Justin7: Are there any valid math based concepts to use for home run derby?

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  • SlickFazzer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-22-08
    • 20209

    #1
    Justin7: Are there any valid math based concepts to use for home run derby?
    and finding value with any of the match-ups?
  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #2
    No idea, sorry. There probably are, but I don't have the time or energy to find it for a once-in-a-year event.
    Comment
    • SlickFazzer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 05-22-08
      • 20209

      #3
      fair enough....probably just roll the dice with someone for $20.
      Comment
      • Richkas
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-03-08
        • 19396

        #4
        Originally posted by SlickFazzer
        fair enough....probably just roll the dice with someone for $20.
        Ortiz or Cabrera, you cant go wrong
        Comment
        • pat venditto
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 05-07-07
          • 14347

          #5
          Richkas it could go wrong very easily.
          Comment
          • Fishhead
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 08-11-05
            • 40179

            #6
            SCALP the damn thing..............FORGET MATH
            Comment
            • frankbettor
              SBR Hustler
              • 02-12-10
              • 70

              #7
              I can tell you as a quasi-insider the answer to your question is 'no'.
              Comment
              • maersksealand
                SBR MVP
                • 09-17-09
                • 1673

                #8
                I don't know about your question, but bet the under on the All Star Game...nothing to do against the best pitchers.
                Comment
                • gambleballs
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-15-07
                  • 466

                  #9
                  I think if you had PitchFX data you could probably get an idea of how well a batter connected with a pitch that was "served up" v/s all pitches to him. I think a players regular season home run count probably has little to no Derby predictive qualities.
                  Comment
                  • TobiasFunke
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 1999

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Justin7
                    No idea, sorry. There probably are, but I don't have the time or energy to find it for a once-in-a-year event.
                    Yet people seem to go nuts for the Superbowl...
                    Comment
                    • durito
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-03-06
                      • 13173

                      #11
                      Originally posted by TobiasFunke
                      Yet people seem to go nuts for the Superbowl...
                      You get 500k down on superbowl props.

                      You can't get shit on the home run contest.
                      Comment
                      • BeeMore
                        Restricted User
                        • 05-29-10
                        • 1004

                        #12
                        This is a crap shoot
                        Comment
                        • Slim
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-08
                          • 4722

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Richkas
                          Ortiz or Cabrera, you cant go wrong
                          Comment
                          • Fishhead
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-11-05
                            • 40179

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Slim





                            That's pretty good....
                            Comment
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