need a math expert

[fightingwarrior]

this is a heads up cash game


100.00 starting bankroll both players no add ons no rebuys 100.00 max buy in


0.25-0.50 no limit poker


15.00 capped per all in


we play until 1 player goes bust or 150 hands are played.


for every hand i win i give him 30 cents and every hand i win he gives me 25 cents we settle after the tourny on this prop bet.


my questions are these



what are the possiblitys of this getting played 150 hands instead of some one going bust.


is there any way to really calculate this.

[Justin7]

I think your scenario doesn't make sense. For every hand you win, you 1. give him 30 cents, and 2. he gives you 25 cents? And nothing happens when he wins?

[RudyRuetigger]

no you cant calculate it given the info supplied

[fightingwarrior]

justin


100.00 starting bankroll heads up so both players have 100.00


0.25-0.50 no limit poker


it is capped though 15.00 max per all in.


we play until some one gets to 0.00 or 150 hands are reached.


my question is simple is there a way to calcuate the percentage of this going 150 hands.

[Justin7]

Not without know more about the players.

[prop]

my question is simple is there a way to calcuate the percentage of this going 150 hands.

If you guys were going all in for $15.00 every hand or following some other patern yes. With no other info than what is presented here, no not really its not all that solveable.

With your stats, ranges, to guage predefined plays, this could be turn into a complex math problem that I doubt anyone would want to tackle because its results would be trivial.

No math, just my opinion: a player with basic understanding of the game who employs
moderate level of discipline against an expert of almost any style playing his opponent: There is a very strong chance this goes all 150 hands.

[frizzelli]

this is a heads up cash game


100.00 starting bankroll both players no add ons no rebuys 100.00 max buy in


0.25-0.50 no limit poker


15.00 capped per all in


we play until 1 player goes bust or 150 hands are played.

Here is my expert analysis pay off the loans your took you stiffing bum


for every hand i win i give him 30 cents and every hand i win he gives me 25 cents we settle after the tourny on this prop bet.


my questions are these



what are the possiblitys of this getting played 150 hands instead of some one going bust.


is there any way to really calculate this.

Here is my expert analysis pay off the loans your took you stiffing bum