Every game you choose has a 50% chance of winninng right?

[Rush]

So why are most of us losing? Do we blame the vig or the money management or what

[philswin]

That is why reduced juice is so important - Matchbook, 5Dimes

[TheLock]

50% chance of winning

[jjgold]

Money management
discipline
too many games

[Rush]

50% chance of winning

You have 2 choices underdog or favorite right? That's a 50/50 and you can choose over or under that's 50/50 as well

[Chi_archie]

not really 50/50 anyways.... since most sports have the possibility of a push...

in Soccer you have 3 outcomes....


as much as we say many games are "coin flips" the % of one team winning is usually greater for one team than another.... the key is if we are able to pick the games where the line does not reflect the true winning % of a pick..... you have to find where the market is inefficient or just plain wrong...

for example. the Pirates vs Cards today..... the Cards prob win this game 56-59% of the time.... but if the lines are over inflated and reflect a percentage that is more like 62% than you would do well to bet the pirates at home over the LONG Term

and conversely, Yes Money Management kills a lot of guys that actually pick winners...

Case in point....Brock Landers picks a lot of winnners, goes on huge streaks and then gives it all away, because he feels invincible and starts betting over his head...

[SlickFazzer]

against -110 you need 52.38% winners to break even, 50% will only put you in the poor house.

[as99]

50/50? The odds / return aren't 50/50. So everyone is a loser, because we need a ridiculous record to win anything even worth it.

0 Money management, most player chase, increase unit size and go down the drain fast. Start winning = start making stupid bets for most and back to nothing.