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  • fightingwarrior
    Restricted User
    • 05-06-10
    • 7818

    #1
    math questions
    if you bet -110 no matter home or away no handicapping you will lose over the long run.is IS THIS A FACT.


    if you bet +110 does this mean you will be a winning player.if you just bet these.

    has any one messed around and input odds on -numbers and +numbers
  • Nicky Santoro
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-08-08
    • 16103

    #2
    Originally posted by fightingwarrior
    if you bet -110 no matter home or away no handicapping you will lose over the long run.is IS THIS A FACT.


    if you bet +110 does this mean you will be a winning player.if you just bet these.

    has any one messed around and input odds on -numbers and +numbers
    if they are all pick ems and you are betting them all at +110, then you'll have more money than GOD at the end..
    Comment
    • B1GER1C828
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-31-07
      • 10244

      #3
      Originally posted by fightingwarrior
      if you bet -110 no matter home or away no handicapping you will lose over the long run.is IS THIS A FACT. if you bet +110 does this mean you will be a winning player.if you just bet these. has any one messed around and input odds on -numbers and +numbers
      1:yes if its a spread(because of 50/50 chance of winning)
      2:no

      because to get +110, you wont be doing a spread, more likely a ML in which the teams chance of losing is over 55% in which case you'll be losing long term.
      Comment
      • fightingwarrior
        Restricted User
        • 05-06-10
        • 7818

        #4
        is this for mlb as well.


        nicky does this work for baseball so every +110 game out there you should bet becuase your getting positve odds.

        over a long haul even capping these games like over 10,000 plays you should have a winning percenatage right.
        Comment
        • B1GER1C828
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-31-07
          • 10244

          #5
          Originally posted by fightingwarrior
          is this for mlb as well. nicky does this work for baseball so every +110 game out there you should bet becuase your getting positve odds. over a long haul even capping these games like over 10,000 plays you should have a winning percenatage right.
          no because when you bet +110 in mlb, the teams winning chance isn't better than it would need to be to for +110 to be profitable long term.

          For instance...teams winning % may be 40% but if you get it at +110(which is 47.62 implied probability), its not profitable.
          Comment
          • RudyRuetigger
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-24-10
            • 65084

            #6
            Originally posted by fightingwarrior
            is this for mlb as well.


            nicky does this work for baseball so every +110 game out there you should bet becuase your getting positve odds.

            over a long haul even capping these games like over 10,000 plays you should have a winning percenatage right.
            you are missing the point pal.

            nicky is saying if the current market odds are +100 and you get +110 youll be rolling in cash.

            i think what you are trying to say is if you bet every +110 bet will you win in the long run and the answer is no.
            Comment
            • forsberg21
              SBR MVP
              • 09-23-09
              • 1851

              #7
              Originally posted by fightingwarrior
              is this for mlb as well. nicky does this work for baseball so every +110 game out there you should bet becuase your getting positve odds. over a long haul even capping these games like over 10,000 plays you should have a winning percenatage right.
              Not really. It all depends on what you assess the +110 team's chances of winning are. If your assessment is an accurate one over the long term, then betting +110 on teams that you correctly assessed will win 50% of the time will net you a hefty profit in the long run.

              On the other hand, if you are hitting +110 wagers at a 40% rate, you will be losing money over time.

              It doesn't matter what sport you are playing, it all depends on your assessment of the team's chances of winning, combined with the line you are getting. Just because you see a line for +110 doesn't mean you should be taking that line since you are wrongfully assuming that the +110 team has a 50% shot of winning, which they probably don't. Your thinking is right here - take any +110 bets that have a 50% shot of winning. However, never automatically assume that a +110 team has a 50% shot of winning by default, this is where your capping skills come into play.
              Comment
              • Nicky Santoro
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-08-08
                • 16103

                #8
                only spreads that are -110.. for example.. knicks -3.5 -110/+3.5-110, celtics ov 187.5 -110/un 187.5 -110, cowboys -6.5 -110/+6.5-110. etc etc..

                if you get it all at +110, dog or fav, then you can put that down payment on that beachfront house right now..

                but good luck finding games like this.
                Comment
                • sharpcat
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-19-09
                  • 4516

                  #9
                  Please stop gambling immediately.
                  Comment
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