The reason the thought of this being a trap is simple.
Public All over purdue 90%+ with the line then dropping in the publics favor. Why would they do that? To invite MORE action on purdue. You wouldnt want 90% of public money on one side to increase, conventionally.
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WestsidePete
SBR Hall of Famer
07-19-07
8049
#38
so...what's the take on this one??? book it on Purdue??
Comment
helicopter23
SBR Wise Guy
05-25-07
622
#39
Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
The reason the thought of this being a trap is simple.
Public All over purdue 90%+ with the line then dropping in the publics favor. Why would they do that? To invite MORE action on purdue. You wouldnt want 90% of public money on one side to increase, conventionally.
I know what you're saying, but it doesn't always work that way like you probaly know.
Illinois last game against Penn State, the line was Ill.-8 and that made no sense and they didn't cover against an undersized high school team.
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BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#40
Originally posted by helicopter23
I know what you're saying, but it doesn't always work that way like you probaly know.
Illinois last game against Penn State, the line was Ill.-8 and that made no sense and they didn't cover against an undersized high school team.
Not even close to an example, let alone a good one. I cease to try and explain the rationale here. You guys go pound this line or whatever, too much on the card to worry about one fukkin game.
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OLGC_Slayer
SBR MVP
02-28-08
2186
#41
This will come out in the wash. I still like Purdue ML. Staying away from the spread.
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BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#42
5 teams yesterday had the line move with the public
Boise st
USC
Baylor, who many got killed on
Minnesota
Maryland
ALL heavy public plays with ilne movement in the wrong direction did not cash ATS yesterday. 2 5pt+ faves lost SU.
There, NOW TELL ME THERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A TRAP
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frostno98
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-07
9769
#43
Illinois is just a horrendous team, they don't really have anybody that can shoot 3's or from the perimeter with any kind of consistency, and pruitt their key scorer who gets foul a lot, shoots worst than shaq on the free throw line. Purdue is a young and motivated team that still has a job to do, and that's win the big ten championship, something they haven't done in years. Too much upside to pass Purdue up.
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#44
i agree with comment 43. thats my thoughts
illini may win, but i will take purdue
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Cougar Bait
SBR Posting Legend
10-04-07
18282
#45
Everyone has decent arguments here, but when I saw this line it jumped off the page. And Vegas has been doing this with Illinois all year. It's almost like they haven't watched a single Illini game. They had Michigan St. -1 vs. Illinois the other night. The Spartans won by 8 and didn't even play that well. Illinois can't shoot free throws to save their life. The defense is okay, but if Purdue gets on a run it might be hard for Illinois to catch up. They have had a lot of problems scoring and Purdue as been playing really well lately. The Boilers have a young team but they are starting to gel, and in this spot I still think they feel they have something to prove.
Purdue -4 is my pick
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treece
SBR Hall of Famer
11-28-07
6298
#46
People are going to be buried after this game.
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BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#47
Im not debating how good Illinois is. Im saying, FOLLOW THE TREND>
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BigOrangeTitans
SBR MVP
11-23-07
4504
#48
Originally posted by treece
People are going to be buried after this game.
Its sad really, they got buried yesterday and are fallin in the same trap again. I tried to stop it man.
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Red_Sux
SBR MVP
06-25-07
1262
#49
Originally posted by OLGC_Slayer
Is this an info play or just a gut call?
gut call i bet. not playing this game at all
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ryanXL977
SBR Posting Legend
02-24-08
20615
#50
i bet 50 bucks on purde ml with colgate+6.5
i am ok if they lose
illini may wn
would it be a big shock? not at all
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billmunny
SBR Sharp
02-24-08
459
#51
28-28 at half...
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mofome
SBR Posting Legend
12-19-07
13003
#52
lets close out in the 2nd Raiders
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raiders72002
SBR MVP
03-06-07
3368
#53
lets close out in the 2nd Raiders
so far so good but it's early.
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Thor4140
SBR Posting Legend
02-09-08
22296
#54
Originally posted by raiders72002
so far so good but it's early.
I bet those refs are giving a big time screwing to Purdue. That is what usually happens when a line drops when it was low to begin with, and all the action is on the opposite side.
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Illusion
Restricted User
08-09-05
25166
#55
We have overtime boys.
Comment
frostno98
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-07
9769
#56
4 carrying calls on purdue. If Demetri macamey was playing like that all season, illinois easily would have had a better record.
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zootiehead
SBR MVP
12-09-06
1715
#57
Squares took it in the ass. Good call Raiders.
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Salcas
SBR MVP
01-24-08
1211
#58
Phuckkk U Purdue!!
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OLGC_Slayer
SBR MVP
02-28-08
2186
#59
That pretty much settles that debate. Purdue killed themselves by missing key free throws, and ****ed me out of a nice parlay.
Thanks fellas.
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raiders72002
SBR MVP
03-06-07
3368
#60
Squares took it in the ass. Good call Raiders.
Boys- We're on fire.
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billmunny
SBR Sharp
02-24-08
459
#61
Those books sure had no idea what they were doing with that line...
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OLGC_Slayer
SBR MVP
02-28-08
2186
#62
Originally posted by zootiehead
Squares took it in the ass. Good call Raiders.
pfffft. it could have EASILY gone the other way pal.
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raiders72002
SBR MVP
03-06-07
3368
#63
Books made a killing on that game.
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raiders72002
SBR MVP
03-06-07
3368
#64
pfffft. it could have EASILY gone the other way pal
all games can. The % was with us.
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OLGC_Slayer
SBR MVP
02-28-08
2186
#65
I could see Illinois covering but winning straight up pisses me off
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Illusion
Restricted User
08-09-05
25166
#66
Cha-ching...Illinois wins straight up 74-67.
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5 star bomb
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-07
5370
#67
Nice Call Raiders!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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OLGC_Slayer
SBR MVP
02-28-08
2186
#68
Congrats to anyone on Illinois, especially the ML. I was on the Purdue ML and that result chafes my ass to no end.
Of course I'm still learning to bet on this game, so I'm still making square bets. I shouda known that the shitty parity in the BT would bite me in the ass.
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frostno98
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-07
9769
#69
Yeah the book had this one right, but the public bet heavily against illinois when Michigan state showed up to town and beat them by 8 last week, guess the book lost big their huh. And if pruitt didn't get open for that layup as the shot clock was winding down, purdue would of been shooting free throws and covering the game easily.
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raiders72002
SBR MVP
03-06-07
3368
#70
"if''s" and "but's" don't get you paid at the window.