Why do you think people post their plays?

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  • diogee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-11-08
    • 19477

    #36
    Wow thats a huge number...no understanding of kelly so I think it is time to go to the think tank and read up on it.
    Comment
    • durito
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-03-06
      • 13173

      #37
      It is a huge number. Now, no one actually has a 70% win probabilty at -110 lines on probably any game ever -- let alone over a large sample of games.

      Nevertheless, even at -150, with a 70% edge one would have an expected bankroll of $6,257,390,062 and a median bankroll of $25,606,926 in the same situation.
      Comment
      • MadCapper
        SBR MVP
        • 01-27-08
        • 4179

        #38
        70% is insane.

        get it out of your head.
        My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
        Comment
        • Iwinyourmoney
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-18-07
          • 18368

          #39
          I love it when everybody ones and shoves it in the books face. Just tryin 2 do my part to help
          Comment
          • curious
            Restricted User
            • 07-20-07
            • 9093

            #40
            Originally posted by MadCapper
            70% is insane.

            get it out of your head.
            My win record in MLB from the all star break till the WS was > 70%, my win record in NCAAB is > 70%. Not sure what your talking about.
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82839

              #41
              Originally posted by curious
              My win record in MLB from the all star break till the WS was > 70%, my win record in NCAAB is > 70%. Not sure what your talking about.
              Curious forgot to mention a small detail. He never got paid his winnings. The book actually won 100% of his money.
              Comment
              • curious
                Restricted User
                • 07-20-07
                • 9093

                #42
                Originally posted by pavyracer
                Curious forgot to mention a small detail. He never got paid his winnings. The book actually won 100% of his money.
                Doesn't change the win loss %. And I have posted that story on here about two dozen times, to the point where people are sick of hearing about it, so not sure what your fukking problem is.
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #43
                  Originally posted by curious
                  My win record in MLB from the all star break till the WS was > 70%, my win record in NCAAB is > 70%. Not sure what your talking about.

                  Either your the best capper in the history of gambling or a poor record keeper.
                  Comment
                  • MadCapper
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-08
                    • 4179

                    #44
                    curious,

                    do you post all your plays in the forums here?

                    ill keep an eye out.

                    nice work.
                    My Blog: http://madcapper.mysbrforum.com/
                    Comment
                    • curious
                      Restricted User
                      • 07-20-07
                      • 9093

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                      Either your the best capper in the history of gambling or a poor record keeper.
                      My posts are public. Go take a math class and then add them up yourself.
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82839

                        #46
                        Originally posted by curious
                        Doesn't change the win loss %. And I have posted that story on here about two dozen times, to the point where people are sick of hearing about it, so not sure what your fukking problem is.
                        I do not have a problem. I can't argue with John Rambo Jr.
                        Comment
                        • curious
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-20-07
                          • 9093

                          #47
                          Originally posted by MadCapper
                          curious,

                          do you post all your plays in the forums here?

                          ill keep an eye out.

                          nice work.
                          Yes, in the NCAAB forum, Free Money Plays Day Date
                          Comment
                          • INVEGA MAN
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-30-08
                            • 6800

                            #48
                            I do it to help a few horses players out. I gave a $1 pk 3 today that paid $100. I hope a few players played it
                            Comment
                            • LT Profits
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-27-06
                              • 90963

                              #49
                              pavyracer,

                              I am a handicapper at one of the professional sites that SBR pulls free plays from, and that is how I get on the front page.
                              Comment
                              • turnip
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-03-06
                                • 940

                                #50
                                Wow thats a huge number...no understanding of kelly so I think it is time to go to the think tank and read up on it.
                                That number would assume no limits, though. If someone could hit 70% long term though (no offense to anyone but I highly doubt it), they would still never have to worry about money.
                                Comment
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