Alabama v. Cincinnati - Pick and Write-up +23.8 units

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  • thomorino
    Restricted User
    • 06-01-17
    • 45842

    #1
    Alabama v. Cincinnati - Pick and Write-up +23.8 units
    +23.8 units

    I'm on Alabama at -7 -115 1h.

    The Bearcats we're a solid team, bit their schedule was very easy, and the only 2 decent defenses they faced were Indiana and Notre Dame.

    In the Indiana game Cincinnati was 2-9 on third down and they averaged just 3 yards a rush. In the Notre Dame game Cincinnati struggled on third down as well, going 4 of 14, and they averaged just 3 yards a rush on that game as well. Cincinnatis weakness on offense all year was the offensive line, and they weren't able to run on either of the good defenses they faced, which forces them into hard third down they struggled to convert. Alabamas secondary was inconsistent, bit their run defense was elite, and they held top rushing teams such as Texas a@m and Georgia to less than 4 yards a carry. Ridder was inconsistent without a running game.

    Alabamas weakness on offense was the inconsistent offensive line, specifically at tackle position, bit the offensive line played much better at the end of the season, and the line played very well against Georgia in the SEC championship. Bruce Going also played much better and ran more on big games like the sec championship game.

    Alabama should be able to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, and Alabamas improved offensive line should be fine here. Cincinnati's defense is solid, but Alabama is playing their best on offense now, and great offense almost always beats good defense in football today.
  • Wrongside
    SBR MVP
    • 09-26-15
    • 3579

    #2
    Nice write-up, nice number too (only -115); couldn't find less less than -125
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388189

      #3
      Cincy ..close game
      Comment
      • Mackballs
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-01-16
        • 5810

        #4
        Ok, but why does all your information and analysis lead you to a first half play instead of full game? Legitimate question. Thanks.
        Comment
        • Optional
          Administrator
          • 06-10-10
          • 60686

          #5
          On the over here.
          .
          Comment
          • thomorino
            Restricted User
            • 06-01-17
            • 45842

            #6
            Cincinnati wants to show small schools belong in the playoffs, they will want to make the score respectable even if they get down back, I don't want meaningless late points to cost me a cover
            Comment
            • thomorino
              Restricted User
              • 06-01-17
              • 45842

              #7
              Originally posted by Wrongside
              Nice write-up, nice number too (only -115); couldn't find less less than -125
              There ar 6.5 -115 omlines out there now
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388189

                #8
                here we go

                good luck
                Comment
                • Mac4Lyfe
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 48319

                  #9
                  Good luck Mornino. I'm on the first half -7 and game -13.5 Let's hope they cover the _13.5 in the first quarter.
                  Comment
                  • thomorino
                    Restricted User
                    • 06-01-17
                    • 45842

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                    Good luck Mornino. I'm on the first half -7 and game -13.5 Let's hope they cover the _13.5 in the first quarter.
                    Cincinnati is just sitting back letting Alabama run right now
                    Comment
                    • Mac4Lyfe
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-04-09
                      • 48319

                      #11
                      Men against boys! Cinci about to get their shits pushed in.


                      10 straight runs then a wide open pass.
                      Comment
                      • daneblazer
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-14-08
                        • 27861

                        #12
                        go ahead and get the down 14 to 3 plays ready
                        Comment
                        • BeatTheJerk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-19-07
                          • 31794

                          #13
                          Win or lose best write-up I ever read from him bar none.
                          Comment
                          • d2bets
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 39990

                            #14
                            Nick Saban wtf? Kicking a FG from the 2?
                            Comment
                            • thomorino
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-01-17
                              • 45842

                              #15
                              Originally posted by d2bets
                              Nick Saban wtf? Kicking a FG from the 2?
                              It was the 3 but I agree, you have to go for that, even if you miss Cincinnati is backed up
                              Comment
                              • thomorino
                                Restricted User
                                • 06-01-17
                                • 45842

                                #16
                                Should have been offsides on Cincinnati on the field goal
                                Comment
                                • thomorino
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-01-17
                                  • 45842

                                  #17
                                  Lots of calls going against Alabama
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                                  • sunshine11
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-13-14
                                    • 2634

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by BeatTheJerk
                                    Win or lose best write-up I ever read from him bar none.
                                    Copy and paste from across the street.
                                    Comment
                                    • d2bets
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 39990

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by thomorino
                                      It was the 3 but I agree, you have to go for that, even if you miss Cincinnati is backed up
                                      Easy fukkin call. You can't tell me that it's less than 40% they get that. Make it 14-3 and then the pressure is on. Stupid.
                                      Comment
                                      • thomorino
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-01-17
                                        • 45842

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by d2bets
                                        Easy fukkin call. You can't tell me that it's less than 40% they get that. Make it 14-3 and then the pressure is on. Stupid.
                                        Yeah sometimes Saban gets tight in big games
                                        Comment
                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 48319

                                          #21
                                          I knew the kicker was going to miss that FG. Bama play calling very suspect. WTF?
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48319

                                            #22
                                            WTF this idiot punt returner. Dropped the ball then tried to pick it up. Dumb ass.
                                            Comment
                                            • Mac4Lyfe
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-04-09
                                              • 48319

                                              #23
                                              Bama has 180 yards rushing in the 1st half.
                                              Comment
                                              • Renegades
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-12-11
                                                • 5290

                                                #24
                                                Alabama gm plan is just to get thru this gm and coast. They know this is a win and the real gm is next. Why else would they run every down? Why didnt they do that vs Georgia??
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388189

                                                  #25
                                                  lets close this Morino
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                    • 36690

                                                    #26
                                                    Fuq. Alab up 14.

                                                    I've said that Alab is killing Coll FB. Can't have the same team almost every year. They've locked up the recruiting channels.
                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wrongside
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-26-15
                                                      • 3579

                                                      #27
                                                      Ive never thought Ridder had 'it' Not even by college standards where I would give that designation to like 10-15 QB's easy...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Wrongside
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-26-15
                                                        • 3579

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        Fuq. Alab up 14.

                                                        I've said that Alab is killing Coll FB. Can't have the same team almost every year. They've locked up the recruiting channels.
                                                        Transfer portal did not help matters. AT ALL.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-04-09
                                                          • 48319

                                                          #29
                                                          Bama should have called timeout on 4th down. Now Cinci can throw a hail mary here. Bad decision.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • thomorino
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 06-01-17
                                                            • 45842

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            Fuq. Alab up 14.

                                                            I've said that Alab is killing Coll FB. Can't have the same team almost every year. They've locked up the recruiting channels.
                                                            Alabama isn't anymore talented than other top teams like Ohio state, they are better coached
                                                            Comment
                                                            • thomorino
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 06-01-17
                                                              • 45842

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by thomorino
                                                              +23.8 units

                                                              I'm on Alabama at -7 -115 1h.

                                                              The Bearcats we're a solid team, bit their schedule was very easy, and the only 2 decent defenses they faced were Indiana and Notre Dame.

                                                              In the Indiana game Cincinnati was 2-9 on third down and they averaged just 3 yards a rush. In the Notre Dame game Cincinnati struggled on third down as well, going 4 of 14, and they averaged just 3 yards a rush on that game as well. Cincinnatis weakness on offense all year was the offensive line, and they weren't able to run on either of the good defenses they faced, which forces them into hard third down they struggled to convert. Alabamas secondary was inconsistent, bit their run defense was elite, and they held top rushing teams such as Texas a@m and Georgia to less than 4 yards a carry. Ridder was inconsistent without a running game.

                                                              Alabamas weakness on offense was the inconsistent offensive line, specifically at tackle position, bit the offensive line played much better at the end of the season, and the line played very well against Georgia in the SEC championship. Bruce Going also played much better and ran more on big games like the sec championship game.

                                                              Alabama should be able to control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball, and Alabamas improved offensive line should be fine here. Cincinnati's defense is solid, but Alabama is playing their best on offense now, and great offense almost always beats good defense in football today.
                                                              Winner +25.8 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • thomorino
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-01-17
                                                                • 45842

                                                                #32
                                                                17 yards rushing in the first half for Cincinnati
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thomorino
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-01-17
                                                                  • 45842

                                                                  #33
                                                                  This bet should have won easily but Tom O'Brien's horrible playing calling, passing on 3 straight downs which led to the missed field goal, made th bet close
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bostongambler
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-01-08
                                                                    • 35581

                                                                    #34
                                                                    😂 😂 😂
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-04-09
                                                                      • 48319

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by thomorino
                                                                      This bet should have won easily but Tom O'Brien's horrible playing calling, passing on 3 straight downs which led to the missed field goal, made th bet close
                                                                      Going on 200 yards rushing and he got pass happy.
                                                                      Comment
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