first round 2 QB O/U prop

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  • sharpcat
    Restricted User
    • 12-19-09
    • 4516

    #1
    first round 2 QB O/U prop
    90- 2 QB
    91- 2 QB
    92- 3 QB
    93- 2 QB
    94- 2 QB
    95- 2 QB
    96- 0 QB
    97- 1 QB
    98- 2 QB
    99- 5 QB
    00- 1 QB
    01- 1 QB
    02- 3 QB
    03- 4 QB
    04- 4 QB
    05- 3 QB
    06- 3 QB
    07- 1 QB
    08- 2 QB
    09- 2 QB

    AVERAGE PER YEAR- 2.5

    13 out of 20 (65%) years has been 2 or less

    5 out of 12 years (41.6%) under, excluding years which landed exactly on 2

    Line= +610 under

    required win % to break even at +610= 14.5%

    Lots of good QB's in the draft this year I see no need for teams to rush to get a QB.

    I like the value in the under here, I'm on it
  • rm18
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-20-05
    • 22291

    #2
    Comment
    • Jonah
      SBR MVP
      • 10-21-09
      • 4042

      #3
      What good does studying past years matter...Taking that too far, dude.
      Comment
      • sharpcat
        Restricted User
        • 12-19-09
        • 4516

        #4
        Originally posted by Jonah
        What good does studying past years matter...Taking that too far, dude.
        It shows the significance of value that teams have in QB's in the first round

        And it sure beats flipping a quarter
        Comment
        • sharpcat
          Restricted User
          • 12-19-09
          • 4516

          #5
          F you Josh McDaniels

          F you Tim Tebow

          8 picks to go and nobody needed a QB, thought this one was in the bag
          Comment
          • sharpcat
            Restricted User
            • 12-19-09
            • 4516

            #6
            Well Josh McDaniels screwed me here I guess he felt he did not have enough QB's on his team, Maybe he can pick up a few more in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.

            Anyhow I was pretty confident it would be 2 or less and I am content with a push

            Would rather have hit the +600 though
            Comment
            • Wrigley
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-28-07
              • 7268

              #7
              so it was a push
              Comment
              • Terrapin Station
                SBR MVP
                • 01-05-10
                • 2583

                #8
                Tebow sure was a surprise to me.
                Comment
                • DrStale
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-07-08
                  • 9692

                  #9
                  Ouch, still a good play though.
                  Originally posted by Dark Horse
                  If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                  Comment
                  • sharpcat
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-19-09
                    • 4516

                    #10
                    I love it when you make a good bet and get F!@#$D over by the stupidest draft decision in history and than have to wake up to it being the head line of every freaking sports page out there.

                    Talk about rubbing it in
                    Comment
                    • spurnam
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 04-08-10
                      • 20

                      #11
                      Just use money management and you should be good here... Great value and nice stats, thanks.
                      Comment
                      • sharpcat
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-19-09
                        • 4516

                        #12
                        Originally posted by spurnam
                        Just use money management and you should be good here... Great value and nice stats, thanks.
                        The bet was a push so I lost nothing,but with minnesota being the only team left on the board with slightly any interest in a QB with 8 picks to go to win $1200 it is just a kick in the balls to have a team with 2 quality QB's trade 3 draft picks to take Tebow in the first round.
                        Comment
                        • DrStale
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-07-08
                          • 9692

                          #13
                          Well to be fair, the Vikings may very well have picked Claussen had they not traded their pick to Detroit, so it wasn't out of the question, still a good call though.
                          Originally posted by Dark Horse
                          If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                          Comment
                          • sharpcat
                            Restricted User
                            • 12-19-09
                            • 4516

                            #14
                            Originally posted by DrStale
                            Well to be fair, the Vikings may very well have picked Claussen had they not traded their pick to Detroit, so it wasn't out of the question, still a good call though.
                            Yeah this was truly my only concern.....they were the only team left on the board with any interest in a QB.

                            This scenario would not have upset me, but denver trading up for 3 draft picks when they already have 2 decent QB prospects was just a kick in the balls. And than I had to sweat out whether minnesota was gonna take Clausen for the final spit in my face while I was down.

                            I am guessing maybe minnesota was thinking about Tebow which might be why denver traded up for him so I may have ended with the same result regardless but definately would not have had near as much of a sting to it.

                            The best part is waking up in the morning to see every sports page in america questioning this decision on their front page its like rubbing salt in the wound........lol
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