good wikipedia article

[pico]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusion_of_control

[pico]

kind make you wonder are you really "picking" winners

[pico]

quote:
"Subjects who guessed a series of coin tosses more successfully began to believe that they were actually better guessers, and believed that their guessing performance would be less accurate if they were distracted."

[mofome]

quote:
"Subjects who guessed a series of coin tosses more successfully began to believe that they were actually better guessers, and believed that their guessing performance would be less accurate if they were distracted."

[pico]

another good one

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Texas_sharpshooter_fallacy

[The HG]

Interesting picoman, but of course it doesn't follow that just because humans in general exhibit a certain tendency, or that many humans exhibit certain behaviors, that it applies to all humans.

In fact I bet you you could find a wikipedia article on a study that shows that when people read about a study that demonstrates human tendencies, it is a human tendency to falsely apply that tendency to all humans. If there isn't they should do one.