Line Question #2: Balanced Action

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  • Masu485
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-14-08
    • 7700

    #1
    Line Question #2: Balanced Action
    We all know Vegas does their homework when it comes to putting out lines, but do you ever wonder sometimes if they can just put out any (reasonable) line they want and still get balanced action?

    The theory here is that EX: the books can give you Yankees +102 at home against the Indians (seemingly strange line), and at first everyone would take Yanks, but there will always be people popping up afterwards finding 'hidden' reasons why the line is either a trap or that Vegas knows something, and will take Indians. By the end of the day the action would be almost even. I have the feeling the books can put out any line they want and get balanced action according to this theory.
  • Fishhead
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-11-05
    • 40179

    #2
    Having booked in Vegas, I can tell you that you have to be somewhat in line, however...............

    What your getting at is the action my not be exactly BALANCED, but still could be a win-win situation for the book even if the line is a tad off.

    For instance

    BALANCED +1200 +1200
    SEMI-BALANCED +100 +2300
    Comment
    • Masu485
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-14-08
      • 7700

      #3
      fukk respond
      Comment
      • CarpeDime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-01-09
        • 7873

        #4
        yes Masu I think you are right

        with most lines if you opened them market-wide 10 or 20 cents in either direction the public money would remain the same
        Comment
        • whatsgood5
          Restricted User
          • 10-13-09
          • 15359

          #5
          Hmm tough question
          Comment
          • RichardMoss
            SBR MVP
            • 11-27-08
            • 2162

            #6
            Pretty good theory.
            Comment
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