I already made a huge play on the Lions (-3) here, but am interested to gather the forums thoughts here.
Here are my reasons:
1. This is a must win for Detroit and specifically for Schwartz. A loss to the Rams risks driving more fans away from the team, eliminates any goodwill built through close defeats and most importantly will have the media talking about another winless season.
2. I think the Rams are getting too much press and will not get up for this game. I truly believe they will take the Lions for granted.
3. The media outlets in Detroit are calling this a revenge game from last year. The Lions were the only team the Rams beat last year.
4. I think the Lions will score more points than the Rams are capable of scoring. Burleson is due to come back this week and he's great at capitalizing the underneath stuff. This will free up Calvin Johnson and the TE's to make plays.
5. I think the smart money went on the Lions early on. This is what I have seen from The Greek.
POINTSPREADS
10/03 20:14 +3 -110 / -3 -110
10/03 20:38 +3 +105 / -3 -125
10/04 10:57 +3 +100 / -3 -120
10/04 16:39 +3 -110 / -3 -110
Notice how all the value went on the Rams (plus money) almost immediately after the lines were posted.
Anyway, I welcome any discussion on the battle of the bottom feeders. I am feeling pretty good about this one, but would be willing to buy out of it if someone offers good counter points.
Here are my reasons:
1. This is a must win for Detroit and specifically for Schwartz. A loss to the Rams risks driving more fans away from the team, eliminates any goodwill built through close defeats and most importantly will have the media talking about another winless season.
2. I think the Rams are getting too much press and will not get up for this game. I truly believe they will take the Lions for granted.
3. The media outlets in Detroit are calling this a revenge game from last year. The Lions were the only team the Rams beat last year.
4. I think the Lions will score more points than the Rams are capable of scoring. Burleson is due to come back this week and he's great at capitalizing the underneath stuff. This will free up Calvin Johnson and the TE's to make plays.
5. I think the smart money went on the Lions early on. This is what I have seen from The Greek.
POINTSPREADS
10/03 20:14 +3 -110 / -3 -110
10/03 20:38 +3 +105 / -3 -125
10/04 10:57 +3 +100 / -3 -120
10/04 16:39 +3 -110 / -3 -110
Notice how all the value went on the Rams (plus money) almost immediately after the lines were posted.
Anyway, I welcome any discussion on the battle of the bottom feeders. I am feeling pretty good about this one, but would be willing to buy out of it if someone offers good counter points.