5 Dimes 20 point teaser?

[LVBOUND]

Has anybody every tried one of these? I was on their site today looking to try some things for this weekend and seen this? So I checked as seen that a 6 team 20 point teaser is -525? I thought this could be good for totals and did some rough research and found that…

NFL 2003-2010
4.4% of games totals have failed to go over when buying 20 points off the over.
NCAA 2006-2010
8.8% of games totals have failed to go over when buying 20 points off the over.

At -525 as long as you do not lose more than 10% of the time you will be a long term winner? Is this feasible or will 5D cut you off after you win 5 or 6 of these in a row?

[wrongturn]

.044% or 4.4%?

[LVBOUND]

yeah I am sorry yeah 4.4% LOL .044% would be a no brainier

[wrongturn]

yeah I am sorry yeah 4.4% LOL .044% would be a no brainier

In that case, -525 is not a good price because it needs to win 84+% of time to profit. While each game has 95.6% chance to win, the 6 team parlay can only win 76.34% of time, far less than the minimum 84% threshold. And you can forget about NCAAF.

[LVBOUND]

Nice math can you first grade teacher how you came to those numbers so I can do them in the future please.

[firedawg]

-525 no way

[LVBOUND]

Yea the bet is so scary it seems like it could not possibly loose, but to risk -525? crazy

[wrongturn]

Nice math can you first grade teacher how you came to those numbers so I can do them in the future please.

For -525, the percentage is 525/(525+100) = 84%.

To generalize, odds -ABC has percentage of ABC/(ABC+100). For dog ABC, percentage is 100/(ABC+100).

If each leg has 95.6% chance to win, 6 legs would be .956^6 (power of 6) = 76.34%

[firedawg]

For -525, the percentage is 525/(525+100) = 84%

If each leg has 95.6% chance to win, 6 legs would be .956^6 (power of 6) = 76.34%

yeah.... what he said

[G's pks]

For -525, the percentage is 525/(525+100) = 84%

If each leg has 95.6% chance to win, 6 legs would be .956^6 (power of 6) = 76.34%

wrongturn...if you are interested in helping me I have a math problem in an NBA thread today...a little more work so if you pass I would understand...trying to figure if there is enough profit margin involved...

[Boscoe]

YouWager has a 21 point teaser. 6 teams is -350. 5 teams is -500. it's only on sides though, not totals.

[wrongturn]

wrongturn...if you are interested in helping me I have a math problem in an NBA thread today...a little more work so if you pass I would understand...trying to figure if there is enough profit margin involved...

Sure I can try. Which thread is that?

[G's pks]

Sure I can try. Which thread is that?

one sec will link...maybe you could help set up a chase pattern...not sure if you ever saw my baseball thread which also was system based.

[G's pks]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/684865-possible-system-thread.html

[wrongturn]

one sec will link...maybe you could help set up a chase pattern...not sure if you ever saw mu baseball thread which also was system based.

Yes I read your baseball system thread before.

[G's pks]

Yes I read your baseball system thread before.

thanks eventually would like to work on some type of better profit margin for that thread...but this is similar... The nba one is simply trend betting...just trying to figure out if it is worth it...thanks.

[KingKolzig]

total ripoff..............also, Saint 14 Vikings 9

[LVBOUND]

King excellent point, can you imagine trying it to start the NFL season and blow your wad on the first game of the year LOL

[LVBOUND]

YouWager has a 21 point teaser. 6 teams is -350. 5 teams is -500. it's only on sides though, not totals.

Any other sites offer huge teasers?

[Mr Windy City]

• 9/25/2010 12:00 PM College Football 326 Connecticut* -3 vs Buffalo U
• 9/25/2010 2:00 PM College Football 332 Missouri* -3 vs Miami Ohio
• 9/25/2010 3:30 PM College Football 337 Tulane/Houston U* Over 39½
• 9/25/2010 8:00 PM College Football 344 Boise State* -1 vs Oregon State
• 9/25/2010 3:00 PM College Football 355 USC* -5 vs Washington State
• 9/25/2010 7:00 PM College Football 366 Indiana* -5½ vs Akron
• 9/25/2010 3:30 PM College Football 379 North Carolina* +14½ vs Rutgers
• 9/26/2010 1:00 PM NFL Football 402 New England Patriots* +1½ vs Buffalo Bills
• 9/26/2010 1:00 PM NFL Football 404 Baltimore Ravens* +5 vs Cleveland Browns
• 9/26/2010 1:00 PM NFL Football 409 Atlanta Falcons* +20½ vs New Orleans Saints
• 9/26/2010 1:00 PM NFL Football 414 Minnesota Vikings* +4 vs Detroit Lions
• 9/26/2010 1:00 PM NFL Football 415 Dallas Cowboys* +19½ vs Houston Texans
• 9/26/2010 4:05 PM NFL Football 420 Jacksonville Jaguars* +19½ vs Philadelphia Eagles
• 9/26/2010 4:15 PM NFL Football 422 Denver Broncos* +22½ vs Indianapolis Colts
• 9/27/2010 8:35 PM NFL Football 430 Chicago Bears* +20 vs Green Bay Packers

Risking 100 to Win 135 (ties lose)