Is there any MLB matchup that you would lay -185 on?

[mofome]

I cant think of one.

[SBR Lou]

-185 fuck that.

I'd rather play small dogs or baby favorites, or totals.

[diogee]

Fadable Fish would

[5 star bomb]

Yes.... If I feel a game should be 250 or higher and the line is 185 I will at least consider playing it. I hate laying numbers like that and very very rarely will do it. But there are times where its more than acceptable imo

[LT Profits]

No, I never even lay -130...LOL

[onlooker]

N.O Spells No.

I have a hard time betting over -130, but I would say 95% of my bets are underdogs.

[MrX]

I will gladly lay -185 and beyond when it is +EV.

And, yes, there are +EV opportunities at those prices.

[MadCapper]

Hell no!

Even the BEST teams lose 60+ games each year!

[durito]

Yes, absolutely.

[Joeyfitzclick]

Johan Santana at home V Pitt's fifth starter ?

Sure

[mathdotcom]

Yes. Any team that has JJ batting cleanup.

[Willie Bee]

Is there any MLB matchup that you would lay -185 on?

Jake Peavy vs the Giants with Russ Ortiz or Woody Williams starting, I'd have to at least think about that one.

[durito]

Basically what someone is saying when they won't lay above -170 is that no team has a greater than 64.9% of winning the game.

If that is in fact the case, then the books and markets are mis pricing games with large favorites. If that's the case, every game at +190 or above would be profitable and we should all be raking in cash betting all of them.

[LT Profits]

Basically what someone is saying when they won't lay above -170 is that no team has a greater than 64.9% of winning the game.

If that is in fact the case, then the books and markets are mis pricing games with large favorites. If that's the case, every game at +190 or above would be profitable and we should all be raking in cash betting all of them.

The best team in baseball will only win about 62% of the time and the worst team will still win about 38%. So if my handicapping points me to a big favorite, I'd much rather pass the game than lay those odds. That is not the same thing as saying bet all big dogs blindly.

[pokernut9999]

When you have the top pitchers going against low level teams I will all the time.

Games like last Friday Astros/Oswalt and Saturday Cleveland/Carmona no because the teams they are playing were hot coming in and they are not in my opiniion reliable as neither was team playing well.

Give me Sheets, Peavy , Webb against crappy teams and yes.

[mofome]

Jake Peavy vs the Giants with Russ Ortiz or Woody Williams starting, I'd have to at least think about that one.

You can't make up teams Mr Bee. I would take peavy on the yankees with pap closing over the UGA bulldogs.

[mofome]

When you have the top pitchers going against low level teams I will all the time.

Games like last Friday Astros/Oswalt and Saturday Cleveland/Carmona no because the teams they are playing were hot coming in and they are not in my opiniion reliable as neither was team playing well.

Give me Sheets, Peavy , Webb against crappy teams and yes.

Sheets is under .500 in his career.

[pokernut9999]

Sheets is under .500 in his career.

Did not say every game, talking in the present. The way those guys are pitching now if they came up -185 vs crap teams I would play them.

It is obvious you cant not lay -185+ every time a pitcher or good team plays. There are selective times a big line is worth it.

[buztah]

Sure if it's free money. When you win there's no juice.

[LT Profits]

Actually, BLINDLY playing all underdogs greater than +200 is 371-882, -1.51 units since 1999. It should not take much filtering to turn -1.51 into a nice profit.

[pokernut9999]

Actually, BLINDLY playing all underdogs greater than +200 is 371-882, -1.51 units since 1999. It should not take much filtering to turn -1.51 into a nice profit.

Or vice versa

[thegreatdiatchi]

Only if i'm really confident on it but only 1/1000 plays.

[durito]

Sure if it's free money. When you win there's no juice.

there's juice whenever you place a bet, win or lose (perhaps unless you were playing at no-juice sportsbook, which i believe was a deposit only operation)

[JEMFS]

It does not happen often, but if the statistics and trends take me in that direction I'll go with the heavy fav.

[pokernut9999]

Webb vs Zito Wednesday , book it.

[mofome]

Webb vs Zito Wednesday , book it.

[pat venditto]

When Its A Winner Theres No Juice.

[diogee]

Webb vs Zito Wednesday , book it.

Still can't do it but definitely a good parlay option for Hudson or Penny.

[JRS21386]

Yeah i agree with dio... Good parlay option but i wouldnt play it on singles..

[mofome]

When Its A Winner Theres No Juice.

what about when its a loser?

[JRS21386]

I like underdogs myself...

[mofome]

I like underdogs myself...

nats +190?
Cinci +185?

[pat venditto]

dont pick losers no problem

[Cannon]

AL east against the Texas Rangers.

[mofome]

dont pick losers no problem

well we cant all be all in on an awful play and get bailed out with 11 runs in 3 innings.

my apologies.