strong info on tennis match (starts in 20min)

[rochestertitans]

Got this info had to run to the bathroon quick at work to post it to you guys! Nothing is a lock but my info suggests the lucie sef. WiLL defeat pennnetta today. Take it as u will. Lucie +185

[ApricotSinner32]

Guy may have not been bullshitting us line dropped considerably in the last 10 minutes.

[shari91]

Could be true. I actually took her for 0.25x when she was +200 but haven't posted all of my plays yet. Now she's +165. Line movement in tennis is strange though.

I hope for my little bet Roch's right!!

[Jaug]

Lucie ??

[shari91]

Oh and this match is the second on the court after the Jankovic/Mirza match so there's still at least an hour before it will start.

[Jaug]

Please use last name when writing about tennis. Lucie safarova?

[AribaAriba]

What i do when i look for name on a sportsbook is to use CTRL F and type the name. You can easily find just even the name it self.

[Slainte]

Definitely will try out this one, tennis is a strange game

[EaglesPhan36]

#1 - Was already on this for actual reasons, but someone who never or rarely bets tennis [or at least does not regularly post in the tennis sub] posting about some anonymous "strong info" .... I do not like these posts. Nothing personal, just would rather see an actual reason. Can be misleading to people who would blindly follow. Just sayin.

[tonyno]

Exactly my thought EP, should we proceed with caution?
How would you approach this? is this something credible in Tennis?

[EaglesPhan36]

Should also add just in general, it bothers me on this forum when people post about "strong info" about a side winning, etc. Again, not knocking the OP here as roch I know was/is a very good poster in other sub forums here.

I already outlined it in my thread why I'm on Safarova. Head-2-head advantage and been looking to go against Pennetta on possible fatigue at some point this week ... also factor in Safarova ripped apart Radwanska who has been mostly solid this season. I think Safarova has a shot if she serves well and can make Pennetta work her tail off.

[tonyno]

The line has dropped from +200 to 150, I will tail for 1 Unit.

[EaglesPhan36]

Could be true. I actually took her for 0.25x when she was +200 but haven't posted all of my plays yet. Now she's +165. Line movement in tennis is strange though. I hope for my little bet Roch's right!!

Also note that where she's at currently +150 is only 15 cents off the opening price, so it's not like there's a big change from the opening number it was that a lot of action came in on Pennetta early and now the market appears to have evened out and slightly favored Safarova.

[astrodomer]

really......whats the info why did it drop so much?

[shari91]

Should also add just in general, it bothers me on this forum when people post about "strong info" about a side winning, etc. Again, not knocking the OP here as roch I know was/is a very good poster in other sub forums here. I already outlined it in my thread why I'm on Safarova. Head-2-head advantage and been looking to go against Pennetta on possible fatigue at some point this week ... also factor in Safarova ripped apart Radwanska who has been mostly solid this season. I think Safarova has a shot if she serves well and can make Pennetta work her tail off.

I hope anyone who doesn't normally bet tennis and has no clue who these players are, would be tailing this just for a fun action bet and not betting large based on "strong info". It seems you and I both liked Lucie for close to the same reasons and although neither of us buy into the whole line movement in tennis brigade, the price on Lucie has dropped at least 35 cents at one of the books here the last time I checked awhile ago.

But she's not worth a normal sized bet here for me personally as she runs so hot and cold that I have a hard time picking with her when she's going to play to her potential.

[shari91]

Also note that where she's at currently +150 is only 15 cents off the opening price, so it's not like there's a big change from the opening number it was that a lot of action came in on Pennetta early and now the market appears to have evened out and slightly favored Safarova.

I got her at +200 about 4 hours ago. I just checked and she's sitting at +165 now (Centrebet Australia). Something strange going on at this book. Again.

[Jaug]

Centrebet is one of the sharpest books out there, it's sick.

[shari91]

And she's sitting at +140 at Sportingbet Aus. So any of you Aussies who want to bet this one, get yourself a Centrebet account quickly if you don't already have one!

[geebert74]

never placed a tennis bet... not proficient enough with the game.

[jjgold]

Matched: USD 247,580 so far at Betfair

[AzNDooM]

I agree, dont go overboard but rochestertitan has known to be a good source of info. So hopefully, Lucie will come through tonight.

[dikefale]

+130 at pinnie now. Hmmm
Big no no for me!

[ApricotSinner32]

No play for me. This could be the public overreacting to safarovas 3-0 record h2h. I don't know what to make of the line movement.

[labrador]

Well, the only insight I could contribute, is that Penneta might be still carrying some kind of injury. But not too sure about that. Got this info from Matchstat before her match againsts Zheng, but now this info is removed. So...

[flocko76]

let's do this

[face]

bodog has closed this match for betting for some reason even though it says it's at 9:50.

[rochestertitans]

Has it started yet?? Keep me updated in here please.. No scoreticker I get on my phone stays current

[bruceBRUCEbruce]

damn it. I book this play last night at +200 and wake up and come here and see this jinx of a thread.

[ApricotSinner32]

[shari91]

Has it started yet?? Keep me updated in here please.. No scoreticker I get on my phone stays current

No, won't be for awhile yet. I was wrong about what match it follows - it'll be after the Dushevina/Hantucova which is only in the beginning of the 2nd set.

Price now down to $2.35 at Centrebet. This much movement in tennis is when I normally start to hate my bet.

[rochestertitans]

Threads not a jinx I didnt call it a lock at all nothing is a lock.. Hey if your uncomfy with it, you can hedge off at current odds and make money

[EaglesPhan36]

Care to elaborate on your strong info for anyone who cares? Or is this one of those super secret things where if you reveal your source, you die?

[jjgold]

2.56 at Betfair

[LockPickMaster]

Lucie ??

Lucie in the sky with Diamonds

[face]

0-3 so far when following an sbr "hot tip" thread. learning to scale way down on these. could this be 1-3?