]

Seems like the smartest play on the board today. Again....Looks can be deceiving. I've proven that with my last several plays What do you guys think

[onlooker]

I was looking at the Dodgers, but unless they go to plus money, I will pass on the game.

Good luck.

[69882000]

You don't like laying juice? Or you just don't have confidence in them pulling it off?

[onlooker]

You don't like laying juice? Or you just don't have confidence in them pulling it off?

I just don't like laying any juice. I see 5dimes moved to EVEN. Vegas still at -105. Maybe closer to game time I can get EVEN or better here.

[69882000]

I see. I'll be waiting for a better price myself. But I don't mind laying any juice If It came down to it. That is if i'm also confident in the play.

[69882000]

Anyone else have the dodgers. share opinions.

[KC]

On the Dodgers..mind boggling how you guys don't checkout matchbook +104

[gordon gekko]

Dodgers ML -102

[mofome]

Penny's last 5 vs Col:
7IP 4H 3ER
5IP 6H 4ER
6IP 9H 3ER
5IP 2H 1R 5BB
6IP 5H 3ER

LAD went 3-2 in those starts, Penny went 2-0.

Francis' last 5 starts vs LAD:
7IP 5H 2ER
6.2IP 6H 1ER
6IP 6H 2ER
7.2rd 7H 2ER
6.2IP 6H 2ER

The rockies went 3-2 in those starts and Francis went 3-0.


Dodgers BP era is 3.78 in road games
Col BP era is 7.20 in home games.


Holiday has 4HR, an OPS over 1.000 and is slugging over .680 vs Penny in 35 ABs. Atkins kills penny, Helton hits him well, Tulowitzki wont be missed as he was hitting under 0.70 against Brad.


The dodgers bats have shown absolutely no power vs francis in a decent number of Abs; A jones is actually the only field player on this roster to have ever taken francis deep in over 100 team ABs. Kent, Pierre, and furcal all hit francis well, but no one else does a whole lot against him.

Francis has not been hit real hard this eyar despite the poor era. He is only giving up 15% LDs while 48.6% of the balls batted against him are ground balls. As of now his HR/FB ratio is 17.8% which is absurdly high and means hes simply been a bit unlucky. Francis is a 3 pitch pitcher. 59% FBs, 12.8% CBs, and 28.2% change ups.

Penny's LD% vs. him is a tad over 20% which isnt great. Penny has been giving up more fly balls than usual, but he hasnt been hurt by the HR. He's thrown about 75% FBs and 15.5% curve balls so far this year, if he becomes predictable i think the rockies bats can get to him.

The pitching seems like a wash even though the dodgers are scoring a lot this season it seems that francis has their number a bit. I like col ff and the over 8.5

[jjgold]

under for me

GL

[mofome]

under for me

GL

jj, did you read what i wrote? i brought the goods. come on sport.

[69882000]

I might just change my mind after reading your analysis mofome. Thanks.

[69882000]

No....I decided to back the dodgers. GO BLUE let's make some money.

[diogee]

Not against you on this one...pitch a gem for us Penny.

[dannyt76]

Took LA -110 last night and then added some more at -103. Go Dodgers.

[69882000]

That's what I'm talking about. Let's make it happen fellas.

[LT Profits]

Dodgers are a front page play for me.

http://www.sbrforum.com/Free+Picks/MLB/7686/la-dodgers-110-colorado-rockies.aspx

And they are a Bullpen System play.

[mofome]

Penny's last 5 vs Col:
7IP 4H 3ER
5IP 6H 4ER
6IP 9H 3ER
5IP 2H 1R 5BB
6IP 5H 3ER

LAD went 3-2 in those starts, Penny went 2-0.

Francis' last 5 starts vs LAD:
7IP 5H 2ER
6.2IP 6H 1ER
6IP 6H 2ER
7.2rd 7H 2ER
6.2IP 6H 2ER

The rockies went 3-2 in those starts and Francis went 3-0.


Dodgers BP era is 3.78 in road games
Col BP era is 7.20 in home games.


Holiday has 4HR, an OPS over 1.000 and is slugging over .680 vs Penny in 35 ABs. Atkins kills penny, Helton hits him well, Tulowitzki wont be missed as he was hitting under 0.70 against Brad.


The dodgers bats have shown absolutely no power vs francis in a decent number of Abs; A jones is actually the only field player on this roster to have ever taken francis deep in over 100 team ABs. Kent, Pierre, and furcal all hit francis well, but no one else does a whole lot against him.

Francis has not been hit real hard this eyar despite the poor era. He is only giving up 15% LDs while 48.6% of the balls batted against him are ground balls. As of now his HR/FB ratio is 17.8% which is absurdly high and means hes simply been a bit unlucky. Francis is a 3 pitch pitcher. 59% FBs, 12.8% CBs, and 28.2% change ups.

Penny's LD% vs. him is a tad over 20% which isnt great. Penny has been giving up more fly balls than usual, but he hasnt been hurt by the HR. He's thrown about 75% FBs and 15.5% curve balls so far this year, if he becomes predictable i think the rockies bats can get to him.

The pitching seems like a wash even though the dodgers are scoring a lot this season it seems that francis has their number a bit. I like col ff and the over 8.5

welp col ff came in. work to do on the over

[ChuteBoxe]

Alright! We're finally on the board!

[diogee]

We finally have the lead....7-3
Huge 6th for the Dodgers.

[mofome]

We finally have the lead....7-3
Huge 6th for the Dodgers.

7-3? i see 4-3

nice

col ff and overs for the game wins




perfect night. 7-0 last 7 bases plays. time for beers

[ChuteBoxe]

Yeah baby! Big Mo got his over, and we got a little cushion! Wooooo!

[diogee]

Yeah Furcal just hit a 3 run HR when I typed it.
Nice work on the over and FF Mofo.

[ChuteBoxe]

Yeah Furcal just hit a 3 run HR when I typed it.
Nice work on the over and FF Mofo.

You even beat MLB.TV. I read that, looked at the game, it was still 4-3, I'm like wtf is he talking about, and then I saw the homer.

[diogee]

Every Rockies game is broadcast in my area of course.

[Francis Sollozzo]

LA got hot

[ChuteBoxe]

Where's Ryan at? He know we're up 7-3 now?

[Mr KLC]

I took the Dodgers -1.5 (+160) on my best bet today. I'm finally starting to breathe easier now. Just hold on guys!

[diogee]

C'mon Dodgers.

[2Pac]

7 run inning. I bet you capped that, right?

JK - nice play. Rockies suck.

[Francis Sollozzo]

Overs look good

[diogee]

Excellent implosion.

[diogee]

Fuck me...there goes the nice cushion. Special thanks to DeWitt for his back to back errors as well. Lucky to get out of it with the lead.

[ChuteBoxe]

Fuckin Beimel!

[rjt721]

Fuckin Beimel!

Beimel did well to maintain a 1-run lead... could have been worse.