I dare you to justify fading a handicapper.

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  • slimpickins
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-12-10
    • 891

    #36
    This thread is so negative.
    I have yet to time fading a capper and havn't bothered to.
    But to diasgree that every single bettor and capper is prone to lengthy losing or winning streaks is insane.
    Streaks are part of the nature of this, if you time it right you could make money fading someone on a bad streak just like you can riding someones winning streak. Common sense really.
    My guess is if you faded every post with GOY, GOM or Lock in the heading over the past year you would be up.
    Comment
    • landers781
      SBR MVP
      • 02-27-09
      • 4774

      #37
      Well this has the makings of a classic thread
      Comment
      • illfuuptn
        SBR MVP
        • 03-17-10
        • 1860

        #38
        Originally posted by slimpickins
        This thread is so negative.
        I have yet to time fading a capper and havn't bothered to.
        But to diasgree that every single bettor and capper is prone to lengthy losing or winning streaks is insane.
        Streaks are part of the nature of this, if you time it right you could make money fading someone on a bad streak just like you can riding someones winning streak. Common sense really.
        My guess is if you faded every post with GOY, GOM or Lock in the heading over the past year you would be up.
        Wrong. Obviously if you fade a loss you win. Thanks for that gem. But you have no way of knowing the outcome of a game or stretch of games ahead of time. Just because a guy loses 10 out of 12 doesn't mean he has a higher chance of losing than he normally does. A 48.5% standard square will pick 48.5%. That means his games have a 48.5% chance of winning whether he's "cold" or "hot." Streaks are just products of variance, not an actual change in win %.
        As for your GOY, GOM, Lock comment, you are wrong again. Those picks are typically issued by total squares and at their absolute lowest win maybe 48% of the time. Not enough to fade, sorry.
        Comment
        • raydog
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-07-07
          • 6984

          #39
          funniest part of this thread, so far, is that OP doesnt realize yet how bad Carpedime is fukking with him... misspelling shit on purpose to get a rise.... OP, you could successfully fade Dac/tonyyy etc. whatever name he is using (and many do)and you would consistently win... he truly is something special as far as fades are concerned... nobody but him can lose so many times afterposting games like he does... this isnt up for arguement son, its a FACT
          Comment
          • illfuuptn
            SBR MVP
            • 03-17-10
            • 1860

            #40
            ^^^^Carpedime is not leveling. He is truly that dumb. "Smarter THEN you." He didn't throw in such subtlety to fuk with me. He is just a stupid human being. He didn't go to college. Need I say more?
            Comment
            • illfuuptn
              SBR MVP
              • 03-17-10
              • 1860

              #41
              So you're a millionaire then? Right Raydog? You must have millions of dollars because you fade those guys and you just win money. Guaranteed those guys don't pick below 48%. Maybe over 300, 400, even 500 plays, but not in a vacuum. I bet they don't even pick lower than that as of right now with their documented plays.
              Comment
              • raydog
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 11-07-07
                • 6984

                #42
                illfuuptn... faded dac/tonyy for 39 posted games last year... 27 wins, 12 losses.... this was over 2 months...then he stopped posting... a few of us in chat did this and i will fade a dac/tonyy play every single time he posts one (when he posts it before the game starts, that is)... im telling you, the kid is special...biggest beggar on all the forums...i imagine hundreds of posters have gotten emails from him...its always.. can you front me $50 its his norm.

                you are wrong though and like i say, its not up for debate... why do you think this kids name pops up at every single forum, every single time the talk of shitty gamblers comes up ... exactly...

                and yes son, carpedime is fukking with you...you simply dont know him... but carry on, i love watching his calm strike wit
                Comment
                • Swinging Johnson
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-12-09
                  • 7604

                  #43
                  Originally posted by illfuuptn
                  ^^^^Carpedime is not leveling. He is truly that dumb. "Smarter THEN you." He didn't throw in such subtlety to fuk with me. He is just a stupid human being. He didn't go to college. Need I say more?
                  Listen up junior. I went to college and I will tell you that some of the smartest people I know never attended. College provides you an education but does not dispense wisdom. Intelligence is innate, it is not bestowed upon everyone, much like ignorance...but then again, it seems you have that based covered.
                  Comment
                  • Doc JS
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-15-06
                    • 6885

                    #44
                    Originally posted by illfuuptn
                    So JJ Gold is the best handicapper on here? Yeah you just got ******* owned.
                    Did I SAY JJ Gold was the best handicapper on here???

                    Thanks for making my point!!!

                    Doc
                    Comment
                    • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-24-10
                      • 6298

                      #45
                      unbelievable
                      Comment
                      • illfuuptn
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-17-10
                        • 1860

                        #46
                        39 games. Just say that out loud to yourself and hear how it sounds. 39 games. 39. Good job bro. Good job. You are good. I'm sure he just picks 30.7% because that's a thing. People can do that. I bet over 50,000 games he would pick 30.7%. You are smart. You are an intelligent guy.
                        Comment
                        • illfuuptn
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-17-10
                          • 1860

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Swinging Johnson
                          Listen up junior. I went to college and I will tell you that some of the smartest people I know never attended. College provides you an education but does not dispense wisdom. Intelligence is innate, it is not bestowed upon everyone, much like ignorance...but then again, it seems you have that based covered.
                          Good job. Cool post dude.
                          Comment
                          • illfuuptn
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-17-10
                            • 1860

                            #48
                            You can all lick my fukking cokkkk. I will accept a challenge from AAAANNNNNNNNNYYYYYYYYYYY one of you ******* moron players talk lowlife sodomizing dickwads. Let's go. Who's up first?
                            Comment
                            • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-24-10
                              • 6298

                              #49
                              whats ur pick for 2night legend?
                              Comment
                              • raydog
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-07-07
                                • 6984

                                #50
                                like i said son, he is an automatic fade for me...EVERY FUKKING TIME I SEE A PLAY... i havent kept up with it as much because of moronic children like you, this place is unreadable most of the time .

                                btw, do you have any fukking clue how many years it would take even the most hardcore degen coinflippers to make 50k bets ...and you think you are the smart one here? you are just making yourself look stupid now son... im pretty much done with you
                                Comment
                                • EDDIE MONEY LINE
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-24-10
                                  • 6298

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                  no pick just my big fat fukkin cokkkkk inside of you.
                                  good one tough guy...only a real winner would want to fuk another guy, but you wouldn't be the first guy who wanted to fuk me...so like the others i'll tell you sorry but i don't go that way and have a nice day.
                                  In your case, since ur saying it to upset me, i'll just let you know it didn't work, and I laugh at you b/c I can see your upset and you probably lead a miserable life. So go on with ur pathetic existence getting all fired up on an internet gambling site and hopefully you can turn your life around and make something of it.
                                  Comment
                                  • Dutch
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-21-10
                                    • 4339

                                    #52
                                    What a stupid fuking thread this is. The op sounds like someone who has gone broke and now is pissed off at the world. Which is fine, except no one here gives a fuk. I don't think anyone here actually fades any cappers long term, which makes this thread as worthless as the op's lil dik. What a fuking joke.
                                    Comment
                                    • bradthebloke
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-26-09
                                      • 3175

                                      #53
                                      you know theres a pill that will limit the number of periods to only a few times a year. look into it.
                                      Comment
                                      • ramones951
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-23-08
                                        • 2356

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                        Holy fuk you are so dumb. I don't even know how to explain to you how wrong you are. You just won't get it because you are just unable to grasp it. What's your level of education? I'd love to know. Maybe you should just go to the roulette table and bet black when it has hit 6 times in a row because "it's hot right now" or maybe your the guy who would bet red because "it's due." Troll onward my friend.
                                        You focus way too much on the long term results when you bring up variance dude.. If you know who to fade and when, it can definitely be profitable, you dont have to try to beat the odds over time..

                                        People make stupid plays sometimes, its not as simple as flipping a coin
                                        Comment
                                        • BettingWizard
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-28-09
                                          • 6522

                                          #55
                                          Um, if it's possible for somebody to hit 55%, then it's also possible for somebody to hit 45%


                                          Dumbass thread here
                                          Comment
                                          • Michael Ferro
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 11-05-10
                                            • 202

                                            #56
                                            There are some cappers I watch and give a second look if I like them too. good luck
                                            Comment
                                            • frizzelli
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 08-06-10
                                              • 8916

                                              #57
                                              I am dumber for reading this idiotic thread. OP has issues and looking for attention and posters feeding this little bytch what he wants.
                                              Comment
                                              • Swinging Johnson
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-12-09
                                                • 7604

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                                I will actually murder everyone in here who bad-mouthed me. Give me your real names and I will honest to god kill you all. No, I didn't lose all my money. I'm just bored today and wanted to stir up some shit but the bottom line is I'M RIGHT about this. Any respected sports bettor will back that up.
                                                How will you do it?
                                                Comment
                                                • iifold
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-25-10
                                                  • 11111

                                                  #59
                                                  The King has a 94% lock on the 19th, PM me if you guys want a nice fade..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Joe Sharp
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-01-09
                                                    • 3011

                                                    #60
                                                    Didn't you post that you were heavy on the UNDER a few weeks ago on Monday Night when the Eagles scored 50+ themselves??? I think it was you. Regardless... a few of us faded that play because you (or whoever posted it) was a douche. Oh and we cashed.

                                                    It's not worth arguing over. You are an idiot. Just post some plays so we can do what we do.

                                                    Thanks!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Cuse0323
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-09-09
                                                      • 30169

                                                      #61
                                                      Thread keeps getting better.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Joe Sharp
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-01-09
                                                        • 3011

                                                        #62
                                                        Is this guy ?

                                                        A. "Cold"
                                                        B. "Just a Bad Bettor"
                                                        C. Experiencing "Variance"
                                                        D. Either A or B

                                                        Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


                                                        Bonus Question:

                                                        If you started "Fading" him as soon as you saw the thread, Would you be?

                                                        A. Down
                                                        B. Up
                                                        C. Happy as shit
                                                        D. Both B and C
                                                        Last edited by Joe Sharp; 12-01-10, 05:02 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • big0mar
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-09-09
                                                          • 3374

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                                                          Is this guy ? A. "Cold" B. "Just a Bad Bettor" C. Experiencing "Variance" http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...d-project.html Bonus Question: If you started "Fading" him as soon as you saw the thread, Would you be? A. Down B. Up C. Happy as shit D. Both B and C
                                                          E. Tailing him?
                                                          [B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.

                                                          [/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]
                                                          Comment
                                                          • wtf
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 08-22-08
                                                            • 12983

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Swinging Johnson
                                                            Listen up junior. I went to college and I will tell you that some of the smartest people I know never attended. College provides you an education but does not dispense wisdom. Intelligence is innate, it is not bestowed upon everyone, much like ignorance...but then again, it seems you have that based covered.
                                                            this just might the best overall post I have seen on this forum
                                                            Comment
                                                            • wtf
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-22-08
                                                              • 12983

                                                              #65
                                                              p.s.

                                                              sorry about the OP's tiny penis syndrom
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Cap dat 4ss
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 10-11-10
                                                                • 3665

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                                                For everyone's information I have challenged Joe Sharp and he has yet to accept. This is most likely due to his inferior penis size.
                                                                Well, Well, Well.... Looks at the ghost that came out to play.

                                                                Why would Joe Sharp want to compete with you on the internet, kinda like the special Olympics if you ask me. In fact, this is the most obvious sign that you are young, immature and trolling. Some of us simply bet for money, not internet fame. You are apparently not part of this group Arney, so you troll for fun. Sorry you haven't figured out how to be a long term winner yet.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HauntingTheHoly
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-28-10
                                                                  • 1397

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                                                  Moron much? I will ******* challenge you to anything you want little guy. Picks, dick size, you ******* name it BRO.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • HauntingTheHoly
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-28-10
                                                                    • 1397

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                                                    I will actually murder everyone in here who bad-mouthed me. Give me your real names and I will honest to god kill you all. No, I didn't lose all my money. I'm just bored today and wanted to stir up some shit but the bottom line is I'M RIGHT about this. Any respected sports bettor will back that up.
                                                                    Jim Steele
                                                                    1075 E Main St.
                                                                    Blue Ball, PA 17506
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SCRAGGS
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-21-09
                                                                      • 1969

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Jordan Walsh
                                                                      1921 Hyde Park AV
                                                                      Hyde Park, Ma 02136
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SCRAGGS
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-21-09
                                                                        • 1969

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by DrStale
                                                                        Cocky, stupid, and an asshole. Congratulations you just hit the SBR trifecta.

                                                                        Comment
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