Gambling tactic-what's your opinion-must read!

mrmarket · 07-04-10, 10:17 PM

Foolproof plan. Keep it up.

warriorfan707 · 07-04-10, 10:21 PM

Your record may be good but you will drown in juice

rm18 · 07-04-10, 10:22 PM

i think i am down 25k lifetime betting +2.5 runlines, so +1.5's probably aren't free money

will2survive · 07-04-10, 10:22 PM

I swear to you that it's been working--I only lay off heavy juice---but not a problem thus far---I haven't won a contest but always near the top

will2survive · 07-04-10, 10:23 PM

rm: you're always at the top also--see your name there a lot

rm18 · 07-04-10, 10:25 PM

i definitely would take +1.5 before laying it but still you should try to hand pick the games

will2survive · 07-04-10, 10:28 PM

I agree--In those SBR contests--I usually take like 12 -+1.5's and take 2 --- -1.5(if the favorite looks like it will be a blow out---Pick your spots -definitely

will2survive · 07-04-10, 10:29 PM

I'm going to try it out with real money but very small amounts(I mean very small--as a test)

thezbar · 07-04-10, 10:29 PM

This system is working now. But like all system the tide will turn. Its up to you as the the plan for the future. Personally I would choose to be more selective than playing all the games.

DiggityDaggityDo · 07-04-10, 10:30 PM

Easy way to get rich I think.

will2survive · 07-04-10, 10:32 PM

I agree--be selective for real money----but if it's an SBR contest---I do what I posted above--sometimes you land a "Baltimore Orioles" while everyone else has the big favorite

2daBank · 07-04-10, 10:43 PM

good luck.......

will2survive · 07-04-10, 10:47 PM

Bank:It's been working consistently--I'm definitely trying it with "Micro Plays"---Plenty of season to go

2daBank · 07-04-10, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by will2survive

Bank:It's been working consistently--I'm definitely trying it with "Micro Plays"---Plenty of season to go

bro it has been working because dogs have been winning a lot recently, hell the last week or so you could have not worried about the 1.5 and just played the ml, it wont continue, back test that shit and tell me what you find, instead of going off the last week.....either way i wish you luck but trust me i seriously doubt this is profitable long term and in fact odds are you missed the boat it wont keep up.... i do think there a lot a value when you get a close to ev price taking the 1.5 but it totally depends on the matchup and situation, dont you think everyone would be rich if some easy ass strategy like this worked? im sure you not the 1st one to try it.......

will2survive · 07-05-10, 10:00 AM

bump---I want more opinions--I'm sold on this and the percentages

str · 07-05-10, 11:09 AM

Blind plays can work very well.... but only for a short run. If this always worked,the bet would not exist or the price would adjust so that it would not. Please remember, the guys setting these lines and the places that hold them know what they are doing.
As I told you in a previous post,write these down for a SEASON( only save the actual money on blind plays and just write them down).You will indeed see what happens. And if by some chance it would hold up,it will not next season.
Everything adjusts.
And adjustments are what you should be waiting for.When the entire planet becomes sure that a team stinks or is great mid season,two things will happen.1st is the line will adjust, be it points,price,whatever.The 2nd is that people will bet into those adjusted lines and lose.It is your job to identify those adjustments and use them to your advantage.
Case in point.
2007 New England Pats were crushing everyone and they were laying points all over the place and easily covering.In week 3 they laid 16.5 points to Buffalo at home and won 38-7.They continued on to a 8-0 record ATS.Laid 5.5 to the Colts and won by 4. 8-1 ATS . Played the Buffalo Bills on Monday night at Buffalo and laid 16 points( same amount as they had at home 6 weeks earlier and won 56-10.That made them 9-1 to the spread. Because everyone saw the Monday night game and most cashed,the whole world was sure that they could play these guys blindly thru the Super Bowl and cash each week.Easy Money!They laid double digits the rest of the year and more than 21 twice.They went 1-8 ATS the rest of the way. They only lost in the Super Bowl but the adjustment got them.
Final results were 18-1 SU and 10-9 ATS.
This works alot in the NFL.Not necessarily true in College.If Superior talent is covering weekly it probably continues but if it is a line that is faulty, it will adjust.

Remember,in life but especially in wagering,nothing is easy.

will2survive · 07-05-10, 11:21 AM

thanks for the insight str--makes good sense