First off I want to apologize for getting the under wrong on the 44.5, if it wasn't for an interception returned for a td, the final total should have been under but teams do make mistakes.
As for this game, the right play is pretty easy.
Kansas st -3
Trends:
They are 4-0 ATS against Kansas
They are 4-1 ATS in their last BIG 12 opponents
They are 4-1 ATS after following a loss
Some things to note for, this will be a running game, but the score should still be above 40 regardless.
Kansas should still be able to score on their home field and I don't see another huge blowout game like last week. Both teams give up a little bit more than 25 ppg.
Strong Lean: Over 50
Lines opened at -3, and are now open at -3.5 or -4 at many sportsbooks with 83% of the squares backing the favorite. There is no reverse line moment and 68% of the public is set on the total hitting over 50.
That being said I like the over for 50, even though many people are saying Kansas cannot score, I think if this game is even within 1 td, it will definitely be over 50.
This should be one of the biggest plays of the week!
BEST OF LUCK
As for this game, the right play is pretty easy.
Kansas st -3
Trends:
They are 4-0 ATS against Kansas
They are 4-1 ATS in their last BIG 12 opponents
They are 4-1 ATS after following a loss
Some things to note for, this will be a running game, but the score should still be above 40 regardless.
Kansas should still be able to score on their home field and I don't see another huge blowout game like last week. Both teams give up a little bit more than 25 ppg.
Strong Lean: Over 50
Lines opened at -3, and are now open at -3.5 or -4 at many sportsbooks with 83% of the squares backing the favorite. There is no reverse line moment and 68% of the public is set on the total hitting over 50.
That being said I like the over for 50, even though many people are saying Kansas cannot score, I think if this game is even within 1 td, it will definitely be over 50.
This should be one of the biggest plays of the week!
BEST OF LUCK