I need some help, home run props

[seaborneq]

I normally play one big or 3-4 little wagers on who will lead the majors in homers. I few years ago 2005, I think, I had ARod at 10-1, and Andrew Jones hits 20 more than his career high to cost me that one. Last year, I could have gotten ARod at 11-1, but of course I did not take it because he had such a bad 2006 getting booed at home. I like 10-1 odds or higher and so far Pujols meets the bill on that one. Give me other suggestions as to who I can consider to lead the league in home runs not named ARod, R Howard, and Prince Fielder, who are the favorites. Thanks

[mofome]

miguel cab
ortiz
dunn
pena?
braun
teix
holliday
morneau

[Munson15]

Hafner at 30-1 and Morneau at 40-1 stand out for me as longshots for this prop.

[WizardofWins]

I threw $100 away and played each of these for $10

Alex Rios 100 - 1
Alfonso Soriano 20 - 1
Carlos Lee 50 - 1
David Wright 100 - 1
Hunter Pence 100 - 1
Jeff Francoeur 100 - 1
Magglio Ordonez 100 - 1
Mark Teixeira 20 - 1
Rick Ankiel 100 - 1
Travis Hafner 30 - 1

[seaborneq]

I threw $100 away and played each of these for $10

Alex Rios 100 - 1
Alfonso Soriano 20 - 1
Carlos Lee 50 - 1
David Wright 100 - 1
Hunter Pence 100 - 1
Jeff Francoeur 100 - 1
Magglio Ordonez 100 - 1
Mark Teixeira 20 - 1
Rick Ankiel 100 - 1
Travis Hafner 30 - 1

I like Francoeur, Teix, Hafner, and Lee, both Derrick and Carlos

[seaborneq]

Last year I had Cabrera 30-1, Hafner 15-1, Holliday 100-1, Thome 20-1, and NONE of those guys were in the top 10

[mofome]

I threw $100 away and played each of these for $10

Alex Rios 100 - 1
Alfonso Soriano 20 - 1
Carlos Lee 50 - 1
David Wright 100 - 1
Hunter Pence 100 - 1
Jeff Francoeur 100 - 1
Magglio Ordonez 100 - 1
Mark Teixeira 20 - 1
Rick Ankiel 100 - 1
Travis Hafner 30 - 1

did you really put 10 on ankiel?

[Willie Bee]

I do like Dunn from mofome's first list, think he's very capable of upper 40s, maybe even 50 this year. I guess Carlos Lee is worth $10 at 50:1, but I really like him and Teixeira in the RBI column more this year.

[Munson15]

did you really put 10 on ankiel?

thought I saw him at 1000-1 somewhere.

[mofome]

thought I saw him at 1000-1 somewhere.

i cant imagine anyone taking him at 403234231312:1

[seaborneq]

Teix, Hafner, and Cabrera are looking like my choices right now.

[dannyt76]

Mags has good value. He's protected by a potent lineup from 1-9. There isn't an out in their lineup so he'll see his share of good pitches. Rios has some nice pop at 100-1. His home field isn't really hitter friendly though.

[OLGC_Slayer]

There is no way Rios leads the majors in homers this year. He might drive in 130 if he's playing real well but 40 homers max.
If I had to choose 3 it would be Adam Dunn, Ryan Howard and Prince Fielder.

[Mr Nuts]

miguel cab
ortiz
dunn
pena?
braun
teix
holliday
morneau

Pena has a shot.

[willyback]

Get analytical with the prop bets. Look for underrated hitters (with home run power) in MLB divisions with weak pitching (both starting and relief). That's going to be your home run leader.

A-Rod (last year) - the bulk of his homeruns came off of Tampa Bay.

Ryan Howard (year before) - underrated hitter that pitchers weren't knowledgeable about, until he took them deep for 50+ home runs.

That's the angle to look at. Good Luck.

[AgainstAllOdds]

Lets go with AROD

[seaborneq]

Get analytical with the prop bets. Look for underrated hitters (with home run power) in MLB divisions with weak pitching (both starting and relief). That's going to be your home run leader.

A-Rod (last year) - the bulk of his homeruns came off of Tampa Bay.

Ryan Howard (year before) - underrated hitter that pitchers weren't knowledgeable about, until he took them deep for 50+ home runs.

That's the angle to look at. Good Luck.

Now I have to find some of those players. Thanks

[seaborneq]

In the end I took Dunn 11-1, Pujols 10-1, Big Papie 12-1, Hafner 25-1, and D Lee 40-1. Now let's watch all of these guys have career lows in homers.

[seaborneq]

I should have taken ****udome