I have a gambling problem

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  • fearless
    Restricted User
    • 08-14-06
    • 4950

    #1
    I have a gambling problem
    I can only bet on favorites, something in my head will not allow me to take underdogs. For example, I was just looking at the Nuggets/Clippers halftime line. I knew the Clippers were the right play but I didn't even consider them because I only take favorites.

    Can someone help me with my gambling problem?
  • gummo
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-04-06
    • 6297

    #2
    You will never be worse than 50% if you bet favorites.
    Comment
    • pico
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-05-07
      • 27321

      #3
      betting on favorites is not a bad strategy. start betting MLB, after awhile, you'll stop betting hte favorites for sure.
      Comment
      • fearless
        Restricted User
        • 08-14-06
        • 4950

        #4
        Originally posted by picoman
        betting on favorites is not a bad strategy. start betting MLB, after awhile, you'll stop betting hte favorites for sure.
        I've experienced that, it's horrible.
        Comment
        • ChuteBoxe
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-21-07
          • 6885

          #5
          Originally posted by picoman
          betting on favorites is not a bad strategy. start betting MLB, after awhile, you'll stop betting hte favorites for sure.
          hahaha, definitely learned that the hard way a few years back.
          Comment
          • Dark Horse
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-14-05
            • 13764

            #6
            Originally posted by rainbowworld
            I can only bet on favorites, something in my head will not allow me to take underdogs. For example, I was just looking at the Nuggets/Clippers halftime line. I knew the Clippers were the right play but I didn't even consider them because I only take favorites.

            Can someone help me with my gambling problem?
            In my opinion the whole debate about 'squares betting favorites' is not about favorites and dogs, but about playing on or fading. In other words, a square always bets on the favorite because he can't bring himself to bet on the dog. What he's really doing is fading the dog. Keyword is fading.

            So, if you want to play on dogs, turn it around and find angles that fade favorites. A play on a dog is a fade of a favorite.
            Comment
            • fearless
              Restricted User
              • 08-14-06
              • 4950

              #7
              Originally posted by Dark Horse
              In my opinion the whole debate about 'squares betting favorites' is not about favorites and dogs, but about playing on or fading. In other words, a square always bets on the favorite because he can't bring himself to bet on the dog. What he's really doing is fading the dog. Keyword is fading.

              So, if you want to play on dogs, turn it around and find angles that fade favorites. A play on a dog is a fade of a favorite.
              That's some great advice, thanks! The Nuggets/Clippers game I mentioned is an excellent example of that. I knew the Clippers were the strong play because the Nuggets were in a second game of back to back on the road and the Clippers were rested and rolling at home. Also, the Clippers have had the Nuggets number in recent years. Camby was doing nothing because he's not prepared for back to backs yet, Iverson's getting old and back to backs get tougher... it was really a fade of the favorite, Denver that made me think the Clips were the play. All of that and the refs were favoring the Clips, imho. Nice tip, thanks.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                You will never win betting favorites, it is a dog generation now due to parity in sports.e
                Comment
                • fearless
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-14-06
                  • 4950

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  You will never win betting favorites, it is a dog generation now due to parity in sports.e
                  I'll think about that, thanks.
                  Comment
                  • HAPPY BOY
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 7109

                    #10
                    not me Im taking the Lions, see it's easy.
                    Comment
                    • 20Four7
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-08-07
                      • 6703

                      #11
                      Originally posted by HAPPY BOY
                      not me Im taking the Lions, see it's easy.
                      GL Happy boy I"m there with ya. +3 1/2 looks good to me
                      Comment
                      • durito
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-03-06
                        • 13173

                        #12
                        Originally posted by gummo
                        You will never be worse than 50% if you bet favorites.
                        Favorites are 48.6% ATS the last 22 years NFL and 49.2% NCAA Football
                        Comment
                        • Crutch
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 09-18-07
                          • 216

                          #13
                          start betting underdogs
                          Comment
                          • Scorpion
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-04-05
                            • 7797

                            #14
                            Originally posted by rainbowworld
                            I can only bet on favorites, something in my head will not allow me to take underdogs. For example, I was just looking at the Nuggets/Clippers halftime line. I knew the Clippers were the right play but I didn't even consider them because I only take favorites.

                            Can someone help me with my gambling problem?
                            I have the same probem!
                            I only bet the favs, double digit favs, the big favs, yesterday:
                            Dallas -15 WIN
                            Indy -13.5 WIN

                            I have been doing reaaly good this year betting the favs, have not had a losing week betting NE, Dallas, GB, Pitt, Indy!

                            I bet the favs and the over all the time and every year I lose!

                            Maybe somebody can help me too!

                            Tonight in the NBA I already bet:
                            Pho -14.5
                            Den -14.5
                            SA -13
                            Det -10.5


                            Tomorrow I have:
                            West Virgina -20
                            N Carolina -16

                            My game of the year is:
                            NE -124
                            Comment
                            • fearless
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-14-06
                              • 4950

                              #15
                              I think I might kick my problem and take Miami as a dog against a struggling Houston team, not sure. Thanks guys!
                              Comment
                              • fearless
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-14-06
                                • 4950

                                #16
                                Just for the record, I have overcome my gambling problem!!!

                                I took Washington +7 and Miami +8 in a two team teaser, let's cash this thing!
                                Comment
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