Crazy Play to win Cents

[acarmelo1]

Risk $1.00 Win $1.19 MLB Baseball 918 Toronto Blue Jays +119* vs New York Yankees (A Burnett - R must Start B Cecil - L must Start)

Risk $1.00 Win $1.20 MLB Baseball 917 New York Yankees -1½ +120* vs Toronto Blue Jays (A Burnett - R must Start B Cecil - L must Start)

[acarmelo1]

If blue jays win I win 0.19 and if yankess win by 2 runs I win 0.20 cents only way I lose is if yankees win by 1 run

[stealthyburrito]

panama syndicate makes profit for tonight

[pat venditto]

Good luck panama guey!

[acarmelo1]

[acarmelo1]

game is about to start

[gotemcoach1523]

Moneyz

[pat venditto]

Get the money pal!

[LostBankroll]

See, us Salvadorians bet only $100,000 at a time! Good Luck tonight carmelo.

[bachngocduong]

if New York Yankees win by 1 you lose $2 bet 2 buck to win .20 same as line -500

[soxwin1917]

[acarmelo1]

yup, but more % of a win

[djiddish98]

Where did you get those odds? I would recommend not getting them again!

[acarmelo1]

Where did you get those odds? I would recommend not getting them again!

Sportbet.com, are they not good??

[djiddish98]

what was the spread on the RL? I'm assuming when the bets were placed, you were looking at Yankees -129 / Jays +119? Was the RL +120, -130?

[acarmelo1]

I placed those bets at 03:32 PM in sportbet.com

[acarmelo1]

ok you are asking me if they have 10 cents lines let me check

[acarmelo1]

Current SF Line is
San Francisco Giants J Sanchez -118
Pittsburgh Pirates Z Duke - L +108

[djiddish98]

at matchbook around 3:32, you could have gotten Jays +123 and Yankees RL +132.

Regardless, it isn't a good bet in the long run.

Based on the odds you have about a 44% chance of making 19 cents, a 44% chance of making 20 cents, and a 12% chance of losing 2 bucks.

.44*.19+.44*.20+.12*-2 = -.0684

[acarmelo1]

I see it as 88% chance of winning and 12 of losing, but yeah when does 12% hit me it will hurt.

I just did it to have some fun and do somehting unexpected

[pat venditto]

Carmelo you're looking good here guy.

[stealthyburrito]

looks like .19 in profit for the panama syndicate

[acarmelo1]

0.19 cents adds up eventually

[pat venditto]

0.19 cents adds up eventually

You are the next sports betting millionaire.

[acarmelo1]

Cashed those 19 cents

[milwaukee mike]

i'm not so sure there's a 12% chance of the yankees winning by one run this year

IT HAS HAPPENED 3 TIMES IN 55 GAMES

by those % it should've happened 6.6 times and it happened only 3, i would consider that enough of a variance to throw out the 12% that it "should be" and replace it with a much lower number based on this yankees team.