Wright State will get the win at home tonight, very confident about this play.

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  • Hoja Verdes
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-06
    • 1403

    #1
    Wright State will get the win at home tonight, very confident about this play.
    I've been following both these teams very closely this season, and while I normally never start threads like this, I'm making an exception here. Ken Pomeroy has this pegged as a 64-59 Wright State win, but I think it will be more comfortable than that. I just loaded up on the moneyline at -190 in case it does end up being a close game.

    I'll get into a more detailed write-up for anyone that's interested, but for now I'll just say that this is a good spot for them to win by about 8-10 points. If you're looking for a good place to grab a little action tonight, take the moneyline and be confident in the win at home for Wright State. I don't believe in locks, but I do think this is a 5x play on my scale of 1 to 5.

    Good luck.
  • jagaf22
    SBR MVP
    • 01-22-08
    • 2932

    #2
    I'll throw a little on it!
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82667

      #3
      Thank you. I'd bet it for 10 points at the Book.
      Comment
      • SlickFazzer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-22-08
        • 20209

        #4
        will consider this selection. GL
        Comment
        • Hoja Verdes
          SBR MVP
          • 08-23-06
          • 1403

          #5
          Damn it, as soon as I punched in -190, happy because Pinny is at -193, a -180 immediately pops up at matchbook. Oh well, not gonna be an issue because they will win. Good luck guys, I will even give each of you above me a bunch of points if it loses (not gonna happen).
          Comment
          • BatemanPatrickl
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 06-21-07
            • 18772

            #6
            Wow a -190 ML in College Hoops THANK YOU so much; going to empty my account on this gem
            Comment
            • Hoja Verdes
              SBR MVP
              • 08-23-06
              • 1403

              #7
              Originally posted by BatemanPatrickl
              Wow a -190 ML in College Hoops THANK YOU so much; going to empty my account on this gem
              Yeah yeah, I normally would be thinking the same thing myself, trust me. But every rule as an exception. I'll happily wager some points if you want the other side at +180.
              Comment
              • wcb231
                SBR Hustler
                • 01-13-11
                • 62

                #8
                Riding this on a small bet tonight with the Celtics ML. Thanks for the info!
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  CAREFUL!

                  Wright State is already looking ahead to hosting Butler on Sunday. Gun to my head, I'd go Valpo +4.5.
                  Comment
                  • chiliv5
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-16-10
                    • 1273

                    #10
                    Valpo aint nobody to sleep on....
                    Comment
                    • HoulihansTX
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-12-09
                      • 30566

                      #11
                      Looks like you are calling it a lock, but with out saying so.

                      Dont be a bitch. If its a lock, just say it.
                      Comment
                      • Boxer300
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 02-17-10
                        • 498

                        #12
                        What makes you think they win by 8 to 10pts? I just don't see it happening.
                        Comment
                        • zephyr
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 09-19-10
                          • 516

                          #13
                          Appreciate the thread. Anything to provoke thought. But I took a look, and I have to say I'm with LT on this. This game is going to be hotly contested. I'll be surprised if either team gets a big lead. Especially Wright State. Valpo scores 73.4 points per game, to Wright State's 64. Valpo with the points looks like the play. Valpo has a much better RPI (72 v. 120). Wright State is a terrible rebounding team (342nd, with only 28.1 per game); Valpo is OK in that department. Appears that Wright State is going to try to slow the pace of this game, and probably will have to rely on outside shooting. I see that Wright State takes good care of the ball, and they shoot pretty well (but not great). Still. I'll go with the faster playing, stronger-in-the-paint team. Small play for me on Valpo with the points. GL.
                          Comment
                          • kfranz31
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-09-10
                            • 1186

                            #14
                            good luck wll throw some on it
                            Comment
                            • Hoja Verdes
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-23-06
                              • 1403

                              #15
                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                              Looks like you are calling it a lock, but with out saying so.

                              Dont be a bitch. If its a lock, just say it.
                              Not a lock, nothing is. Even the big plays lose sometimes. I play this unit size about once or twice a month.
                              Comment
                              • HoulihansTX
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-12-09
                                • 30566

                                #16
                                OK b/c I had $2000 in my pocket waiting for a lock.

                                Maybe next time.
                                Comment
                                • ringemup
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-24-08
                                  • 2112

                                  #17
                                  what exactly impresses u about wright state they lost 3 starters off last yrs team and is not as strong in the frontcourt this yr, they r on a winning streak but so is valpo n they actually r stronger with sum additions. valpo comes in off an impressive victory over cleveland state i think theyll come in confident and give wright state one hell of a game would not by any means count out them winning. u have no analysis to bak this pick up yet u make an exception for it?
                                  Comment
                                  • fsfalcons
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 03-13-08
                                    • 425

                                    #18
                                    i was thinking about taking wright state too lets cash this
                                    Comment
                                    • Hoja Verdes
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-23-06
                                      • 1403

                                      #19
                                      let's do this. game on.
                                      Comment
                                      • wcb231
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 01-13-11
                                        • 62

                                        #20
                                        Nice of them to not come out of the locker room in the second half
                                        Comment
                                        • ACoochy
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-19-09
                                          • 13949

                                          #21
                                          Its like their there but their not there.....
                                          Comment
                                          • ringemup
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-24-08
                                            • 2112

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Hoja Verdes
                                            let's do this. game on.

                                            valpo by 9, nice call kno how to bak ur pik up with analysis.
                                            Comment
                                            • ACoochy
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-19-09
                                              • 13949

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ringemup
                                              valpo by 9, nice call kno how to bak ur pik up with analysis.
                                              After reading ur analysis ended up taking val +4.5. I believe a ty is in order
                                              Comment
                                              • chiliv5
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-16-10
                                                • 1273

                                                #24
                                                valpo aint nobody to sleep on.... said it 3 hours ago! along w most everyone else! problem is my only play was Stetson.... GO STETSON!!!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • SlickFazzer
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-22-08
                                                  • 20209

                                                  #25
                                                  how are you up 7-9 at half and get outscored 28 to 12 in second half...these teams blow.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ringemup
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-24-08
                                                    • 2112

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ACoochy
                                                    After reading ur analysis ended up taking val +4.5. I believe a ty is in order

                                                    u got it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ringemup
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-24-08
                                                      • 2112

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by SlickFazzer
                                                      how are you up 7-9 at half and get outscored 28 to 12 in second half...these teams blow.
                                                      have u noticed how many underdogs have cashed in college hoops this yr, it is a sign of things in the college game today favs r weaker than ever theres only a handful of teams worth trusting as favs.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ProfaneReality
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-14-09
                                                        • 7607

                                                        #28
                                                        bad thing about ML favs is you end up losing way more than you would have if you bet the spread
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BatemanPatrickl
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 06-21-07
                                                          • 18772

                                                          #29
                                                          This guy has been a jerk to me before so I am glad he lost a -190 ML. Looks like he was following Wright State's towel boy.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chiliv5
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-16-10
                                                            • 1273

                                                            #30
                                                            ringemup-
                                                            you are totally right. it just seems so easy for the public to play the fav's. i do a lot of the time as well. with kids staying one and done the turnover is crazy. hell look at Butler...hayward goes pro and the impact of him leaving is crazy. they are still a good team but 1 stud heads to the league and people are just playing on a name to cover.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • crustyme
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 09-29-10
                                                              • 16896

                                                              #31
                                                              i think we have found brock landers ghost.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EmpireMaker
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 06-18-09
                                                                • 15602

                                                                #32
                                                                LT made a much better case against and that's how the game went as Sammy would say DO WORK !!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ringemup
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-24-08
                                                                  • 2112

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by chiliv5
                                                                  ringemup-
                                                                  you are totally right. it just seems so easy for the public to play the fav's. i do a lot of the time as well. with kids staying one and done the turnover is crazy. hell look at Butler...hayward goes pro and the impact of him leaving is crazy. they are still a good team but 1 stud heads to the league and people are just playing on a name to cover.

                                                                  once u get closer to march ull kno which teams to trust rite now its hay wire early in conference play
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pavyracer
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                                    • 82667

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by crustyme
                                                                    i think we have found brock landers ghost.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hoja Verdes
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-23-06
                                                                      • 1403

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Sorry folks. Assholes scored 20 F'n pts in the second half after being up 7 at halftime.
                                                                      Comment
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