MNF play?

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  • louis.ana
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-09-09
    • 359

    #71
    If Dallas doesn't give away too many penalties, they got the game
    Comment
    • tbond10
      SBR MVP
      • 11-02-08
      • 1014

      #72
      Giants TT over 21
      Comment
      • PROfitableEnergy
        Restricted User
        • 05-31-10
        • 538

        #73
        Under is such an easy play
        Comment
        • borednaz
          SBR MVP
          • 08-28-10
          • 3809

          #74
          I see an over here. But I'm square as hell.
          Comment
          • stikymess
            SBR MVP
            • 05-19-10
            • 3288

            #75
            G men ML, small.
            Comment
            • troutsky
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-31-10
              • 509

              #76
              line is at +3.5 for gmen now. it seems like they are begging you to take it by putting the hook on ?
              Comment
              • ManBearPig
                SBR MVP
                • 12-04-08
                • 2473

                #77
                Two lines...saying the same thing? I have accounts in both and am trying to decipher wtf they are saying? To me the line is moving in a way that moves more money towards NYG but maybe I'm completely off. I'm merely looking for an interpretation of value than anything else.

                BM
                +3 / +110
                -3 / -130
                By offering more money for NYG instead of changing off the key number the books want more action that way?

                5Dimes (Reduced Odds)
                +3½ / -108
                -3.5 / -102
                Baiting us into taking NYG at +3.5, but can someone explain this?

                10/24 14:24 +3 +110 / -3 -120
                10/25 04:24 +3½ -108 / -3½ -102
                10/25 07:27 +3½ -109 / -3½ -101
                10/25 09:52 +3½ -108 / -3½ -102

                What is going on after the odds after the line crosses from +3 to +3.5?

                I'm only trying to understand how books play with the odds to trick us rather than just moving the line, because I don't really see this locally at casinos as they rarely go off of -110 odds.
                Comment
                • doctorswag
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 10-17-10
                  • 20

                  #78
                  i think the giants definitely have this one being at home in all
                  Comment
                  • jram68
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-16-09
                    • 693

                    #79
                    Originally posted by B1GER1C828
                    When i first looked, i liked giants +3 quite a big...the more i look though i like Cowboys -3.

                    Whats your play?
                    whatup eminem! I like the over 44 tonight
                    Comment
                    • Fed_42420
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-12-09
                      • 976

                      #80
                      I really like the giants to dominate the NFC for the rest of the year. I think they start tonight and roll over the Cowboys.
                      Comment
                      • tony_come
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-31-10
                        • 21695

                        #81
                        Worst game to play/gamble

                        Books will make money tonight
                        Comment
                        • troutsky
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 08-31-10
                          • 509

                          #82
                          books make money every night lol.

                          is the over the play here? i would normally bet under but isn't there some trend for MNF to go over like 70% of games or somethin? i could be making this up.
                          Comment
                          • HauntingTheHoly
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-28-10
                            • 1397

                            #83
                            Holy crap I got a shitty line. Early in the week I got Giants +3.5 at -125. It's at -115 now on my book. The public was on them early in the week so I thought I'd jump on them before the line moved. TheSpread dot com has the public at 52/48 slightly favoring Coboys. How'd I get stuck with this shit line? Advice on how to beat the line better in the future, anyone?
                            Comment
                            • DolphinSpurs
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-07-09
                              • 576

                              #84
                              over
                              Comment
                              • kurt_06518
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-24-10
                                • 402

                                #85
                                Originally posted by iifold
                                not a good game to gamble on, 2 great defensive lines along with 2 mistake prone QB's.. this is gambling at its finest..

                                My NFL play next week has a 91% chance of winning.. be patient..
                                this could be the most ridiculous thing i ever have ever read hahahahahahaha, dammm 91% chance of hitting, cna i pls sign up for that
                                Comment
                                • TheSportsBaron
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 10-16-10
                                  • 113

                                  #86
                                  I've got this teased like a cheap hooker's hair.

                                  Gmen +9.5

                                  Over 39.5

                                  BOL everyone, enjoy the game.
                                  Comment
                                  • Husker36
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-02-08
                                    • 3846

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by doctorswag
                                    i think the giants definitely have this one being at home in all
                                    The game is in DALLAS
                                    Comment
                                    • HawkEye
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 08-13-10
                                      • 237

                                      #88
                                      I really dont know how it is all going to play out tonight. By looking at the spread and o/u the play is Dallas -3 and the over. But sites have 90% of the public on over... If dallas win tonight they need to shut down gmen there for it should go under. Both teams arent pass happy teams anyways. The cowboys can only win if they RUN the ball.
                                      Comment
                                      • hubie69
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-16-10
                                        • 7329

                                        #89
                                        I too am on the Tease like herpie's on a skanks upper lip! Gia +9.5 and over 39.5!!!! GO HERPIES!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • craig4nr
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 12-18-09
                                          • 433

                                          #90
                                          If I had to pick, I'd roll with Dallas, but I'm not sure I'm playing this one. Gonna wait awhile before I actually pull the trigger. Kind of like the under, but I've been doing shitty with totals lately.
                                          Comment
                                          • Jhart2838
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-29-10
                                            • 149

                                            #91
                                            Every single tease I have seen posted on this forum and across the street is the same tease Giants / Over...


                                            Think ima do a seven pointer, thanks for the hook betjam,

                                            Giants + 10.5
                                            UNDER 52
                                            Comment
                                            • pavyracer
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-12-07
                                              • 82839

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by HawkEye
                                              I really dont know how it is all going to play out tonight. By looking at the spread and o/u the play is Dallas -3 and the over. But sites have 90% of the public on over... If dallas win tonight they need to shut down gmen there for it should go under. Both teams arent pass happy teams anyways. The cowboys can only win if they RUN the ball.
                                              Dallas are the 3rd best team in the league with 400 yards/game of offense (305 yards passing) and Giants average 371 yards/game of offense. So you have a combined offense of 771 yards/game and the total is only 45.

                                              When Packers faced Vikings last night the total was similar 44 (1 point less than tonight) and the two teams had a combined total offense of 670 yards/game (this was probably less before last night's game because this stat includes last night's game).

                                              So to summarize it appears that the total should be higher than 45 on this game based on the total combined offense of both teams. By my estimate we are looking at a true total of 49-51 points and getting 45 is a bargain.
                                              Comment
                                              • ronjon619
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-06-09
                                                • 3675

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                Dallas are the 3rd best team in the league with 400 yards/game of offense (305 yards passing) and Giants average 371 yards/game of offense. So you have a combined offense of 771 yards/game and the total is only 45.

                                                When Packers faced Vikings last night the total was similar 44 (1 point less than tonight) and the two teams had a combined total offense of 670 yards/game (this was probably less before last night's game because this stat includes last night's game).

                                                So to summarize it appears that the total should be higher than 45 on this game based on the total combined offense of both teams. By my estimate we are looking at a true total of 49-51 points and getting 45 is a bargain.
                                                yeah, but I think Big D shows up on defense tonight. Eli can be man handled by a tough defense, he will get frustrated and make mistakes. Dallas can bring on defense when they want to and this is one of those "want to moments."
                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82839

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by ronjon619
                                                  yeah, but I think Big D shows up on defense tonight. Eli can be man handled by a tough defense, he will get frustrated and make mistakes. Dallas can bring on defense when they want to and this is one of those "want to moments."
                                                  Do you know how many points Eli scored on Cowboys last year? 33 on first game and 31 on second game last year. Who did Dallas add on defense this year to stop him?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ronjon619
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-06-09
                                                    • 3675

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                    Do you know how many points Eli scored on Cowboys last year? 33 on first game and 31 on second game last year. Who did Dallas add on defense this year to stop him?
                                                    Pavy I don't care what happened last year. I'm looking at the whole picture here buddy. You can live in the stat books and past performances but I'm looking at a one win cowboy team playing at home with the all of man kind watching. I think they show up.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jayroy25
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-18-09
                                                      • 1578

                                                      #96
                                                      The tease sounds like a great idea. I wuz thnkin dallas -3 but this one 2 close to call. Would love to see dallas lose again tho
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TonyP
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-20-09
                                                        • 8478

                                                        #97
                                                        not sure if I even bet this game
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BC44
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 10-08-10
                                                          • 21

                                                          #98
                                                          i like to giants to win tonite going to take them ml spread and tease it giants to the over
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bartmeister
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-10-10
                                                            • 412

                                                            #99
                                                            No score 1st 6:20. Killin the props lately!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • captrobey
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-02-10
                                                              • 34381

                                                              #100
                                                              I like the over but it will be a tough game
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Joe Sharp
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-01-09
                                                                • 3011

                                                                #101
                                                                Dallas is desperate but they'll take a very different approach than Minnesota did last night. You won't see Romo throw with reckless abandon as Favre did. The game plan for both teams willl be methodical, lots of short passes and RUNS. Dallas has a very strong defensive line so this setup bodes pretty well for them. With Nicks banged up for NY we won't see too many 60 yard bombs from Eli. If you take the Over it'll be an uncomfortable/frustrating night for you as each offense tries to take time off the clock.

                                                                Dallas
                                                                Under

                                                                23-13
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ThE gUrU 99
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 11-26-09
                                                                  • 365

                                                                  #102
                                                                  vikings had a must win last night too and look how that turned out just cuz a team HAS to win dont mean squat!!! i like giants to end dallas season nice and early tonight........
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • islandcoli
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 10-21-10
                                                                    • 198

                                                                    #103
                                                                    I really like the over tonight, but I'm gonna wait til an hour before kick
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DIESELHEEL
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-16-10
                                                                      • 562

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by borednaz
                                                                      I see an over here. But I'm square as hell.
                                                                      I'm with ya boss.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • me-first
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-01-10
                                                                        • 1054

                                                                        #105
                                                                        I'm on Dallas small, not feeling great about it though..
                                                                        Comment
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