Bill Simmons (Sports Guy) and Sports Betting

[NEP Dynasty]

Check this out guys. Pretty interesting.

http://sports.espn.go.com/broadband/video/videopage?videoId=3373995

[treece]

that guy is a square.

[DrunkenLullaby]

that guy is a square.

You mean the guy that runs Caesar's? I couldn't agree more.

[mofome]

good watch.

[treece]

You mean the guy that runs Caesar's? I couldn't agree more.

yea i remember when he was on caesars 24/7 on A&E a few years ago. he was a square then and still is. i'm surprised they still have him there.

[DrunkenLullaby]

yea i remember when he was on caesars 24/7 on A&E a few years ago. he was a square then and still is. i'm surprised they still have him there.

Well, given that they don't accept any bets that could hurt them , he'll probably keep his job for awhile.

[Iwinyourmoney]

Good watch for sure

[WonTooManyBets]

That Shaq prop bet they talk about was definitely a good one. He hit 19 points twice during the series but never 20.

[donjuan]

Any idea what the max bet was on the Lebron triple-double prop?

[NEP Dynasty]

No..I'm not sure what the max on that is. All I know is Simmons took it for $100.

Don't think many people would want to wager too much on that though. Who knows what Lebron can do. I bet he has a triple double in Game 6 or 7 if there is one.

[purecarnagge]

I bet he got his 100.00 back off camera...

[durito]

he is a terrible gambler

which is good for us

[NEP Dynasty]

Haha..why do you say he is a terrible gambler??

I really don't know much about his gambling aside from his weekly NFL picks column, which he does not have a great record in..but he obviously isn't betting all of those games

[donjuan]

I bet he has a triple double in Game 6 or 7 if there is one.

Prop bet at +100 that he doesn't get a triple double the rest of the series?

Haha..why do you say he is a terrible gambler??

Have you ever read or heard anything he's said regarding gambling?

[NEP Dynasty]

Yes I have read pretty much all of his articles. Sorry for not analyzing everything that he has said about gambling in depth.

I really don't care if he is a good gambler. But could you point out to me what he has said regarding gambling that makes him so poor. Not saying you're wrong, just curious.

[durito]

Haha..why do you say he is a terrible gambler??

I really don't know much about his gambling aside from his weekly NFL picks column, which he does not have a great record in..but he obviously isn't betting all of those games

you've read the column and you can't tell?

[NEP Dynasty]

And you want "No" at +100? How about -150.

[donjuan]

Yes, I want the "No" at +100, since you said "I'll bet he gets one" implying that he is better than 50% to get it. Since I'm a nice guy, I'll give you +110 on the "Yes".

[donjuan]

Yes I have read pretty much all of his articles. Sorry for not analyzing everything that he has said about gambling in depth.

I really don't care if he is a good gambler. But could you point out to me what he has said regarding gambling that makes him so poor. Not saying you're wrong, just curious.

In that piece alone he says part of the reason he bet "Yes" was that it would be fun to root for. He's pretty much your ultimate square, although there is anything wrong with betting for entertainment purposes. However, he's still a terrible bettor in the sense of expectation.

[donjuan]

Bump. Let's agree on some odds and amount wagered so we can work on finding a reputable poster or escrow service to hold the funds. Like Bill says, this is a fun bet, so let's do it.

Edit: Anyone else who wants in on the "Yes", PM me with the amount you want and we can discuss the odds.

[donjuan]

Bump.

[NEP Dynasty]

Donny I am in. Only $20 bucks though. Come on man I am a college student and summer is coming up. Gotta have money for booze.

Donny where do you go to school, I will friend you on facebook.

[donjuan]

I was hoping for more like $1000 and expecting something in the neighborhood of $200. For $20 it's not worth the effort to escrow.

[NEP Dynasty]

$1000, ok, who the f uck do you think you are? You got a bankroll of like 100k if you want to throw a grand on this stupid bet?

[NEP Dynasty]

$20 is still a fun bet. Ill do $40 if you give me +160

[donjuan]

Um, $1000 isn't anywhere near full Kelly for me on this bet. So, can we do this for at least $100 and at what odds?

[NEP Dynasty]

Guy, I can't do $100 dollars for just a fun bet that I am not even very confident about. I just think it would be fun. I'm a college student, I can't just throw my money around like that. Relax guy.

What is wrong with $40.

[donjuan]

So we've gone from you implying Lebron is greater than 50% to get a triple double to wanting +160 for $40? You can't make this shít up.

[donjuan]

I'm a college student, too. It's really not worth the effort to escrow $40 with a poster.

[NEP Dynasty]

I think he's going to get a triple double. Yes. This is correct.

That doesn't mean I am willing to put $1000 f ucking dollars on it. What is wrong with you guy? You are seriously nuts.

Lets do it for $40

[NEP Dynasty]

Listen. Look me up on facebook. If you win, I will paypal the money to you, or send you the check. I'm not full of shit. I will do this for $40.

[donjuan]

Escrow with a reputable poster or mod. Let's do this for $100. I'll give you +140.

[NEP Dynasty]

I can't do $100. Why can't you accept that? My max bet on games is $150, I'm not going to bet $100 on this Lebron triple double, I can't guy.

[NEP Dynasty]

BTW, where do you go to school. UC-Boulder?

[donjuan]

If your max bet is $150, I fail to see why you won't take this for $100. +150 on a greater than 50% shot? Half kelly on that on a $1500 bankroll is still over $100.