If everybook is offering a +270 but one has the same event at +315

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  • mofome
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-19-07
    • 13003

    #1
    If everybook is offering a +270 but one has the same event at +315
    and that book is reliable, do you take it every time?
  • cobra_king
    SBR MVP
    • 08-07-06
    • 2494

    #2
    This obviously depends on whether you think there is value in getting +315, but if you do than absolutely. This isn't an obvious bad line per se. Hell just one look at alternative hockey lines today show that +315 wouldn't even make it an arb with a "normal" line that has +270 for the dog. It could just be an opinionated line that top quality books have from time to time.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Not every single time no. Like cobra the Hartford Whaler said, only if the play has value at +315.

      For example, suppose you handicap the proper odds on the event to be +325? Then +315 holds as much value as +270...none.
      Comment
      • durito
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-03-06
        • 13173

        #4
        Originally posted by LT Profits

        For example, suppose you handicap the proper odds on the event to be +325? Then +315 holds as much value as +270...none.
        Actually it holds more value. It may be a negative expected value play, but the +315 still has a higher expected value than the +270.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          durito,

          True but there is still no EDGE, which I supose is what I should have said, so it is a non-play in either case. I am assuming that the line is not scalpable by the way, which would be a different animal.
          Comment
          • durito
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-03-06
            • 13173

            #6
            Of course LT.

            I was just pointing out that all bets do in fact have value, whether it's positive or negative that's another story.
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