Picoman Wed Accuscore Kelly Tracker

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  • pico
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-05-07
    • 27321

    #1
    Picoman Wed Accuscore Kelly Tracker
    SP/odds/risk%
    lilly -135 6
    hamel -219 7.49
    jurrjens -112 6.72
    arrayo -109 5.95
    miller +148 6.16
    cook -104 10.24
    maddux -142 10.46
    bannister +166 3.86
    burnett +135 2.52
    blackburn +113 11.41
    silva -146 1.6

    bankroll: $10,349.52
  • Wheell
    SBR MVP
    • 01-11-07
    • 1380

    #2
    Hold on one second, i need a definition here. Let's look at Hamel, 219 7.49. You What is that 7.49? 7.49 risked, or to win 7.49? I'm smelling a problem in the math here.
    Comment
    • pico
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-05-07
      • 27321

      #3
      Originally posted by Wheell
      Hold on one second, i need a definition here. Let's look at Hamel, 219 7.49. You What is that 7.49? 7.49 risked, or to win 7.49? I'm smelling a problem in the math here.
      risk
      Comment
      • pico
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-05-07
        • 27321

        #4
        this is pretty good with early games
        Comment
        • twtb19
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-08-07
          • 553

          #5
          I just want to make sure I am reading this correctly. You are wagering today on the games a total of 72.41% of your bankroll or $7494.09 on the games...is this correct or where did I go wrong???

          I am asking because I am still newer to building up a bankroll and learning the ropes. It just seems like a good percentage of your bankroll to be risked this early in the season.
          Comment
          • pico
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-05-07
            • 27321

            #6
            Originally posted by twtb19
            I just want to make sure I am reading this correctly. You are wagering today on the games a total of 72.41% of your bankroll or $7494.09 on the games...is this correct or where did I go wrong???

            I am asking because I am still newer to building up a bankroll and learning the ropes. It just seems like a good percentage of your bankroll to be risked this early in the season.
            i do not suggest anyone to wager this way. i am doing this using hypothetical bankroll starting 10k. yes, if you like all the numbers, it'll cost you 72% of your bankroll.

            i am only betting one or two games off this list.
            Comment
            • twtb19
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-08-07
              • 553

              #7
              Originally posted by picoman
              i do not suggest anyone to wager this way. i am doing this using hypothetical bankroll starting 10k. yes, if you like all the numbers, it'll cost you 72% of your bankroll.

              i am only betting one or two games off this list.
              Okay, I was curious because it seems very early in the year to risk that much, I appreciate you clarifying you are doing this experimentally(if that is a word).
              Comment
              • pico
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-05-07
                • 27321

                #8
                Originally posted by twtb19
                Okay, I was curious because it seems very early in the year to risk that much, I appreciate you clarifying you are doing this experimentally(if that is a word).
                i should've say it for every thread...i got lazy. yeah, i am only doing this as an experiment, and to see if there anything useful by looking at these numbers at all.
                Comment
                • pico
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-05-07
                  • 27321

                  #9
                  Originally posted by picoman
                  SP/odds/risk%
                  lilly -135 6 loss
                  hamel -219 7.49 loss
                  jurrjens -112 6.72 win
                  arrayo -109 5.95 win
                  miller +148 6.16 loss
                  cook -104 10.24 loss
                  maddux -142 10.46 loss
                  bannister +166 3.86 win
                  burnett +135 2.52 win
                  blackburn +113 11.41 loss
                  silva -146 1.6 win

                  bankroll: $10,349.52
                  performed really badly today

                  loss of 2939.58

                  ending bankroll: $7409.94
                  Comment
                  • pico
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-05-07
                    • 27321

                    #10
                    maybe it is a good strategy to fade all the picks
                    Comment
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