My Beat The Prick Prize Money Rollover Blog

**CarpeDime** · 03-05-11, 01:30 PM

3/5

Looking over the huge Saturday college basketball card, there are a few sides from the overnights that caught my eye. The one that's interesting me the most so far is Florida International +4 against Denver on a neutral court in the Sun Belt conference tourney.

Denver started out the conference season well, but faltered lately, and FIU had a huge string of losses, so glancing at their schedule this year you see "LLLLLLWLLLLL" which has them at the botton of the East division, and I think that's what is making them a decent sized dog here.

BUT.....FIU did play some good teams close during that losing, and has shown that they can repeatedly be competitive to the wire with anyone in the Sun Belt. AND......Denver is notably bad on the road, they had big wins at home but were nothing close to dominant on the road this year. AND.....Denver's low-scoring style of play often lead to close games. AND......for added confidence, the one game these two did play this year in the regular season went to OT, and it was in Denver.

I'd love to be getting a bit more than 4 to be fully head-over-heels in love with this play, but I have to admit I've fallen pretty hard for it since looking into it last night on the overnights.

Since it's at 10 PM, I'll hold off for a bit to do a little more research. That's very dangerous because I can easily see losing a vital half point or more. But there are a frickin ton of conference tourney games with lines I haven't even looked at yet, so that's what I think I'll do.

I'm also kind of liking Bowling Green +4.5 I'll have to look into that more, and I would like to be liking Mississippi St. -5.5 over South Carolina, but gimme a break. Mississippi St is the biggest head-case team around. For something like this where I want to feel really good about every play I make.....PASS. If I lose a play I want to feel good about having made it. Any time I've bet Mississippi St this year and lost, I've felt like a complete square fool.

Ok that's it, hopefully I'll find some conference tourney sides I like, and hopefully DSI will throw up some totals soon I'm also interested in based on the overnights.

**ouman101** · 03-05-11, 01:44 PM

Good luck with this Loshak. I just cashed out my winnings from the Moneyball tourney. Feels good to get free money

**pavyracer** · 03-05-11, 01:46 PM

Loshak keep the plays on the spreadsheet so we can follow your rollover progress.

**Fishhead** · 03-05-11, 02:01 PM

Just scalp the rollover out using MATCHBOOK(a must out for Costa Rican punters)..........

Should be a short 2-3 day blog and you can tell Walker to stick it and move on to your next assignment.

**Extra Innings** · 03-05-11, 03:19 PM

You work for SBR? Are you a mod?

**Fishhead** · 03-05-11, 03:41 PM

Originally posted by Extra Innings

You work for SBR? Are you a mod?

**nosniboR11** · 03-05-11, 03:41 PM

good luck sir

**B1GER1C828** · 03-05-11, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by Extra Innings

You work for SBR? Are you a mod?

good luck loshak.

**frostno98** · 03-05-11, 04:38 PM

Atleast you got the 1st place trophy for bragging rights

**thezbar** · 03-05-11, 04:43 PM

I have rolled over 750 and 500 from contest winnings. Some of the tactics I've used include > Betting heavy money lines. Even though they don't count towards the rollover total winning these bets gives you some extra working capital for the grind.> Shotgun approach! Bet 10 to 20 games in a day with a low amount. In my case it would be 10 or 20 dollar bets. Not a profitable long term strategy for me but it adds to the grind. < Daily limit betting. My last contest rollover I set a limit of 50 dollars per day as a minimum bet total each day, it adds up. < Half time bets. I use them frequently to add wagering handle. < Best Bets> When I really like something I'd make a move, its necessary to stay afloat at times. < Mind set. I figure I've won already the primary focus is on the turnover and not necessarily making more profit. G.L.

**bobbyfk** · 03-05-11, 05:05 PM

**ApricotSinner32** · 03-05-11, 05:07 PM

**The Prick** · 03-05-11, 05:18 PM

hey crappy did this get approved by yisser? figgered he was in charge of this sorta deal

**yisman** · 03-05-11, 07:10 PM

Yes. The tears were what got me.

**Reload** · 03-05-11, 07:32 PM

Good luck Loshak! Will be nice to follow this thread.

**excel** · 03-05-11, 07:45 PM

gl shaq, easy money

**CarpeDime** · 03-05-11, 09:36 PM

Passing on FIU

Denver is very disciplined and I don't like the line movement

Originally posted by pavyracer

Loshak keep the plays on the spreadsheet so we can follow your rollover progress.

dont worry pavers i'll be posting all the plays in the blog as soon as I make them

there won't be any after-the-fact announcements of winners or anything, even though its just a blog not a demonstration of my gambling abilities or a free pick generator or anything like that

I'm not trying to be Brandon Lang or Vegas Dave here, just doing a blog rolling over a bankroll

I just suggested doing a blog in my "negotiations" after they told me I wasn't eligible

**opie1988** · 03-05-11, 10:16 PM

Good luck, Loshak.

I hope whatever your future holds works out well for you.

I admit to a twinge of guilt about your downfall in your hosting duties on SBRtv. I had no idea John would take my desire for your job so seriously....nor that he would act so swiftly in your dismissal. (What with you being a lifelong friend of his and all, which is why you were hired in the first place).

But....as I'm prone to say....we're running a gambling chit-chat room here. Not a popularity contest!

Adieu, Loshak.

**The Prick** · 03-06-11, 03:26 PM

lochette you aint gonna roll over dammit if you dont never pull the trigger son. think long, think wrong

**CarpeDime** · 03-06-11, 04:47 PM

3/6: Note to self: Stop Overthinking Everything U Dumb Fuk

Well yesterday I punked out on taking Florida International in this rollover (I did bet them a bit with my regular bankroll). Why? Well I did my research and thinking, and then when I saw the line move to 5, I figured someone might or must know something I don’t know. FIU is also a team that relies on so-called “althleticism”, while Denver runs the Princeton offense and relies on so-called “discipline”, and in crunch time I’d lean towards a disciplined team than one that looks impressive athletically during non-crunch time. Oh well, whatever. This is why I am not pro and classic, or at least, this is why I have been less than pro and classic so far.

Today I’ll take a shot with another Sun Belt tournament line I could easily think myself out of, Florida Atlantic -3 over North Texas. North Texas is often a quality team in the Sun Belt, but this year they have struggled against the top Sun Belt teams, including a big home loss to Florida Atlantic in their only matchup this year. Florida Atlantic has one of their best teams ever this year, and former St. John’s coach Mike Jarvis is leading them, and he seems to be successfully building them up into a quality Sun Belt program.

The line opened at 2, I bet it with my regular bankroll, and was wondering why it was so low. Now it’s moved to 3. I could easily think myself out of playing this one too, but I’ll go with it for $200.

**pavyracer** · 03-06-11, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by The Prick

lochette you aint gonna roll over dammit if you dont never pull the trigger son. think long, think wrong

Maybe he is waiting until football starts again to roll it over. Fading your BTP picks will roll it over very easily.

**illmatick** · 03-06-11, 05:19 PM

**jjgold** · 03-06-11, 06:35 PM

Well great Blog and write ups

Although Carper I hope you lose your fukkin hut you live in CR

I love when guys lose

**CarpeDime** · 03-07-11, 03:53 PM

3/7: 0-1......fukkkkk

Started things off with a loss yesterday. Not too happy about that to be perfectly honest with you, not too happy. Florida Atlantic was up by 7 at the half, I thought I had it. This is really embarrassing. I can deal with losses in my own private betting, quite well, in fact. But this public picking is insane. I feel like I’m all-in on every pick. I don’t know how the touts do it, putting themselves out there every day. Hopefully we’ll get them tonight. None of the plays tonight I love, by any means, but I’m trying to force myself to go with picks I like, and not wait and wait and wait for picks I “love”. But there’s now no doubt in my mind - I care infinitely more about not embarrassing myself with this than I do about any money I might cash out in the end.

Anyway, I’ll take a shot with 3 unders tonight, $200 each. In college hoops, I took Wofford and Charleston at 141. I actually bet this with my regular roll at 142, and was surprised to see it go even higher than that to 142.5. I wonder why, that does make me nervous, someone with influence bet it up, and I’m sure they have a decent reason since the under would probably be the obvious “sharp” call. We’ll see, I went with it anyway, hopefully both teams play tight and conservative.

I also went with Arkansas-Little Rock and Middle Tennessee St at 128. It’s a low total which probably serves to keep it from taking strong money on the under, but Mid Tenn can play strong D-oriented games, and Ark LR could easily agree to that style of play, and if that’s the case, we could easily get one of those 61-53 type of games. OT will be dangerous in this one, but what the hell. WHAT THE HELL! COME ON UNDER!

And then in the NBA, a shot with Houston and Sacramento at 216.5. Houston has been a very high-scoring team this year, usually pushing the pace. Sacramento is also game for that style of play, so sure, this could easily wind up with both teams scoring in the 120s. But Houston has been winning when they play better defense, so I’ll take a shot that they play a bit more defensive-minded and keep the scoring out of the stratosphere.

**opie1988** · 03-07-11, 09:53 PM

Loshak-

I love you.....I trust you....& I believe in you.

I'm tailing you on these 3.....mainly to prove my love & support for one Peter Loshak.

Please don't bury me, Petey!!

**CarpeDime** · 03-08-11, 06:52 PM

sorry opers

$100 on South Florida +9.5, no time for blog entry

**CarpeDime** · 03-09-11, 02:54 PM

$150 on Hawaii -2

SJ St has a strong backcourt and if they do well they can easily win this one just with

But they are thin up front and have had rebounding issues, which plays into a strength of Hawaii

SJ St has done better recently on the boards but if Hawaii is better up front in this game and they can contain the guards they should be able to get it

not head-over-heels in love with it but like it enough to play it

**opie1988** · 03-09-11, 03:03 PM

Good call on S. Florida, Loshak.

I will follow you thru the gates of hell!!!

On Hawaii as well. I've always considered you to be a closet Rainbow Warrior.

**MartinBlank** · 03-09-11, 03:07 PM

Loshak.....

First of all 'stache----GREAT JOB in BTP! Very impressive. Now, onto doing you a solid.

I am posting my college hoops selections in a thread by sportsbettinguy-----he challenged me, so I put my picks in there.

I am 13-5, +1095.....I never make a single wager higher than -110.

You keep following those picks----and after you win 5-6 of them, you get me on that SBR show some night to talk NCAA tourney betting. Deal? Hell, you don't even have to bet them, I just want to earn my way onto that show.

Here's the link

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/944735-you-wouldnt-believe-my-record-so-ill-let-speak-itself-p8.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

**CarpeDime** · 03-09-11, 08:07 PM

$100 Indiana/Minnesota under 215

not too happy boys

soul-searching entry coming shortly

**CarpeDime** · 03-10-11, 12:03 PM

$200 UConn/Pitt under 131

$100 Virginia +3

**Chandler** · 03-10-11, 12:18 PM

c'mon under 132!!!

**CarpeDime** · 03-10-11, 02:53 PM

ouch

ouch

$200 Idaho -2

$150 Knicks/Dallas under 217

**opie1988** · 03-10-11, 02:56 PM

Carpe......you fukk!!!!

I need these 2 to hit. I'm fukkin buried here.

If these don't hit, I'll be moving into your hut with you down there in Costa Rica.