How's this for a nice catch at Matchbook ?

[Doug]

Port / Phoenix game.

I have over 204.5 before the game. 1st half produces 87 points ( 44-43 Port).

at the half I take Portland +6.5, and over 101.5

I go back to the original line of 204.5 being dealt live, offer up some under 204.5 at -780 ( so I get over 204.5 +780). I get it filled. I figure it needs OT to win, but a chance of a big half is there to squak it in without OT.... 105-100 Portland !

8-1 on OT seemed high to me.

[flyingillini]

You are the man!

[iceminers26]

what amazes me is that there are people out there that would grab that total at that price in a NBA game...I don't care what sport, you don't lay over (130) let alone (780), especially in the NBA.

congrats on your big night

[2daBank]

wow congrats...i second ice comment, ppl are retarded

[iceminers26]

is it college hoops season yet Banker, ladies tennis is bringing home the bacon but I need a little more excitement with the college hoops season

[2daBank]

is it college hoops season yet Banker, ladies tennis is bringing home the bacon but I need a little more excitement with the college hoops season

i hear ya but ive been killing bases so far so im not quite ready for them to end....college hoops much more fun though

[Doug]

My offer started at about 900, to beat a 920 out there, got bid down to 800, I went 780, and got it ( it was only $20). +500 was offered if you accepted what was there. I had enough on it already at original odds, so only tried for $20 on the longshot, that's about all you're likely to fill this stuff for anyway. You can't count on filling it, this might not even be +EV....but I thought it was. What are the odds this game goes to OT ? It wins almost 100% if it does go OT. What are odds of over without the OT ?

I don't know how to figure it, but 780 seemed like a good deal for me.

How do you guys make a line on something like this ?

The guy laying -780 ( plus commission), must of thought he was making a good bet, too !

What would the fair ( no vig) line be for this , and how the Hell do you figure it ? recap....

Port/Phx over 204.5 for the game

at half

Port 44
Phx 43

87 points

make an adjusted line for 204.5, with no vig.


600 ( ?)

[xxred_hottxx]

doug you are a sharp matchbookker pal

[Extra Innings]

wow...nice

[Extra Innings]

On the adjusted line I would say....-300 or so (just a guess). I think the -780 was a bad bet.