Bruins/Flyers OVER 5 - this is as strong as it gets.

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  • betplom
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-20-06
    • 13444

    #1
    Bruins/Flyers OVER 5 - this is as strong as it gets.
    Flyers starting goalie Brian Boucher is out so backup Michael Leighton will start - he hasn't started a game in 2 months.

    If they are tied at 2-2 a push is assured, if teams aren't tied look for empty net goals, more than one empty net goal is very possible.

    Realistically, for this wager to lose the score would have to be 1-1 or so late into the 3rd period, with a backup goalie starting for Philly and the possibility of empty net goals the OVER 5 looks everything like a very good wager tonight.

    OVER 5 -133
  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40179

    #2
    Thanks, you're reasoning appears sound.
    Comment
    • betplom
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-20-06
      • 13444

      #3
      Originally posted by Fishhead
      Thanks, you're reasoning appears sound.
      Fischler, 5 is a great number for betting over in an NHL game, the chances of it going under are far less than it going over or pushing. Tonights game has a better than normal chance of cashing.

      At worst, I believe it pushes and at 2-2 you can enjoy the game knowing the over cannot lose, it could go over early as well, IMHO the under has a small chance here, over is the smart bet, the likelihood of over 5 goals seems to be much greater as far as I'm concerned.
      Comment
      • Fishhead
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 08-11-05
        • 40179

        #4
        Originally posted by betplom
        Fischler, 5 is a great number for betting over in an NHL game, the chances of it going under are far less than it going over or pushing. Tonights game has a better than normal chance of cashing.

        At worst, I believe it pushes and at 2-2 you can enjoy the game knowing the over cannot lose, it could go over early as well, IMHO the under has a small chance here, over is the smart bet, the likelihood of over 5 goals seems to be much greater as far as I'm concerned.



        Hence, why one has to lay at -133
        Comment
        • betplom
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-20-06
          • 13444

          #5
          Originally posted by Fishhead
          Hence, why one has to lay at -133
          I thought you would have to lay more, like -150.

          5.5 is far less attractive, but playable as a second (smaller) wager to the over 5.
          Comment
          • Brewers in 7
            SBR MVP
            • 01-20-10
            • 1363

            #6
            Leighton hasnt started in a few months, but remember he is far better than boucher is.. that being said i think it goes over
            Comment
            • betplom
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-20-06
              • 13444

              #7
              Originally posted by Brewers in 7
              Leighton hasnt started in a few months, but remember he is far better than boucher is..
              Right, Leighton is better but they let him ride the pine for months when it mattered most. Nonsense.

              Neither Flyer goalie is very good, Flyers don't have a true #1.
              Comment
              • thundercats
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-24-08
                • 167

                #8
                Im on the over
                Comment
                • lakerboy
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-02-09
                  • 94381

                  #9
                  Plommer maybe you can help me pal. Why hasnt this total had any move at pinny or any other big shop at all in term of juice? I mean most times pinny moves a few pennies here and there but not nothing at all. Im a big line watcher and this lack of movement tells me that the under is the play. Help me out pal.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #10
                    Line movement is over rated IMO in many cases. Cap your game and go with it instead of looking for where the money goes. Money isn't always right. Look at Game 6 with Pittsburgh & Montreal, the whole world about was on the UNDER again and folks who took o5.5 got a +130 or better payout. No movement here I think is solely because people remember the last game last and it finished at 4. Game situation here to me also dictates a play on the over.
                    Comment
                    • philswin
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-18-07
                      • 1279

                      #11
                      I am on the OVER
                      Comment
                      • lakerboy
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-02-09
                        • 94381

                        #12
                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                        Line movement is over rated IMO in many cases. Cap your game and go with it instead of looking for where the money goes. Money isn't always right. Look at Game 6 with Pittsburgh & Montreal, the whole world about was on the UNDER again and folks who took o5.5 got a +130 or better payout. No movement here I think is solely because people remember the last game last and it finished at 4. Game situation here to me also dictates a play on the over.
                        Fair enough. Why isnt the line 5.5 ?
                        Comment
                        • lakerboy
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-02-09
                          • 94381

                          #13
                          Like i said the line on the total never moved at pinnacle and other big shops. I dont have time to cap the games - i let the books do that for me. When a spread or total doesnt move you fade the public - any seasoned gambler knows that.
                          Comment
                          • rake922
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-23-07
                            • 11692

                            #14
                            .
                            Comment
                            • Fishhead
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 08-11-05
                              • 40179

                              #15
                              BetPlom struggling, bigtime.
                              Comment
                              • betplom
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-20-06
                                • 13444

                                #16
                                As usual, the high scoring game was a game late.
                                Comment
                                • rm18
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-20-05
                                  • 22291

                                  #17
                                  where were the empty netters you kok phuck?
                                  Comment
                                  • keyboarding
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-30-09
                                    • 6817

                                    #18
                                    Nice hit. Made a lot of sense.
                                    Comment
                                    • lakerboy
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 04-02-09
                                      • 94381

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by keyboarding
                                      Nice hit. Made a lot of sense.
                                      it was for game 6 this play
                                      Comment
                                      • keyboarding
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-30-09
                                        • 6817

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                        it was for game 6 this play
                                        Oh, and you bumped it to rub it in. Nice.
                                        Comment
                                        • big joe 1212
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 06-01-08
                                          • 19380

                                          #21
                                          good call Betplom!
                                          Comment
                                          • betplom
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-20-06
                                            • 13444

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by sickler
                                            cunt
                                            Tell me about it pal.

                                            I knew these fukkers could score more than 5! Without any empty net goals.

                                            Too bad for me they did it tonight and not in game 6!
                                            Comment
                                            • sickler
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 06-05-08
                                              • 15006

                                              #23
                                              Plom, how 'bout that in the east. Habs vs Flyers. Pens were up 3-2 and Bos 3-0.

                                              Fukkin' unreal.
                                              Comment
                                              • betplom
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-20-06
                                                • 13444

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by sickler
                                                Plom, how 'bout that in the east. Habs vs Flyers. Pens were up 3-2 and Bos 3-0.

                                                Fukkin' unreal.
                                                Two worst teams advance, nice. First time in history too.

                                                I think the habs and flyers battle it out and make it easy for Chicago or San Jose in the finals.
                                                Comment
                                                • sickler
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 06-05-08
                                                  • 15006

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by betplom
                                                  Two worst teams advance, nice. First time in history too.

                                                  I think the habs and flyers battle it out and make it easy for Chicago or San Jose in the finals.

                                                  That's the way I see it, winner hails from west.

                                                  A few days ago though if someone would've said both Habs and Flyers advance. Imagine the payout on that parlay.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Shortstop
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 01-02-09
                                                    • 27281

                                                    #26
                                                    Great hit, Plommer! Congrats, my man!
                                                    Comment
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