Tell me this play isnt better than 50/50. Its pays + 117.

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  • nobs
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-09
    • 4216

    #1
    Tell me this play isnt better than 50/50. Its pays + 117.
    This Parlay pays +117, and better numbers can probably be found which would make it +125 or better. This play is screaming +EV, and yes I know a lot of people dont like an 11 team parlay, as anything can happen in any game.

    Still, I say this play has better than a 50/50 shot of hitting and it pays +117 using my numbers, so I say its +EV.

    The parlay

    Houston ML -1200
    Florida ML -650
    Nebraska ML -4000
    LSU ML -360
    Utah ML -1700
    TEXAS ML -5000
    Texas am ML -1300
    Texas Tech ML -2000
    Nevada ML -1800
    Michigan State ML -4500
    Arkansas ML -15001


    Now it is an 11 teamer, but lets keep it real, Texas, Houston, and Arkansas are going to win. I would also say Michigan State and Nebraska are gimme's. So that makes this a 6 team parlay where all 6 teams are huge favorites to win.

    So lets see, is Florida going to get beat by South florida bulls ? Yes, I know the Bulls are decent, but really now ?

    Also, LSU against Vandy ?Texas Tech at -2000, Texas AM at -1300 ?

    Really who is going to lose. I posted one of these last week and it won, so i am riding until I lose one.
  • rm18
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-20-05
    • 22291

    #2
    I do not like it because of FLorida specifically, Houston might be dangerous UTEP crushed them last year though revenge probably helps them a little here.

    Florida looked bad against Miami, and USF has a lot of speed should limit them from the big plays.
    Comment
    • ngates815
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-01-09
      • 13845

      #3
      Although Florida did look like shit against a Miami(oh) team that is bad, They should have there act together and come out strong this week.

      And I fuckken hate Florida
      Comment
      • iifold
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-25-10
        • 11111

        #4
        If you aren't careful, Minet123 will soon be stalking you reminding you not to play parlays with a litlle laughing smiley at the end...
        Comment
        • GoldRush7
          SBR MVP
          • 04-27-09
          • 2014

          #5
          I could see LSU fukin it up. Les Miles is a joke... almost lost to a depleted UNC team and couldn't score a point in the second half
          Comment
          • nobs
            Restricted User
            • 08-31-09
            • 4216

            #6
            + 117

            Winner
            Comment
            • rm18
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-20-05
              • 22291

              #7
              nice hit, still think Florida got a little lucky 5 tunrovers to 0 cost me a lot of money
              Comment
              • Shonner
                SBR MVP
                • 09-05-10
                • 1361

                #8
                Originally posted by nobs
                + 117

                Winner
                Nice win but I think that was screaming loss

                You'll go broke doing those in my opinion
                Comment
                • Nicky Santoro
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-08-08
                  • 16103

                  #9
                  anyone of those teams could have easily lost on any given night.. just look at MINN this weekend. 30 pt favs and they lose outright..

                  this is sports. nothing is impossible.. i would rather have a small +117 dog to win, than 11 games
                  Comment
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