Less Than 1% Chance of this Happening!!!!

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  • jolmscheid
    Restricted User
    • 02-20-10
    • 3256

    #1
    Less Than 1% Chance of this Happening!!!!
    OK guys...so what if one was to set up a progression of starting with betting 1% of their roll and after a loss, then increase it by 1%...to a MAX of 10 games...

    Assuming one can pick 50% winners, the chances of losing 10 games in a row is 0.098%....so VERY VERY VERY unlikely! But if it did happen, then one would lose 55% of their bankroll so they would not be broke!

    Couldn't one just grind out profits over the long run this way by betting 1% per game unless it loses, then move up 1% the next game, etc, etc....up to a MAX of 10 games......and after a WIN, then you would go back down to 1% of your roll....


    Is this at all profitable? Could someone PLEASE run the numbers and show me that there is legit proof that this is a failure to try?

    Thanks EVERYONE!
  • Nater
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-26-09
    • 174

    #2
    i have had bad streaks........I have had 10 games in a row that lost......i have had several spells like this in baseball.
    Comment
    • fishmonger
      SBR MVP
      • 12-31-08
      • 1492

      #3
      it sounds like the system for roulette for betting a certain color every time. Double your bet after a loss and bet the same after a win. You need a HUGE bankroll to pull this off and bet small every time. because 2,4,8,16,32,64,128 would be the amounts you would have to place if you lost 7 in a row. just to win the original 2.
      Comment
      • pats3peat
        SBR MVP
        • 10-23-05
        • 1163

        #4
        werd up man
        Comment
        • Masu485
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-14-08
          • 7700

          #5
          Whenever ever someone says this in words it seems foolproof, but for some reason whenever it's tried, it fails almost immediately. I am willing to try something like this one day though
          Comment
          • jolmscheid
            Restricted User
            • 02-20-10
            • 3256

            #6
            Hmm...thanks guys for your responses....I just don't see why one couldn't grind with this style of wagering? I mean I understand that one could lose 55% of their roll if they lost 10 games in a row doing this, but that happens LESS than 1 in a 100?
            Comment
            • fishmonger
              SBR MVP
              • 12-31-08
              • 1492

              #7
              it won't work. I lost 400 SBR points trying this in roulette. The chances of 8 blacks is crazy but it happened.
              Comment
              • Intuitive_Edge
                SBR MVP
                • 07-22-09
                • 1644

                #8
                pick your spots or you will lose it all
                Comment
                • Sunde91
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 8325

                  #9
                  Don't see how this is effective at all.

                  Once you start losing 3 or more in a row, you're not even getting even with the next win and then you go back to 1 unit and are still in a hole.

                  Less riskier than Martingale, but not more effective or practical, imo.
                  Comment
                  • Sunde91
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 8325

                    #10
                    it sounds like the system for roulette for betting a certain color every time. Double your bet after a loss and bet the same after a win. You need a HUGE bankroll to pull this off and bet small every time. because 2,4,8,16,32,64,128 would be the amounts you would have to place if you lost 7 in a row. just to win the original 2
                    .


                    Originally posted by fishmonger
                    it won't work. I lost 400 SBR points trying this in roulette. The chances of 8 blacks is crazy but it happened.
                    He never proposed the Martingale system. And yes, chasing like that in Roulette will swiftly bury your ass. Did you notice the ball spinning around extra long on big rolls you needed to win and then ended up hitting 0 or something?It's rigged.
                    Comment
                    • Onefreedm1nd
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-15-10
                      • 282

                      #11
                      If you pick 100% winners all systems and strategies work
                      Comment
                      • Onefreedm1nd
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 06-15-10
                        • 282

                        #12
                        If Blackjack tables had no max bet........
                        Comment
                        • OmgUrMom
                          Restricted User
                          • 02-07-10
                          • 8481

                          #13
                          1/2/4/8/16/32/64/128/256/512/1024

                          actually if you want to martingale you cant even bet one thousandth of your bankroll to have the ability to lose 10 str8
                          Comment
                          • Himalaya
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-09-09
                            • 334

                            #14
                            If it can happen, it will happen. Many including myself have learned the hard way, you will lose your entire bankroll.
                            Eventually all gamblers learn that you cannot chase losses. You must have Patience and Discipline. Bet no more than 2% of your bankroll on a single game, adjust your unit size weekly, monthly, or at pre set levels. Have patience, think in terms of years, not weeks or months. Of course you still need to win more than you lose.
                            Comment
                            • noober
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 2012

                              #15
                              martingale doesn't work in the long run
                              Comment
                              • THE PROFIT
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-27-09
                                • 17701

                                #16
                                quit with all the strategies & doubling up. Betting systems are a crock. you CAN lose 10 in a row if you don't do your homework. But if you're putting your all into capping you can pick some winners. There's 1 reason & 1 reason alone sports gamblers don't make money

                                GREED
                                Comment
                                • tonyhomo
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-10-10
                                  • 749

                                  #17
                                  Save your money wont work longterm
                                  Comment
                                  • poker_dummy101
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-03-08
                                    • 6395

                                    #18
                                    oh great here we go again
                                    Comment
                                    • jolmscheid
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-20-10
                                      • 3256

                                      #19
                                      Thanks everyone! NO chasing for me!
                                      Comment
                                      • ProfaneReality
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-14-09
                                        • 7607

                                        #20
                                        go try this with red and black on a roulette wheel.. let us know how it works out.
                                        Comment
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