If you took the points in ALL of the Bowl Games, how would you fair in units?

[Ganchrow]

I'm good with numbers/and math but what's the definition of these symbols and what do the %'s relate too?

Z(50%) Z(52.381%) p-value(52.38%)

Z(p*) refers to the z-score^WK of the observed frequency and standard deviation assuming a mean of p*.

The p-value(p*) is the two-tailed significance level^WK associated with that particular z-score. This is an approximation of the likelihood of the data set having producing the observed results given an historical cover rate of p*. A slightly more accurate approximation could have been obtained using a t-test^WK, and better still by using the binomial distribution^WK directly.

What year was the starting date for the records compiled above?

The entire data set is posted here.

[pharmorjac]

Any idea I can't see the tables? Specifically the tables on page 2. If someone is smart at programming language could you repost them. I'd like to see the ones which call out the before Jan 1 big dogs as I remember they hit like 75% last year.

They were there previously and now I can't see them. I was going to use this strategy this year.

[rm18]

I think the lines are overcompensated for this. I usually take more dogs than favorites and I am taking 12 favorites and 2 dogs in Bowl games probably

[Fiasco]

take acc dogs and fade acc faves

that has been quite profitable in the past...