Early NBA Play

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  • BigOrangeTitans
    SBR MVP
    • 11-23-07
    • 4504

    #1
    Early NBA Play
    Raptors/Sonics over 203.5
    Raptors -11.5
    Some trends, thanks to WSP
    Im playing the over and laying the chalk. Toronto goes on a big 5 game road trip following this game and they do not want to have a bad trip and go under .500. Im a local in seattle and watch/attend every game. They have nothing left this year as they believe they are moving to Oklahoma and rebuilding/dumping contracts. Torontos motivation and how they play at home are what i look for here. This is not the same seattle team that scored 123 and beat tor by 7 at home. This is not that team. Toronto turns the trend here. Seattle's atrocious defense gets exposed...
    Some trends thanks to Chutebox:
    Seattle is 7-3 against the spread versus Toronto since 1996
    Seattle is 4-1 against the spread @ Toronto over the last 3 seasons.
    Seattle is 13-8 against the spread versus Toronto since 1996
    Seattle is 2-0 against the spread @ Toronto over the last 3 seasons.

    Toronto has an avg of 100.2 pts per game
    Seattle has an avg of 96.9 pts per game

    Toronto is 15-9 ATS revenging a loss this season.
    Over is 5-5 in the last 5 matchups in this series. Look for a fast temp, maybe 115 by half.
    Plays:
    Over 203.5 3 units
    Toronto -11.5 1 unit
  • ChuteBoxe
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-21-07
    • 6885

    #2
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone way over the last 3 seasons. The average total in the last 3 of those games was 228. I like it.
    Comment
    • BigOrangeTitans
      SBR MVP
      • 11-23-07
      • 4504

      #3
      Just edited with some info you gave, thanks. Without Bosh I see a fast tempo with lots of buckets. I would guess this line goes to 205 before tip.
      Comment
      • BigOrangeTitans
        SBR MVP
        • 11-23-07
        • 4504

        #4
        Put 3 units on the over, may go more if the line drops for any reason.
        Comment
        • WestsidePete
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-19-07
          • 8049

          #5
          nice write up...I like the over as well
          Comment
          • BigOrangeTitans
            SBR MVP
            • 11-23-07
            • 4504

            #6
            Originally posted by WestsidePete
            nice write up...I like the over as well
            Thanks Petey, gonna start off the sunday card strong.
            Comment
            • mofome
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-19-07
              • 13003

              #7
              bol BOT

              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388208

                #8
                I like the total here, good homework
                Comment
                • BigOrangeTitans
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-23-07
                  • 4504

                  #9
                  156 scored with 5 min left in the 3rd. This total was too easy.
                  Comment
                  • bigugly
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-04-08
                    • 1329

                    #10
                    Excellent call.
                    Comment
                    • BigOrangeTitans
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-23-07
                      • 4504

                      #11
                      UP 1.8 units on that. I'll try and get you guys on one of these each day.
                      Comment
                      • diogee
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-11-08
                        • 19477

                        #12
                        That over cashed easy
                        Comment
                        • ChuteBoxe
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-21-07
                          • 6885

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • SBR Lou
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-02-07
                            • 37863

                            #14
                            Solid call

                            Comment
                            • dannyt76
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 06-29-07
                              • 779

                              #15
                              Congrats.
                              Comment
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