Help Me With Game 7

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  • GiveMeaBJ
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-08-09
    • 8449

    #1
    Help Me With Game 7
    Obviously, I have to bet Game 7. Going out to watch it and I am not going to just sit there while everyone else has money on it. The thing is I think the Celtics will be in trouble without Perkins but I don't want to lay 7 in a do or die for both teams. I think the Lakers will in but don't want to lay 3-1 on it.

    There is one thing standing out at me. The o/u in the 4th quarter is 46.5. Just tell me if my thinking is ****ed up here but shouldn't this one fly over? I am assuming we should see more fouls then usual towards the end as I doubt either team will just let time run out if they are down. Could see an extra 10 free throws or so. I know the pace may slow down if one team has a solid lead but idk this seems like a good bet.

    But I don't know. There are a lot of arguments that go against that thought. Does anyone have any advice or know where I can find data for all NBA Game 7 Finals?
  • hoopster42
    Restricted User
    • 02-12-08
    • 6099

    #2
    boston +7. thats it. done.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #3
      luckily i dont have to worry bout the spread as i got several La series tickets ready to cash but honestly i wouldnt trip on the points lay them, its not coming down to the wire and if/when bos is behind you would think they will foul and jack 3's like crazy.....so guess there a chance you get backdoored but i doubt it, Play La -7
      Comment
      • empty cookie jar
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 05-14-10
        • 876

        #4
        i think the celtics are the play in game 7
        Comment
        • ATX
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 06-02-09
          • 503

          #5
          Boston +4 1st half

          probably get 4' closer to tip if you have outs
          Comment
          • unusialsusp5
            SBR MVP
            • 04-18-10
            • 4198

            #6
            just take the 7 and sit back and cash
            Comment
            • ATX
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 06-02-09
              • 503

              #7
              the first half +4 is stronger than the +7

              not only statistically but logically as well.

              plus it's -105 or less.
              Comment
              • hoopster42
                Restricted User
                • 02-12-08
                • 6099

                #8
                Originally posted by ATX
                the first half +4 is stronger than the +7

                not only statistically but logically as well.

                plus it's -105 or less.
                i disagree. a full 48 minutes of play significantly spreads out binomial distribution, which is random chance. over the course of 48 minutes, the celtics have a better chance of staying within 7 points than they do to stay within 4 points in the first half. thats my feeling any way
                Comment
                • GiveMeaBJ
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-08-09
                  • 8449

                  #9
                  Lakers -7 it is.
                  Comment
                  • Cougar Bait
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-04-07
                    • 18282

                    #10
                    I actually like Boston plus the points but am playing it small, on principle wager really, it's game 7, this is it for this group of vets, they know that. I think they put everything they have out there...but wouldn't be surprised if Lakers kill em at home, so I had to go small.
                    Comment
                    • JW Cash
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-08
                      • 4453

                      #11
                      Originally posted by hoopster42
                      boston +7. thats it. done.


                      Hey Hoopster....that number after your nick is
                      exactly how many points lakers beat celtics by tonite....




                      42
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        Originally posted by GiveMeaBJ
                        Lakers -7 it is.

                        smart man
                        Comment
                        • philswin
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-18-07
                          • 1279

                          #13
                          When in doubt take the UNDER
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            Originally posted by philswin
                            When in doubt take the UNDER

                            i actually like this over, i would think that at the end the team down will do everything they can to prolong it
                            Comment
                            • paco
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-07-09
                              • 62873

                              #15
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                paco i been out this afternoon what you think about the total?
                                Comment
                                • paco
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-07-09
                                  • 62873

                                  #17
                                  Comment
                                  • paco
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 05-07-09
                                    • 62873

                                    #18
                                    Comment
                                    • MexicanStallion
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-08-08
                                      • 20429

                                      #19
                                      Welcome back Give. Let's squash our loan soon. Thanks pal. Best of luck with game 7
                                      Comment
                                      • paco
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-07-09
                                        • 62873

                                        #20
                                        Comment
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