SBR SPECIAL -- ALL Accumulated POINTS INCREASED BY 33% ON SATURDAY

[nobs]

parlay pays -300

TCU
MICHIGAN
IOWA
USC
UTAH
INDIANA


6 team parlay, all Moneylines. Price is -300

I just put all my points on this.

This parlay will win or I will not post here again until Thanskgiving.

I guarantee all 6 of these teams will win. There is no FKKING way any of these teams will lose. No FKKING WAY.

[nobs]

IOWA is -3200 ML at one book.

That is mad +EV.

There is a better chance of me winning the USA open, and Wimbeldon and the NBA MVP next year than there is of Ball State beating Iowa.

[Irish Lumberjack]

Iowa should have no problems what so ever

[pavyracer]

College football is so predictable this year. Name one major upset that happened so far for ML's?

[rm18]

huh there have been 3 30+ point dogs win already

[pavyracer]

huh there have been 3 30+ point dogs win already

Well if you bet -30 favs on ML you should be shot.

I'm talking about the Top 25 teams losing outright as -7 to -21 favs. There is no value in -30 favs ML's but there is tremendous value in -7 to -21 ML's.

[nobs]

tremendous value.

Iowa -3200 Ml on a game that they WILL NOT LOSE.

TCU -1000 tommorow. Are they nuts ? They saying TCU would lose that game 1 out of 10 times. No way, they might lose 1 out of 50 times tops.

There is enormous disparity between teams in college football, this isnt like the pros where any team can when. Not so in college.

USC -1500 against Washington State ????

OMG, Wash State is possibly the worst div 1 and they are going to beat USC 6.5 % of the time ??????

If this game were played 100 times, USC would win 100 times.

Every team in that Parlay with the possible exception of Indiana will win by 20 points

[yisman]

SBR special?

[nobs]

parlay those 6 moneylines in the sbr book and it comes out to close to -300 on the parlay.

bet all your points, this will win 100% for sure

[clarkd32]

while Iowa should win as 28 pt favs... last year at home they had to block 2 UNI field goals at the end of the game to win... then later in the year beat Arkansas St by 2 pts.

[daneault23]

What not just add some more huge favorites to it?? Like Wisconsin, Nebraska, Virginia, South Florida, Syracuse?? That should be a nice payout.

[nobs]

I am only playing the 6 teams that I know will win

[Dad]

Looks like an easy winner. Good luck, nobs.

[rake922]

What not just add some more huge favorites to it?? Like Wisconsin, Nebraska, Virginia, South Florida, Syracuse?? That should be a nice payout.

Virginia is -46000 ... It will earn an extra 10 cents

[fsugolf]

in it to win it

[rm18]

june jones always has a chance with this offense

[tat1980]

I like the parlay GL

[RollPlayer]

I know I played a "sure winner" Georgia tech on the moneyline earlier this year against Kansas with all of my points. The same kansas that lost to a 1-AA school beat tech. Now I'm points broke. Huge moneylines do lose, but I'm rooting for you

[nobs]

I didnt say to just blindly play huge moneylines because they never lose,

I said to play huge moneylines that are huge +EV.

And I didnt suggest to bet against a team just because they had a terrible loss against a 1 AA school. No I went against Ball State because they suck not because of 1 loss, same thing with going against Wash State.

Iowa was -3200 and won 45-0. Iowa could play Ball State 500 times and would win 499 if not all 500. Yet they were -3200 ???

USC wouldnt lose to Washington State 1% of the time, yet they were -1500 ???

There is a big difference between just playing huge moneylines and playing huge moneylines that are +EV.

This parlay was -300 and it had a 95% chance of winning. Thats the best +EV you are ever going to get.

[nobs]

Micigan won by 44
USC won by 34
Iowa won by 45
TCU won by 17

Indiana up by 15
Utah up 7-0 just started


Teams are up/won by 162 points total so far

[rake922]

[TobiasFunke]

Nice job on the parlay

[RonPaul2008]

You never know. The quarterback or someone else important could get injured.
Betting huge negative moneylines.....rarely a good idea.

I didnt say to just blindly play huge moneylines because they never lose,

I said to play huge moneylines that are huge +EV.

And I didnt suggest to bet against a team just because they had a terrible loss against a 1 AA school. No I went against Ball State because they suck not because of 1 loss, same thing with going against Wash State.

Iowa was -3200 and won 45-0. Iowa could play Ball State 500 times and would win 499 if not all 500. Yet they were -3200 ???

USC wouldnt lose to Washington State 1% of the time, yet they were -1500 ???

There is a big difference between just playing huge moneylines and playing huge moneylines that are +EV.

This parlay was -300 and it had a 95% chance of winning. Thats the best +EV you are ever going to get.

[rm18]

Nobs is a +EV machine, he knew not to take Texas

[nobs]

You never know. The quarterback or someone else important could get injured.
Betting huge negative moneylines.....rarely a good idea.

Just silly.

You know what ? The best player on every team I took could have gotten hurt and this parlay would have still won.

Maybe not by the 200 combined points in won by, but it still would have won.

Take any player off Michigans team and they still win easily, maybe not by 44, but they still win.

You could take any 2 players off Iowa and they would still beat Ball State. Hell Ball State scored 0 points.

You keep right on guessing on your ATS plays ( of course you never know, your starting QB could get injured ) where you have pretty much no chance in hell of hitting the 52.5 % required to just break even at full juice.

I will keep pounding USC at -1500 against Washington state. ARE YOU KIDDING ME ???? -1500 against the worst team in division 1. LOL LOL

And Alabama at -1800 against Duke a couple weeks ago.

USC should have been -20000 not -1500
Alabama should have been -8000 not -1800

but to each his own.

[nobs]

Nobs is a +EV machine, he knew not to take Texas

Thanks, just didnt want to go against UCLA.

I am taking great teams playing garbage teams. I just ruled out that game because UCLA is a decent team, even though I was still surprised they beat Texas.