need advice on hedging super bowl

[nyplayer33]

right now if gb wins ill get back total of 600 with about 150 being my own money i bet..all of this is green bay no points..would u hedge or not..looks like a close game

[nli07]

i would hedge with pitt +3. you could win both bets.

[nyplayer33]

good point

[Mr. Peepers]

keep your money...packer play is a winner

[JOHON8]

If I were you I'd just hedge enough to get your money back on the +3. You could win both, you could win only 1 but you won't lose anything.

[RollPlayer]

I agree with Johon. The bet you already have is +EV by a lot, no need to throw that away on a full blown hedge. Just get back enough to here you wont be too bummed out if the Packers lose and then watch the game and root them on

[tblues2005]

I would move the line to +3 1/2 if you can then play about half as a back up so you will win either way here.

[masontnk]

hedge with 3 1/2

[bio_blitz]

No hedge... ride this one out

[stikymess]

Don't think this land in the 3 area. I would look a little into pitt ml so you have a winner either way. better to take some profit than losing it all.

[Skidcom]

Only hedge if you strongly believe that Pitt is the play independent of your existing SB bet.

[blackbart]

hedging is never a good idea unless;
the hedge bet is itself +ev
the original bet is too big, meaning a loss will significantly affect your bankroll

[Powderguy]

3.5, 20-17

[slatter]

Hedging is gross, but not as gross as if you needed to hedge on GB to save your butt (like I do). I agree that betting +3 would be pretty solid, or even buying the juice on +3.5 because it could so easily end up on the 3 might be worth it.

[milwaukee mike]

i have some cash on gb +800 that i am going to hedge

it would be tough to go this far and actually be BEHIND on the wager

your gap is a little narrower at 150 to win 450 if i am reading that correctly
maybe take pitt +120 for 150 to win 180?

that way you are either up 30 or up 150, still gives you a reason to root for the packers but a steelers win wouldn't be quite as painful

[kfranz31]

if you can hedge and guarantee either a win or break even i would do it...where in vegas can you find guaranteed money

[raidersfan]

i would hedge with pitt +3. you could win both bets.

[str]

right now if gb wins ill get back total of 600 with about 150 being my own money i bet..all of this is green bay no points..would u hedge or not..looks like a close game

I would hedge it .
My reason for doing this is simple.I think Pitt. is the side in this match up.
In looking at all the various stats and numbers surrounding the game, the one that I just can not dismiss is that under Tomlin, Pitt. is 41-11 SU when they allow less than 100 yards rushing.I do not think that G.B. will rush for 100 yards.
Right or wrong, that is the way I would play it.

[msec512]

Hedge to -3.5 and you'll have a good shot at hitting both.

[iwantcougars]

hedge $200 on pitt +3