Best Super Bowl Longshot

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  • HedgeHog
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-11-07
    • 10128

    #1
    Best Super Bowl Longshot
    Which non-bye team can make it to the Super Bowl? Indy and NE in the AFC, plus Dal and GB in the NFC have clinched byes. So what other team, either conference, can run 3 playoff wins together and make it to the Big Game?

    I'll take Jacksonville (20-1 AFC, 35-1 SB---at Book/Cris). Any other thoughts?
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Saints
    Comment
    • tacomax
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-10-05
      • 9619

      #3
      Dolphins.
      Originally posted by pags11
      SBR would never get rid of me...ever...
      Originally posted by BuddyBear
      I'd probably most likely chose Pags to jack off too.
      Originally posted by curious
      taco is not a troll, he is a bubonic plague bacteria.
      Comment
      • HedgeHog
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-11-07
        • 10128

        #4
        Originally posted by tacomax
        Dolphins.
        Now I know why you don't bet.
        Comment
        • tblues2005
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-30-06
          • 9235

          #5
          Hedgehog,

          I think it wouldn't be a bad idea to look at the Vikings to win the NFC if you are looking for longshots.
          Comment
          • GamblingMike
            SBR MVP
            • 05-05-07
            • 2565

            #6
            I say Jacksonville, San Diego, Cleveland, and Pittsburgh in The AFC and Minnesota and New Orleans in The NFC.
            Comment
            • Dark Horse
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-14-05
              • 13764

              #7
              Jacksonville, then nothing, then Chargers and Seattle.
              Comment
              • rjt721
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-06-07
                • 7929

                #8
                What were the SB odds on the Jags before their win over Pitt?
                Comment
                • roasthawg
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-09-07
                  • 2990

                  #9
                  saints are the only longshot i would think about playing.
                  Comment
                  • McBa1n
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-02-06
                    • 2642

                    #10
                    The Jags really are the only team that have the 'formula' for championships in the 'longshot' category, or have the most.

                    Defense (some big injuries, but good depth) - Check
                    Running game - Check PLUS
                    Playmakers - Check
                    Consistent QB - Check
                    Turnover prevention - Check
                    Turnover potential on D - Check
                    Special teams - Meh (inconsistant kicker)

                    If they can keep the gas on and close out strong, there's good value in those odds. But getting past NE or Indy and then possibly NE or Indy? Yikes.
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #11
                      JAGS and VIKES . . easy both are nice prices + 2500 plus
                      Comment
                      • ChuteBoxe
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-21-07
                        • 6885

                        #12
                        Jaguars, Chargers, Browns, in that order.
                        Comment
                        • rm18
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-20-05
                          • 22291

                          #13
                          San Diego Super Chargers, and maybe the Skins
                          Comment
                          • aszzzbrokerman
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-08-07
                            • 183

                            #14
                            i got SD 15-1 way back in September

                            TOok the Colts last year

                            Going with my theory that you cant be 14-2, 15-1, lose a home playoff game and then not win the next year.
                            Comment
                            • MJFtheGenius
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-31-07
                              • 7257

                              #15
                              anyone who would throw money on any team other then the patriots,Cowboys,Colts,or Packers is an idiot. All these other teams would be a joke.
                              Comment
                              • MJFtheGenius
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-31-07
                                • 7257

                                #16
                                Originally posted by rm18
                                San Diego Super Chargers, and maybe the Skins
                                Comment
                                • SPECULATOR 13
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 08-12-07
                                  • 768

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by rm18
                                  San Diego Super Chargers
                                  I'M with the CHARGERS also because I'm routing for Norv Turner to finally get is day in the sun.If you red a bit about this man he is the kind o fellow that you rout for to do well
                                  Comment
                                  • HedgeHog
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-11-07
                                    • 10128

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                    anyone who would throw money on any team other then the patriots,Cowboys,Colts,or Packers is an idiot. All these other teams would be a joke.
                                    Saw your Cowboys the past 2 weeks--they suck! Odds on to win the NFC, what a joke! Grow up, sonny.
                                    Comment
                                    • matskralc
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-26-07
                                      • 202

                                      #19
                                      The problem with taking any AFC team is that they'd almost certainly have to go through New England, and I just can't envision a scenario in which one of them can (much as I would love to see it).

                                      Minnesota's probably got a decent shot in the NFC, but they seem to be the popular pick and so won't offer as great a price for their real chances. The Saints aren't a bad longshot, either. Seattle isn't a longshot: they're a noshot.
                                      Comment
                                      • THE HITMAN
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-16-07
                                        • 2394

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                        Which non-bye team can make it to the Super Bowl? Indy and NE in the AFC, plus Dal and GB in the NFC have clinched byes. So what other team, either conference, can run 3 playoff wins together and make it to the Big Game?

                                        I'll take Jacksonville (20-1 AFC, 35-1 SB---at Book/Cris). Any other thoughts?
                                        I have to concur.......Jaxonville
                                        Comment
                                        • MJFtheGenius
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-31-07
                                          • 7257

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                          Saw your Cowboys the past 2 weeks--they suck! Odds on to win the NFC, what a joke! Grow up, sonny.
                                          Are you joking me, my Cowboys are fine, Colts struggled last year down the stretch but then went on to winthe superbowl.

                                          You don't even realize how moronic you sound suggesting to bet money any of the teams other then the Pats,Dallas,GB or Colts have a shot to win their confernces. It's dumb, this year it's a pretty clear cut.
                                          Comment
                                          • goldengoat
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-25-05
                                            • 3239

                                            #22
                                            minnesota

                                            hard to get past both colts and pats

                                            AP can go crazy on ya sometimes even with 8 in the box
                                            Comment
                                            • HedgeHog
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-11-07
                                              • 10128

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                              Are you joking me, my Cowboys are fine, Colts struggled last year down the stretch but then went on to winthe superbowl.

                                              You don't even realize how moronic you sound suggesting to bet money any of the teams other then the Pats,Dallas,GB or Colts have a shot to win their confernces. It's dumb, this year it's a pretty clear cut.
                                              You probably bet 3-5 shots at Lonestar (to show); pussy bets!
                                              Comment
                                              • MJFtheGenius
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-31-07
                                                • 7257

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                                You probably bet 3-5 shots at Lonestar (to show); pussy bets!
                                                I am a small player, $50-100 a game on a daily basis (I've only bet 500 once and i won, very rarely i will bet a few hundred), does that mean i don't know more about sports then you or a play of mine is not as good as someone who bet 5 dimes, the answer is no, I am just not dumb. I am 20 years old and the last thing I need is to lose all my money on gambling because even though i win now does not mean I won't lose later.

                                                You will all lose your money on these future bets, total waste of money, that is my point.

                                                By the way, Vikings have no chance with tha scrub at quarterback.

                                                Are you telling me I am a peice of shit because I don't gamble all my money?? what is your point?
                                                Comment
                                                • OrionSky
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 07-21-07
                                                  • 939

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm with the Packers and the bye.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Illusion
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 08-09-05
                                                    • 25166

                                                    #26
                                                    Jacksonville would be my number one, but I also like Pittsburgh as my dark horse.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HedgeHog
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-11-07
                                                      • 10128

                                                      #27
                                                      MJF "the genius": If you want to play chalk like NE (1-3 AFC) or your over-bought Dal (3-5 NFC), that's your choice, but I see no value in those low odds. Don't label the rest of us morons for looking for a price. I've watched a lot of playoffs and have seen a number of #3 thru #6 seeds put three wins together and get to the Super Bowl. So cut the crap about there being no chance. If I want to throw $50 or $100 on a longshot, that's my choice too. I see it as a value play; you see it as a waste...again my choice.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • yahoonino
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-10-07
                                                        • 2651

                                                        #28
                                                        minesota will win the super bowl
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MJFtheGenius
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 05-31-07
                                                          • 7257

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by HedgeHog
                                                          MJF "the genius": If you want to play chalk like NE (1-3 AFC) or your over-bought Dal (3-5 NFC), that's your choice, but I see no value in those low odds. Don't label the rest of us morons for looking for a price. I've watched a lot of playoffs and have seen a number of #3 thru #6 seeds put three wins together and get to the Super Bowl. So cut the crap about there being no chance. If I want to throw $50 or $100 on a longshot, that's my choice too. I see it as a value play; you see it as a waste...again my choice.
                                                          Hedgehog I didn't place a bet for any futures because there was no value, those teams had no shot, I told you before it happened but you did not listen. You could have bought alot with that $100 now it's gone you moron.
                                                          Comment
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