what would you do when you see a pinnacle lean?

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  • pico
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-05-07
    • 27321

    #1
    what would you do when you see a pinnacle lean?
    this topic has been talked to death. but this thread is a little different. i am asking about what would you personally do on a hypothetical pinnacle lean opportunity. just curious what y'all crazy bettor would do in this situation:

    ***just let you know, this is just a hypothetical situation. i made up all the numbers.

    for example, you're pretty sure on a chalk bet in a major sporting event. the line at pinnacle opened at -166. all other major sportbooks has it at -170. the game won't start for another 5 days. you're thinking about putting some money on the chalk. however you noticed something intereing. all of sudden, the line at pinnacle is now -176. the line at other big sportsbooks are still at -170 unchanged. so it is pretty clear, some one is betting big on this. so you wait a day, and saw the line at pinnacle went down to -167. now you're thinking about making the bet, but all off the sudden the line at pinnacle jump to -177. so you thought to yourself, maybe if i wait another day, the line will go back to -167 or -168. you waited a day, the line is still at -177 for pinnacle and -170 at other sportsbooks. as of now, you have two days until the start of the game.

    what would you do in this situation? would you wait a day, hoping the line at pinnacle will drop below -170? or you just put your bet in at other major sportsbook at -170 because you think the other books might change their line soon.

    or other thoughts?
  • Dead Money
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-30-05
    • 706

    #2
    I use this as a tool. The way I look at it you have a semi-advantage if Pinny is at 177 and your book is 170 ( assuming that Pinny does have the SHARPEST lines).

    If you have capped the game and are confident you have an advantage/winner and the Pinny lean is with you, you make the bet.

    Not sure if any of you guys know Iceman across the street but hedoesn't even handicap games. he usually just uses the Pinny lean and lineshops for the best number. He is a winning bettor without even handicapping a game.

    I just use the P L as a tool in my routine.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      It means nothing, more squares betting at Pinny now than ever before

      Books like Greek and underground credit books have way better leans than Pinny
      Comment
      • donjuan
        SBR MVP
        • 08-29-07
        • 3993

        #4
        Books like Greek and underground credit books have way better leans than Pinny
        Says the man who is a degen long term loser.
        Comment
        • Dead Money
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-30-05
          • 706

          #5
          I think the lean is sharper now that most of the square americans are no longer there.
          Comment
          • Thremp
            SBR MVP
            • 07-23-07
            • 2067

            #6
            You'll be a long term winner picking off errant lines purely based on Pinnacle.
            Comment
            • rake922
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-23-07
              • 11692

              #7
              updates on all this?
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                If you are on the same side as the Pinny lean, bet it immediately at the better line at another book. If you disagree with the Pinny lean, wait and see if the lean reverses itself, and if it doesn't, play the best available line at the last possible moment.
                Comment
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