KENPOM says.....

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  • Lets go out
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-13-11
    • 737

    #1
    KENPOM says.....
    I've been doing some homework the last few weeks using the kenpom charts...Must say itsa facinating tool

    I'm gonna post some plays today that qualify for a system using the kenpom charts...This is still a system in progress so please take these picks lightly until all bugs can be ironed out....I'll post 'em before they go off.....They will have a rating from 1-10 obv 10 being best
    Hope this works....think i'll try it out for a week.....see how it goes

    First up ST JOES +12 strenght 4

    Good luck
  • ricohhh
    SBR Hustler
    • 12-15-10
    • 59

    #2
    Curious to where this goes. Bol
    Comment
    • Lets go out
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-13-11
      • 737

      #3
      I am as well...Its worked very good last few weeks but i didnt use it cause i wanted a few dozen games of trial....The ST' joes game is a rivalry game...I havent figured out yet how to include rivalry into system.....we'll see how it goes
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #4
        Originally posted by Lets go out
        I am as well...Its worked very good last few weeks but i didnt use it cause i wanted a few dozen games of trial....The ST' joes game is a rivalry game...I havent figured out yet how to include rivalry into system.....we'll see how it goes
        that's the million-dollar question. sometimes i just avoid rivalry games altogether, other times i give the dog a boost when i'm capping it. BOL with your testing and plays.
        Comment
        • balls2wall
          SBR MVP
          • 12-20-09
          • 2642

          #5
          Originally posted by Lets go out
          I've been doing some homework the last few weeks using the kenpom charts...Must say itsa facinating tool

          I'm gonna post some plays today that qualify for a system using the kenpom charts...This is still a system in progress so please take these picks lightly until all bugs can be ironed out....I'll post 'em before they go off.....They will have a rating from 1-10 obv 10 being best
          Hope this works....think i'll try it out for a week.....see how it goes

          First up ST JOES +12 strenght 4

          Good luck


          good luck with your system


          would you care to share what the system is?
          Comment
          • Lets go out
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-13-11
            • 737

            #6
            Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
            that's the million-dollar question. sometimes i just avoid rivalry games altogether, other times i give the dog a boost when i'm capping it. BOL with your testing and plays.


            I should've let this one pass until i can include it in the system in a functional way....right now St Joe's is getting their clocks cleaned

            The next play looks solid tho.....gonna post in a few min.
            Comment
            • Lets go out
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-13-11
              • 737

              #7
              Penn St. +4' strength 7
              Purdue -9 strength 3

              There are 2 more that qualify right now they go at 6pm and 7 pm,,,,since i have some time til then i'll look at them a little closer before i post.......
              Penn ST. +4' seems like it will be the strongest play today
              GL all
              Comment
              • Lets go out
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-13-11
                • 737

                #8
                adding G TOWN + 5 strength 2
                Comment
                • Lets go out
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-13-11
                  • 737

                  #9
                  System says Xaiver....However every time i play them i get my balls kicked in strength wuld be 1
                  Comment
                  • Lets go out
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-13-11
                    • 737

                    #10
                    these qualify as well they rank low 1's and 2's

                    Butler -2
                    Marq. -2'
                    Byu -2

                    These rank higher

                    N. west +10'
                    PORTLAND +5'
                    gl
                    Comment
                    • LockPickMaster
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-15-09
                      • 1943

                      #11
                      how many games have won so far
                      Comment
                      • Lets go out
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-13-11
                        • 737

                        #12
                        today....NONE st joes got their asses spanked.....However...I'm thinking about elimnating games where rivalrys are played....especially on a neutral court.......Again ...I'm tweaking it ....we'll see how it goes today.....
                        Comment
                        • Lets go out
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-13-11
                          • 737

                          #13
                          So here are the plays:
                          ST joes +12
                          Penn ST +4'
                          Purdue - 9
                          G Town +5
                          Xaiver +4
                          Butler - 2
                          Marq. -2'
                          BYU -2
                          NW + 10'
                          Port +5'
                          GL
                          Last edited by Lets go out; 01-29-11, 09:02 PM.
                          Comment
                          • Lets go out
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-13-11
                            • 737

                            #14
                            lookin good so far
                            Comment
                            • Lets go out
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-13-11
                              • 737

                              #15
                              Lets go Penn St.
                              Comment
                              • LockPickMaster
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-15-09
                                • 1943

                                #16
                                Did you factor in that Shurna is out for NW
                                Comment
                                • TEXAS MICKEY
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-14-10
                                  • 1398

                                  #17
                                  GOOD LUCK............

                                  You might want to look through the thread ""Tracking New System 80% First Week"" it was based on the KenPom strategy with all kinds of filters and input. It worked good for about two weeks.
                                  Then took a major SHIT when conference play started.
                                  Just a little FYI and I played all the plays and still watch it today, but use your money management to it's best or your going to a real FUKKING.......................

                                  Not a hater and I don't mean to rain on your parade, just use caution.
                                  Comment
                                  • Lets go out
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-13-11
                                    • 737

                                    #18
                                    NP...I'm actually not playing these games.....Just posting them and keeping one eye on how it does...I've read your thread...Think this system is a little bit different ......we kind of retro-fitted it to another system we were working on....Still very much in its infant stages

                                    Thanks for the heads up tho
                                    Comment
                                    • Lets go out
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-13-11
                                      • 737

                                      #19
                                      When i posted this lock pick he was listed as questionable....If i were playing these i prop would have layed off
                                      Comment
                                      • Lets go out
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-13-11
                                        • 737

                                        #20
                                        Well....Not too bad 7-3 on the day and still not working exactly the way we want it to....Mabey i shouldnt mess with it yet

                                        We'll give it a shot on the next card
                                        Comment
                                        • yisman
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-01-08
                                          • 75682

                                          #21
                                          also see:

                                          Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                          [/quote]

                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                          Comment
                                          • mmike032
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-11-08
                                            • 8905

                                            #22
                                            kenpom spreads will end up 50% at best at seasons end...
                                            its not that easy or Kenpom would keep the info to himself and make millions...
                                            ala BW
                                            Comment
                                            • Lets go out
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-13-11
                                              • 737

                                              #23
                                              I've been to that thread many times....There is def. a difference in our system....we aren't only looking for spread diff. in posted vegas lines and kenpom lines ....we retrofitted an existing system and are using kenpom charts for more accurate numbers for the equation.....If you look at the picks i put out today most kenpom cappers would tell you that most of the teams i posted today wouldn't qualify as traditional picks......I do apprieciate all of the help and comments tho.....Just trying something out here...Hopefully it'll help at some point.......thanks and gl
                                              Comment
                                              • Lets go out
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-13-11
                                                • 737

                                                #24
                                                Plays for SUNDAY 1/30

                                                Kent ST -19' strength 2
                                                Last edited by Lets go out; 01-30-11, 12:19 AM.
                                                Comment
                                                • Lets go out
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-13-11
                                                  • 737

                                                  #25
                                                  Play #2 for Sunday

                                                  ST.JOHNS +8' strength 4
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Lets go out
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-13-11
                                                    • 737

                                                    #26
                                                    Drake + 6 Strength 7
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Lets go out
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-13-11
                                                      • 737

                                                      #27
                                                      DAYTON +8 strength 6
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Lets go out
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-13-11
                                                        • 737

                                                        #28
                                                        Wisc Green bay -3 strength 4
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hugh4310
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-10-10
                                                          • 2302

                                                          #29
                                                          You think ST john's will keep it close vs DUKE?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Lets go out
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-13-11
                                                            • 737

                                                            #30
                                                            Personally...."no" but the system says.." yes"....Just trying this thing out for a while

                                                            TODAYS PLAYS Sun. 1/30

                                                            St. Johns +8'
                                                            Kent st. -19'
                                                            Drake + 6
                                                            Dayton +8
                                                            WISC GB -3
                                                            MIA +9

                                                            GL All
                                                            Last edited by Lets go out; 01-30-11, 07:41 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Lets go out
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-13-11
                                                              • 737

                                                              #31
                                                              Added games...these just barely qualified..

                                                              Wash -3'
                                                              Miami +9

                                                              GL
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Lets go out
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-13-11
                                                                • 737

                                                                #32
                                                                One to go....This last game will make a big % difference

                                                                Wash -3'

                                                                Not even close
                                                                Last edited by Lets go out; 01-31-11, 04:12 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LockPickMaster
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-15-09
                                                                  • 1943

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Do you know if Texas and Louisville make the list for tomorrow
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Lets go out
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-13-11
                                                                    • 737

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i will let you know
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • khaden
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-19-09
                                                                      • 1864

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Looking pretty good on these-hope you continue to post. How long to you plan to track before you start to make actual plays? Im tempted to start playing now
                                                                      Comment
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