Moneyline Picks And Poker Tips

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  • mikemca
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-10-10
    • 10047

    #1
    Moneyline Picks And Poker Tips
    Hi I started a thread semi bragging about winning 4 weekly contests in my first 5 weeks since I joined the site.All 4 contests were different,NHL once,MLB once,NBA once,and Cross Sports once.I got mixed responses but most were pleasant and suggested I start a thread.I am going to post picks here because the picks will be in every sport from baseball to nascar to the ponies .I rarely bet a game were I have to give points.

    I have been playing poker and betting sports for over 10 years now.For the last 5 years they have been my primary income.I work hard to make very educated bets.

    I will keep track and rate my plays by 1 unit being leans to 3 units being best bets.Very rarely I will do a 5 unit play but I haven't felt that way about a game since Duke beat W.Virginia.


    Poker Tip #1
    NL Hold Em Tournaments
    Success in NLHE Tournies is about playing your stack size relative to the blinds.For example in the beginning of a tournament the blinds are 5/10 and you have 3,000 chips.You have 300 Big Blinds and should be extremely patient and not put a lot of chips in the pot unless you know you have the best hand.There is no need to make silly bluffs or overplay medium strength hands like top pair.Now say the blinds are 50/100 and you only have 30 Big Blinds.Now you should start getting creative like bluffing or going all in over the top of a weak opponents opening raise.This is the hardest stack size to play and I can't really sum it up in a few sentences so maybe I'll get back to this.Last say the blinds are 150/300.Now you only have 10 big blinds and your only move is all in.You can't limp or make a standard raise because that is just spewing chips.Just shove any decent hand in mid to late position if no one has entered the pot yet and maximize what fold equity you have left.


    Picks I like and am going to look into further tomorrow
    KC
    Brewers
    Marlins
    all NHL

    Any questions or comments are welcome or discuss picks.

    GL
  • mikemca
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-10-10
    • 10047

    #2
    Wednesday April 21

    3 Unit Play
    St.Louis Cardinals -150
    C.Carpenter has never lost to the D-Backs and in his last 5 starts vs them he has only allowed 1 run in 28 innings!

    2 Unit Plays
    MILWAUKEE BREWERS -135
    The Brewers are 6-1 last 7 when Yovani Gallardo takes the hill vs the Pirates.
    The Pirates are 1-8 last 9 when Zac Duke goes against the Brew Crew.

    Washington Capitals -190
    I know this is a lot of chalk but I think the Caps were awakened in the 3 period of game 2 and since then they have outscored the Canadiens 9-2.They are going to be very hard to beat now that they have shaken of the rust of not playing a meaningful game in 2 or 3 months.


    1 Unit Plays
    Cleveland Indians +165
    San Antonio Spurs ML +145
    Buffalo Sabres +105
    Florida Marlins -155
    New York Yankees -155


    I know most of the plays are chalky but there just aren't any dogs today and I usually play more dogs than faves.

    GL Today
    Comment
    • G's pks
      Restricted User
      • 01-01-09
      • 22251

      #3
      Not sure if you are aware...we have sub forums for posting thread picks... If you pick different sports you can use each sub forum or use one thread in the sub forum you bet the most... GL with your plays...
      Comment
      • rfr3sh
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-07-09
        • 10229

        #4
        Comment
        • mikemca
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-10-10
          • 10047

          #5
          Well did very good as St.Louis won 9-4,Milwaukee won 8-0,and the Capitals won 6-3 so the top plays were 3-0 and very decisive.Won't post again sry G
          Comment
          • OmgUrMom
            Restricted User
            • 02-07-10
            • 8481

            #6
            nice thread
            Comment
            • mikemca
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-10-10
              • 10047

              #7
              Well now I'm getting feedback to post my plays again so here they are.

              Thursday April 22

              3 Unit Play
              Atlanta Braves -140
              Moyer has had trouble with the Braves going winless in his last 5 starts against them with an ERA of 7.33.
              D.Lowe has had the Phils number going 4-0 with an ERA of 2.45 in his last 5 vs them.

              2 Unit Plays
              Nashville Predators +135
              Nashville has outplayed Chicago for the most part of the series.Chicago is a mess as the coach is now mixing and matching his lines out of desperation.All leading to no team chemistry which the Preds are full of.
              Cincinnati Reds +105
              Leake is a very good rookie pitcher for the Reds and will make a name for himself by years end.
              The Dodgers are a way better team at home.
              1 Unit Plays
              Washington Nationals +160
              I know it may seem crazy to go against U.Jiminez who threw a no hitter last time out but L.Hernandez has been just as good if not better this year.Hernandez has yet to give up a run this season.

              Ottawa Senators +250
              Just value here as the Sens are not a +250 dog .I thing the odds makers just made it that high because they know people are going to chase the penguins since they just have to win 1 more game.
              Philadelphia Flyers +150
              The Flyers are 8-2 vs the Devils on the year.
              Florida Marlins -110
              A.Sanchez is a good pitcher just had some tough opponents so far this year.


              There are plenty of other angles I just list the most significant.

              GL TODAY


              Comment
              • mikemca
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-10-10
                • 10047

                #8
                I will put poker tips in a my blog .Haven't started yet but will do tonight,
                Comment
                • mikemca
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-10-10
                  • 10047

                  #9
                  Guess thats why poker isn't math.In math if it adds up its always correct.In sportsbetting it can add up and still be wrong.The Braves and Predators played like shyt but still broke even or won a little on the night with Ottawa,Reds and Philly winning as dogs and Marlins winning.Fridays picks later
                  Comment
                  • mikemca
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-10-10
                    • 10047

                    #10
                    Friday April 23rd

                    3 Unit Play
                    Boston Bruins/Buffalo Sabres Under 5 -125
                    When these 2 play the total has gone under 5-1 with 3 pushes last 9

                    2 Unit Plays
                    *Boston Bruins +135
                    The Bruins hold a 3-1 series lead and are 7-3 this year vs the Sabres.The Bruins are also one of the better road teams.See the note on the bottom of post about teams holding a 3-1 series lead.
                    Phoenix Coyotes +110
                    The yotes are the kind of physical team that gives high scoring ,fast paced teams like the Red Wings fits.Ilya Bryzgalov is a top 5 goalie in the league while the wings jimmy howard is a first year starter.The wings being a media sweetheart are the only reason Phoenix is not -150.
                    NY Yankees -135
                    The yanks are once again playing like the best team in baseball and have the best record to show for it.Burnett (2-0) has been solid so far this year despite playing 3 good offenses in his 3 starts he has an ERA of 2.37.Santana has had trouble with the yankees going 1-3 with an ERA of 7.14 in his last 5 starts vs them.


                    1 Unit Plays
                    Florida Marlins +100 Even
                    R Nolasco has lived up to the hype this year and had his best game yet last start.He held the mighty Phillies to 1 run en route to a complete game win.
                    KC Royals +130
                    Detroit Tigers +110


                    I will be doing a parlay for the 1st time since the lines are too high but I think there is a good chance both teams win.

                    Miami Heat/Washington Capitals +100 even

                    *There are opportunities to chase the Washington Capitals and the Boston Bruins as both hols a 3-1 series lead and only have to win 1 more game.Teams that have a 3-1 series lead have won 91.3% of the time since 1942.So we can bet the Caps and Bruins and if they lose double up next game.





                    GL Today
                    Comment
                    • mikemca
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-10-10
                      • 10047

                      #11
                      Breakdown

                      3 Unit Plays (1-1) -40
                      2 Unit Plays (3-1)+205
                      1 Unit Plays (5-4)+290

                      Total (9-6) +455
                      Comment
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