Syracuse/Providence total

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #1
    Syracuse/Providence total
    153? Huh?

    Both Providence and Syracuse have been offensive machines. Both teams appear to be high scoring due to their relatively easy schedules. Providence's opponents allow 24 points/100 possessions more than the NCAAB average (excluding games with Providence). Syracuse's schedule isn't quite as ridiculous -- their opponents are only 19 points/100 possessions worse than the NCAAB average (again, excluding games with Syracuse).

    Both teams have pretty good defenses. Past scoring is not a great predictor when you have such screwy SOS ratings.

    This total is WAY off. I'd consider it a very good play on the under, down as low as 148.
  • Joe Sharp
    SBR MVP
    • 06-01-09
    • 3011

    #2
    Agreed. This Providence squad has had a bit of trouble vs the Zone as well. And we all know what Cuse is going to run on D.

    I like it. Good luck J7!
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82602

      #3
      kenpom has it at 156
      Comment
      • agharah1
        SBR MVP
        • 09-07-10
        • 2304

        #4
        Syracuse is the clearly superior team and they're at home...so why do I feel more comfortable with UNC moneyline vs. Rutgers than Cuse moneyline vs. Providence?
        Comment
        • Emily_Haines
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-14-09
          • 15917

          #5
          Providence defense may look OK now but by the time they go through the big east schedule they will be near the bottom. Syracuse offense is on fire right now scoring 93, 97, 83, 100 in last four games. Providence games go over regardless of the number. Last season 18-8 and this season 7-2. There are better totals on the board than playing with fire on this one.
          Comment
          • nosniboR11
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-02-08
            • 10042

            #6
            wow a whole 5 points off there justin
            Comment
            • southie
              SBR Sharp
              • 05-25-08
              • 377

              #7
              Great points from both of you.
              Comment
              • ProfaneReality
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-14-09
                • 7607

                #8
                Originally posted by nosniboR11
                wow a whole 5 points off there justin
                he said he would consider it a good play even down to 148... which means he expects it even lower than that
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  Only problem I see here is PC is capable of giving up 90-100 & 'Cuse is in a groove. You give me 148, I'll take the over any day.
                  Comment
                  • 70kgman
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-31-10
                    • 4354

                    #10
                    147.8 would be an accurate number based on season averages. But factoring in recent spikes in trends with both teams play, I would project the game to go up to 14 points over that number. I don't see much value either way with the 153 number. I probably would of taken the over at 149.5 or lower.
                    Comment
                    • james4512
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-27-08
                      • 3707

                      #11
                      providence vs arkansas was close to 153 and arkansas plays good defense and couldnt throw a vollyball into the ocean. I like the over here it doesnt matter how good each defense is, when 80% of the shots are taken within the first 20 seconds of the shot clock its going to go over. I havent booked it yet but theres a good chance ill be taking the over
                      Comment
                      • Crash
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-14-09
                        • 1260

                        #12
                        see your the type of guy around here when you speak i listen!! thanks
                        Comment
                        • Cuse0323
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 12-09-09
                          • 30169

                          #13
                          Like it as well, Syracuse's D has been great this year. Plus we're getting back from a break where we usually come out flat and we still don't shoot the ball all that well, we have lately against terrible competition so that's probably why the line is inflated.
                          Comment
                          • durito
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-03-06
                            • 13173

                            #14
                            155.5 now
                            Comment
                            • goblinburner
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-28-10
                              • 621

                              #15
                              i would still take the 155 over
                              Comment
                              • Justin7
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-31-06
                                • 8577

                                #16
                                Originally posted by durito
                                155.5 now
                                154.5 now... but regardless, the market thinks I'm full of shit.
                                Comment
                                • Rich Boy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-01-09
                                  • 9713

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Justin7

                                  154.5 now... but regardless, the market thinks I'm full of shit.
                                  Pinny still has 155.5
                                  Comment
                                  • Justin7
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-31-06
                                    • 8577

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Rich Boy
                                    Pinny still has 155.5
                                    I stand corrected. My sbr lines stopped updating

                                    On a serious note, if you have under 153.5, and the fair price is 155.5... How much negative equity do you have?
                                    Comment
                                    • tony_come
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-31-10
                                      • 21695

                                      #19
                                      You like to used words negative equity

                                      not much
                                      Comment
                                      • tony_come
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-31-10
                                        • 21695

                                        #20
                                        Wheres the big money? It's on the over
                                        Comment
                                        • tony_come
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-31-10
                                          • 21695

                                          #21
                                          But at what #
                                          Comment
                                          • Cuse0323
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 12-09-09
                                            • 30169

                                            #22
                                            screwed at the end by FT's
                                            Comment
                                            • tony_come
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-31-10
                                              • 21695

                                              #23
                                              The sharkS got the early number
                                              Comment
                                              • pavyracer
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 82602

                                                #24
                                                Actually everyone who bet it before 7 pm ET won..not just the sharks.
                                                Comment
                                                • sharpcat
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 12-19-09
                                                  • 4516

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  Actually everyone who bet it before 7 pm ET won..not just the sharks.
                                                  Under 155.5 was good to me

                                                  About the only thing that was good for me today in hoops
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pavyracer
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                    • 82602

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by sharpcat
                                                    Under 155.5 was good to me

                                                    About the only thing that was good for me today in hoops
                                                    Yeah you won by the length of your nose hair.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sideloaded
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-21-10
                                                      • 7561

                                                      #27
                                                      lost by one.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sharpcat
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 12-19-09
                                                        • 4516

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                        Yeah you won by the length of your nose hair.
                                                        I would not have expected anything less the way this day has gone
                                                        Comment
                                                        • southie
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 05-25-08
                                                          • 377

                                                          #29
                                                          This is one of those totals that people on both sides were smoking a lot of cigarettes over
                                                          Comment
                                                          • tony_come
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-31-10
                                                            • 21695

                                                            #30
                                                            They got the soft #s last nite

                                                            be careful ppl
                                                            Comment
                                                            SBR Contests
                                                            Collapse
                                                            Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                            Collapse
                                                            Working...