what is the safest play

[fightingwarrior]

nationals -129



phillies -134 this looks kinda low if you ask me seems weird.so much money on phillies not enough on cubs.


reds +120 seems good you ask me braves pitcher is 0-6 nothing working for him.


marlins +161 seems very good for the price to be honest.

[fightingwarrior]

other n.l teams seems to fishy maybe i missed some thing but my eyes are open.looking for the best baseball bets tonight out of these.



also how can you compare odds like if i take marlins and cubs what are the true odds of them both losing and both winning and what are the odds of them spliiting.is there a way to calcuate this.

[OmgUrMom]

Nationals -129, Livan Hernandez has to come down to earth sometime soon right? May still be a good play.

Phillies does seem a little low. Looks like a good bet to me.

Atlanta is better team than the reds. Harang has a higher era than Kawakami. I would not bet that game.

[MC PICKS]

Minnesota +110, 1 unit to win 1.10 units
Detroit -125, 1.25 units to win 1 unit

[fightingwarrior]

is this a smart thing to do.


marlins one play

cubs 1 play if they split i profit 2-2 big profit 0-2 lose profit.


also im reviewing a.l now to get the odds ill post it up here.


is there any one playing the national league today.

[OmgUrMom]

do you know what percentage of bettors are backing the phillies? Has the line moved at all?

[fightingwarrior]

im just going by the money i see at matchbook seems very alot higher on phillies side.is phillies the right side iyo.


for me i think phillies will win but seems more risky than not becuase of the varinace of the line structure.

[ngates815]

I'm on Phillies and White Sox. Phils at -136 and sox at -150.

[jayroy25]

Phills of course couldnt get that bats goin for haliday expect the opposite 2night

[ZBOIZ]

Uh huh

[ZBOIZ]

People

[fightingwarrior]

ngates can i show you something if your playing both these plays at the same rate it is equal 2 just playing them as a parley.why becuase if one losses than you lose for the day.so lets say you play them for 100 each instead of playing 200 and more than likly losing juice on the day play 50.00 parley or what ever juice you may lose if one losses calcuated and play it as a parley.


therefore 3x+1x=4.3xx>0.6 its very common in stocks before they jump but it seems almost impossible to work with sports becuase of the varinace.more than likly you will lose money becuase the only way you will profit is if you play 1 more and go atleast 2-3 or you hit 2-2 and than you get ****ed becuase you would have made more with the parley.just my thoughts though.

[fightingwarrior]

it just up to you if you wanna make the right move based on numbers and order.if your looking for action bet that way.

[OmgUrMom]

pitching matchup- Gorzelanny P Cubs, he is having a good year so far (3.6 era) but he is coming off a bad start 5 IP, 5 runs vs weak hitting team Pirates. The Ageless Jamie Moyer is on the mound for the Phillies, he is also have a solid year with 4.57 era. Gorzelanny has a career 4.76 era, it's pretty close to a draw as far as pitchers go I think.

I don't know where to find phillies and cubs batting stats vs lefthanded pitching but that is an important stat for this game as both teams have left-handers on the mound.

I am no sharp but after looking at this game a little more closely the line seems pretty accurate to me.

[ZBOIZ]

Saints

[MC PICKS]

National league card looks like shit today in my opinion.

[fightingwarrior]

best thingis to possibly pass on it.

[ngates815]

I do have them parlayed...but also single bets.

[fightingwarrior]

i like the way ** picks his or her games.2 selections and if 1-1 split theres a good chance of breaking even.0-2 days hurt and 2-0 days make you feel great.good luck on those plays.

[iceminers26]

out of those 4 you listed, I like the Marlins at that generous price

[fightingwarrior]

i guess im just looking for a edgein tonights games any one i can find and i can exploit will be fine.


so far my leans are as followed.


phillies nats cubs marlins.

for baseball im also liking the yanks tonight detroit twins and angles for a.l


i have to clacute odds of overs and unders.


i like lakers tonight once again should go up 2-0 easily and ill lay the chalk to pick up 1 unit.


also like montreal tonight and hedge it slightly with flyers series price just in case it losses.

[fightingwarrior]

i might leave bases alone also.i dont know if i cant get anything realll strong i might just go lakers and thats it.would like to watch a baseball game but will see.

[ngates815]

So you have leans on the Cubs and the Phillies...

Lakers ML is alot of chalk. I thought if anything, I might be taking the Suns +7 since the Lakers played VERY VERY well last game, and not sure if they will again tonight.