baseball seems too easy to win

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  • WE EAT FISH
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-17-08
    • 311

    #106
    Originally posted by pimike
    Kellen I agree that was a strange thing to say baseball is easy. It is but if they think betting favorites will make them money they have not learned much from Detriot yesterday. Give them time. The will learn even if it is the hard way

    My brother lost a lot of money gambling I had to help him even though I did not have extra cash he is still my bro so I started betting it worked. All baseball season I won because I can figure out who will win I will NOT ALLOW vegas to scare me off of easy wins with their lines.
    Comment
    • The Seer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-29-07
      • 10641

      #107
      What happens when Pedro gets hurt in the first inning and some reliever gets shelled? or has an off night? or his team commits some costly errors? etc. That's why u don't always win.
      Comment
      • Arnold
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-17-07
        • 906

        #108
        WE EAT FISH, just answer one question: what is your IQ?
        Comment
        • WestsidePete
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-19-07
          • 8049

          #109
          Originally posted by pokernut9999
          I have noticed that the team that scores the most runs always wins !!!! How easy is this, I think I will start betting baseball.

          I think you're on to something here...and I'll have todays locks tomorrow for everybody...
          Comment
          • WE EAT FISH
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-17-08
            • 311

            #110
            Originally posted by The Seer
            What happens when Pedro gets hurt in the first inning and some reliever gets shelled? or has an off night? or his team commits some costly errors? etc. That's why u don't always win.

            Pedro is healthy that is a part of CAPPING I don't win every game I do win every year.
            Comment
            • diogee
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-11-08
              • 19477

              #111
              Pokernut has inside info....so does Slugger though.
              Comment
              • buztah
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-23-07
                • 7470

                #112
                Originally posted by WestsidePete
                I think you're on to something here...and I'll have todays locks tomorrow for everybody...
                You're both full of shit. The team that wins is not the team that scores the most but the team that gives up the fewest runs. Total difference here in approach and philosophy!!!

                Too bad you dumbphux can't see this. If you did you would make some easy money with me and my boy fish face tonight.
                Comment
                • pokernut9999
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-25-07
                  • 12757

                  #113
                  Am I wrong here ? Does the team that scores the most runs always cover ? I did my research and have stats to prove it.

                  What am I missing here ?

                  I know in football and basketball a team can win but not cover spread right ?
                  Comment
                  • pokernut9999
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-25-07
                    • 12757

                    #114
                    Originally posted by buztah
                    You're both full of shit. The team that wins is not the team that scores the most but the team that gives up the fewest runs. Total difference here in approach and philosophy!!!

                    Too bad you dumbphux can't see this. If you did you would make some easy money with me and my boy fish face tonight.
                    DAMN DAMN Just when I thought I had this shit figured out


                    Comment
                    • buztah
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-23-07
                      • 7470

                      #115
                      poker, you will never figure this shit out until you take the fish face and Buzzy/True Lion approach. Look at pitching. Phuck batting! look at pitching, pal. Phuck the lines! As JJ says, a winning bet pays no juice. it doesn't matter what the line is so long as you pick the winner!

                      This tid bit of free wisdom is a courtesy of True Lion Sports.
                      Comment
                      • WestsidePete
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 07-19-07
                        • 8049

                        #116
                        Originally posted by buztah
                        You're both full of shit. The team that wins is not the team that scores the most but the team that gives up the fewest runs. Total difference here in approach and philosophy!!!

                        Too bad you dumbphux can't see this. If you did you would make some easy money with me and my boy fish face tonight.

                        no wonder you're the king buzzy...you've got all the answers...hey I've heard the earth is round...is this true?? doesn't look round to me...
                        Comment
                        • buztah
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 03-23-07
                          • 7470

                          #117
                          Originally posted by WestsidePete
                          no wonder you're the king buzzy...you've got all the answers...hey I've heard the earth is round...is this true?? doesn't look round to me...
                          It's an oval, pal. Word.
                          Comment
                          • diogee
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-11-08
                            • 19477

                            #118
                            Buzzy the problem is that I can't pick a winner to save my life so the juice destroys me...I am barreled in with 4 dozen eggs and a bag of cheese in the fridge. Phuck me...In a way I win because I get to eat cheese omelettes all day.
                            Comment
                            • HedgeHog
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-11-07
                              • 10128

                              #119
                              Originally posted by WE EAT FISH
                              Pedro versus someone no one here ever heard of. Bank IT
                              I'm bumping your thread in October. Tell me how easy it was for you. Believe me, the "sharps" will tell you it's a grind--even with low vig.
                              Comment
                              • WestsidePete
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-19-07
                                • 8049

                                #120
                                Originally posted by buztah
                                It's an oval, pal. Word.
                                no wonder I eat so many f*cking eggs...man you're on fire!!...now one more buzzy...
                                how come the yankees don't win every game?? they're hugh favs all the time..what gives?? maybe the oval earth messes with these guys...
                                Comment
                                • pokernut9999
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-25-07
                                  • 12757

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by WestsidePete
                                  no wonder I eat so many f*cking eggs...man you're on fire!!...now one more buzzy...
                                  how come the yankees don't win every game?? they're hugh favs all the time..what gives?? maybe the oval earth messes with these guys...
                                  I believe if you fade the Yanks every game they play you will have a nice profit , key is every game.
                                  Comment
                                  • diogee
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-11-08
                                    • 19477

                                    #122
                                    Pokernut...LT ran the numbers from last year for fading the Yankees on the ML each game and I believe it came out to +3 units.
                                    Comment
                                    • WE EAT FISH
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 03-17-08
                                      • 311

                                      #123
                                      Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                      I'm bumping your thread in October. Tell me how easy it was for you. Believe me, the "sharps" will tell you it's a grind--even with low vig.


                                      Do 25$ parlays see if that wins. I know how to win in MLB I will post if people stop making up lies and fake bullshit it's dumb and annoying.
                                      Comment
                                      • pokernut9999
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-25-07
                                        • 12757

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by diogee
                                        Pokernut...LT ran the numbers from last year for fading the Yankees on the ML each game and I believe it came out to +3 units.
                                        Try - $1350 for the year. Been in the negative almost every year I believe for quite awhile.


                                        Do not question your elders.

                                        TEAM RECORD MONEY vsLHP vsRHP
                                        NYY 94-68 -$1350 20-18 74-50
                                        Comment
                                        • diogee
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-11-08
                                          • 19477

                                          #125
                                          Is that -1350 betting on the Yanks or fading them...LT's numbers showed profit if you faded them each game.
                                          Comment
                                          • pokernut9999
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-25-07
                                            • 12757

                                            #126
                                            I said fading them will show a profit. Last year you would have made $1350 betting against them if you bet $100 each time. So I believe they were -13.5 for the year? unit wise.
                                            Comment
                                            • diogee
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-11-08
                                              • 19477

                                              #127
                                              Here is what LT came up with:
                                              OK, the results are surprising, If, in the 2007 regular season, you would have bet:

                                              ON the Yankees every game: 94-68, -10.62 units
                                              AGAINST Yankees every game: 68-94, +3.27 units
                                              AGAINST Yankees at +100 or more: 54-85, -0.08 units
                                              AGAINST Yankees at -110 or more: 10-5, +3.48 units
                                              AGAINST Yankees from -101 to -109: 4-4, -0.13 units

                                              The numbers are very insignificant, as betting against the Yankees would have picked up just 3.27 units over 162 games. What surprised me was that the best time to fade the Yankees was when they were underdogs (+3.48), although that was a small sampling of 15 games.
                                              Comment
                                              • WestsidePete
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-19-07
                                                • 8049

                                                #128
                                                I would think fade the yanks #3, 4 and 5 starters...hey lion king...sir buzzy...what's your take on fade the yanks??
                                                Comment
                                                • treece
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 11-28-07
                                                  • 6298

                                                  #129
                                                  I took the Marlins reverse runline -1.5 +320. I think Pedro gets hit hard.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MadCapper
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-27-08
                                                    • 4179

                                                    #130
                                                    4-0 marlins early
                                                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HedgeHog
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-11-07
                                                      • 10128

                                                      #131
                                                      Yep. Baseball is so easy.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Arnold
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-17-07
                                                        • 906

                                                        #132
                                                        Something tells me this clown won't post on this forum ever again after what seems to be an embarrassing loss for him to come.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BeatTheJerk
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-19-07
                                                          • 31794

                                                          #133
                                                          wow treece ill be routing for that to hit, thats an exotic pick ..............
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BeatTheJerk
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 08-19-07
                                                            • 31794

                                                            #134
                                                            baseball seems easy ...........lol fukin newbies
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BuddyBear
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-10-05
                                                              • 7233

                                                              #135
                                                              Baseball is way too easy, I agree. I am surprised most people don't quit their jobs and bet on baseball full time.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • imgv94
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-16-05
                                                                • 17192

                                                                #136
                                                                Just like every sport there will be a ton of people posting their picks everyday and that number will go down gradually til it's down to a handful..

                                                                Let's see how many people are still posting plays daily in July..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bigugly
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-04-08
                                                                  • 1329

                                                                  #137
                                                                  I'm still pullin' for the Mets...but if the the Marlins win, at least I can find some satisfaction in this thread. haha.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Iwinyourmoney
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 04-18-07
                                                                    • 18368

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Marlines baby. Hold up!!! 1k to win 1800
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BeatTheJerk
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-19-07
                                                                      • 31794

                                                                      #139
                                                                      hey im not saying you didnt take that bet, but how you gonna throw that in after their up 4-0 in the 4th ............. well wctually 4-1 now and 2 men on
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BeatTheJerk
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 08-19-07
                                                                        • 31794

                                                                        #140
                                                                        if you posted it prior to the game started then correct me please .......
                                                                        Comment
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