WVU -5.5 vs Pitt 0/u 135

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  • mofome
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-19-07
    • 13003

    #1
    WVU -5.5 vs Pitt 0/u 135
    WVU -5.5 vs Pitt 0/u 135 (ESPN)


    WVU (Sagarin #24, RPI #41)
    20-9
    12-10-1 ats
    12-2 home
    9-14 0/u

    Pitt (Sagarin #22, RPI #25)
    21-8
    13-11 ats
    5-6 away
    12-12 0/u



    The Panthers vs the Mountaineers is one of the more underrated rivalries in the country. These two schools hate each other and tonight they'll be playing for respect and their seeding in the big east tourney. Wagerline shows the public divided evenly on this game with the line sitting at 5.5.

    The Panthers aren't making their backers much money of late having lost 4 of their last 5 ats. A big reason for their lack of success has been their lost intensity on defense, Pitt has given up 72, or more, in 4 of their last 5 outings. Whats more troubling is the fact that they've allowed their opposition to hit for 48% or better from the field in recent match ups with Cuse, Marquette, and Cinci.

    WVU comes into this game with all the motivation in the world; its senior night, they're playing for a shot at the big dance, Pitt is their most bitter rival, and the last time these two played the Panthers knocked them off with a 3 at the buzzer. For the Mountaineers to get the win tonight they'll likely need big Joe Alexander to put up much better numbers than he managed in round one between these schools. Alexander was only 2 of 11 for 5 points and pulled down 4 boards. In that first meeting West Virginia killed themselves by missing 59% of their FTs and only knocking down 35% from the field.

    Looking a bit more into this game you find that WVU has put up 80 plus in each of their last 3 home games and, as mentioned already, Pitt hasn't been playing their typically stingy defense. On the road this season Pitt allows an average of 69.3 points per game while WVU betters 80 a contest at home. The last time these two me the game barely cleared 100 total points, but i think tonight we'll see WVU come out on fire and Pitt will have to try to keep pace. The Panthers allow 45% from the field on the road and I believe they'll be exploited a bit tonight.

    my play:
    over 135
  • The HG
    SBR MVP
    • 11-01-06
    • 3566

    #2
    Good writeup Mofo. I was looking at this game a lot myself, tempted to go for Pitt and the under.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Pitt +5.5.

      I look for a similar game to last month, when Pitt won 55-54 at the buzzer. The Panthers know how to defend West Virginia, and if the Mounties aren't hitting 3s, they are in trouble. Pittsburgh had been struggling on the road, but hopefully their late comeback win at Syracuse changed all that.
      Comment
      • Louisvillekid1
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-17-07
        • 52143

        #4
        Good write up mo,

        Although I'm against you on this one.
        Comment
        • Sportsgirl
          SBR MVP
          • 09-10-06
          • 4493

          #5
          Originally posted by LT Profits
          Pitt +5.5.

          I look for a similar game to last month, when Pitt won 55-54 at the buzzer. The Panthers know how to defend West Virginia, and if the Mounties aren't hitting 3s, they are in trouble. Pittsburgh had been struggling on the road, but hopefully their late comeback win at Syracuse changed all that.
          Good call, LT. I see this the same and think Pitt wins outright.
          Comment
          • mofome
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-19-07
            • 13003

            #6
            Originally posted by The HG
            Good writeup Mofo. I was looking at this game a lot myself, tempted to go for Pitt and the under.


            ty HG, i was leaning towards Pitt with LT and yourself, but i ended up feeling a bit better about the over.

            LT, i read your write up and, as usual, it was worth reading.

            lvk, i haven't been online in a few days, been missing your stuff. hope you've been winning.
            Comment
            • buztah
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-23-07
              • 7470

              #7
              Is Pitt the SBR Jinx play of the day?
              Comment
              • Sportsgirl
                SBR MVP
                • 09-10-06
                • 4493

                #8
                Originally posted by mofome
                ty HG, i was leaning towards Pitt with LT and yourself, but i ended up feeling a bit better about the over.
                Comment
                • mofome
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-19-07
                  • 13003

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Sportsgirl


                  i was in the middle of a reply, before i got pulled away, and you had yet to chime in. I love being on the same side as my bundle of sports hotness.

                  Comment
                  • Sportsgirl
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-10-06
                    • 4493

                    #10
                    Originally posted by mofome
                    i was in the middle of a reply, before i got pulled away, and you had yet to chime in. I love being on the same side as my bundle of sports hotness.

                    That's better.
                    Comment
                    • mofome
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-19-07
                      • 13003

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Sportsgirl
                      That's better.


                      thats what ive been missing over the last few days.

                      Comment
                      • Sportsgirl
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-10-06
                        • 4493

                        #12
                        Originally posted by mofome
                        thats what ive been missing over the last few days.

                        Well, then, you better stop e-leaving me

                        btw, this article was well written - much tighter, better focus, more "you" in it. Good job
                        Comment
                        • awhitejackson
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-15-07
                          • 2265

                          #13
                          Over/under only way I can play this one for personal reasons haha....Thanks for the write up...dont know which way ill go yet
                          Comment
                          • WVU
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-01-08
                            • 417

                            #14
                            I like the play over 135. As far as the sides, I would not want to lay 5.5 with this Mountaineer team in a rivalry game. If I was going to go either way, I would take Pitt on the moneyline for the value. If WV wins it will not be a blowout, I am sure of it.

                            LET'S GOOO MOUNTAINEERS. We need this win.
                            Comment
                            • mofome
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-19-07
                              • 13003

                              #15
                              Originally posted by WVU
                              I like the play over 135. As far as the sides, I would not want to lay 5.5 with this Mountaineer team in a rivalry game. If I was going to go either way, I would take Pitt on the moneyline for the value. If WV wins it will not be a blowout, I am sure of it.

                              LET'S GOOO MOUNTAINEERS. We need this win.


                              glad to get your thoughts on this one WVU. let me know if you end up making a play on the total.
                              Comment
                              • WVU
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-01-08
                                • 417

                                #16
                                I am taking the over 135. It should be a close game and OT could be a factor. Both teams should score close to 70 in this one
                                Comment
                                • jjgold
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 07-20-05
                                  • 388179

                                  #17
                                  Home courts scare me especially in a home coming game I am going to pass, I have a hunch WVU could blow them out.
                                  Comment
                                  • MoneySportsGuy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-07
                                    • 4891

                                    #18
                                    mofo

                                    nice write up man I am going with Pitt 5.5, might throw some on the ML and also the over
                                    Comment
                                    • mofome
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-19-07
                                      • 13003

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by MoneySportsGuy
                                      mofo

                                      nice write up man I am going with Pitt 5.5, might throw some on the ML and also the over



                                      ty MSG, bol to us

                                      Comment
                                      • mofome
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-19-07
                                        • 13003

                                        #20
                                        we're at 136
                                        Comment
                                        • Wrigley
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-28-07
                                          • 7268

                                          #21
                                          Nice write again Mo im on the Over with you
                                          Comment
                                          • mofome
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-19-07
                                            • 13003

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Wrigley
                                            Nice write again Mo im on the Over with you



                                            ty wrigs and congrats on your big win!

                                            Comment
                                            • diogee
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-11-08
                                              • 19477

                                              #23
                                              Nice write up as always Mofo...staying away from the total. Good luck today.
                                              Comment
                                              • mofome
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-19-07
                                                • 13003

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by diogee
                                                Nice write up as always Mofo...staying away from the total. Good luck today.



                                                ty Dio and same to you.

                                                Comment
                                                • MoneySportsGuy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-09-07
                                                  • 4891

                                                  #25
                                                  goodluck guys lets cash some money!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • billmunny
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 459

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                    Home courts scare me especially in a home coming game I am going to pass, I have a hunch WVU could blow them out.
                                                    That's what scares me on this one, too. It's senior night. WVU needs this one to keep NCAA hopes alive, and WVU lost at the buzzer last time AT Pitt (though Pitt's key injuries may have had something to do with this.)

                                                    I'm thinking I'll stay away, too.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                      • 52143

                                                      #27
                                                      They only have two seniors and one is basically a non factor.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • billmunny
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 02-24-08
                                                        • 459

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                        They only have two seniors and one is basically a non factor.
                                                        Good lord, you're right. Smalligan averages less than a field goal a game-- as a center.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • awhitejackson
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-15-07
                                                          • 2265

                                                          #29
                                                          I got the over 135...GL....GAMETIME!!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Poker_Beast
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-14-06
                                                            • 6545

                                                            #30
                                                            Nice write-up MO

                                                            Against you today but enjoyed it just the same.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • INVEGA MAN
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-30-08
                                                              • 6800

                                                              #31
                                                              I love wvu. They should of won at Pgh which is a tough place to win for a visitor. WVU will be some kind of fired up for this game. I am on wvu
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Louisvillekid1
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 10-17-07
                                                                • 52143

                                                                #32
                                                                Looking good bro
                                                                Comment
                                                                • awhitejackson
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-15-07
                                                                  • 2265

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by billmunny
                                                                  Good lord, you're right. Smalligan averages less than a field goal a game-- as a center.
                                                                  The amount of threes this guy passes up is ridiculous...If anybody is coming towards him he freaks...Last year he was an excellent outside shooter
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Home team are very tough now in college hoops
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • awhitejackson
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-15-07
                                                                      • 2265

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                      Home team are very tough now in college hoops
                                                                      Im glad its looking that way tonite Hanky
                                                                      Comment
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