I'm leaning TB before looking into this game deeper.
BEANTOWNJIM
SBR MVP
08-12-05
4610
#2
DOUG IN THE PAST THE GAMES TEND TO GO UNDER.THE PLAYERS HAVE TO BE AT THE BALLPARK AT 9.A.M. THERE BODIES ARENT USED TO THIS EARLY START.ATHLETES BODIES ARE ON CLOCKS THEY DONT LIKE CHANGE AND A GAME STARTING AT 11 A.M IS A BIG CHANGE IN THERE LIFESTYLES.
ITS VERY SIMILIAR TO MY MARTIN LUTHER KING BIRTHDAY THE PLAYERS ARE UP LATE AND THEY ARE USED TO PLAYING NIGHT GAMES NOW YOU ARE ASKING THEM TO PLAY AT 11 AM IN THE MORNING THEY JUST DONT GET INTO IT.
TAKE THE UNDER 9 DOUG LACKEY WILL PITCH WELL HE OWNS TAMPA BAY AND THE RED SOX ARENT HITTING THIS HAS UNDER WRITTEN ALL OVER IT.
GAME TIME TEMPETURE 45 WITH SUN IF I PLAY THE GAME I WILL GO UNDER AND HOPE LACKEY PITCHES A GEM.
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BEANTOWNJIM
SBR MVP
08-12-05
4610
#3
DOUG BEFORE YOU BET TAMPA BAY LOOK AT LACKEYS CAREER RECORD AGAINST TAMPA BAY I THINK HE OWNS THEM
I JUST LOOKED AT THE GAME AND THE TOTAL IS UNDER 9 -125
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AnotherLoan
SBR MVP
07-21-08
2225
#4
9-2 with a 3.07 era against the rays in 12 starts
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#5
glad to hear that Beaner, all over the under myself
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Brock Landers
SBR Aristocracy
06-30-08
45359
#6
Boston has been Whore shit, take the rays and the big + money
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#7
Originally posted by Brock Landers
Boston has been Whore shit, take the rays and the big + money
ive been on TB but its just hard for me to take a team looking for a 4 game road sweep and Lackey has been solid
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AnotherLoan
SBR MVP
07-21-08
2225
#8
Originally posted by 2daBank
ive been on TB but its just hard for me to take a team looking for a 4 game road sweep and Lackey has been solid
Expect the unexpected.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#9
Originally posted by AnotherLoan
Expect the unexpected.
and the expected is what exactly in this case?
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Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#10
I don't like to lay big juice on teams that have lost like 5 in a row, still thinking about the side. I have to look at the stats a bit, just thinking now
Here's another oddity of this game, neither team is traveling on a Sunday. I'll look into the under. 9.5 would be nicer.
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BEANTOWNJIM
SBR MVP
08-12-05
4610
#11
DOUG RIGHT NOW ITS MIDNIGHT DO YOU THINK THE RAYS ARE IN THE HOTEL JERKING OFF OR DO YOU THINK THE PLAYERS ARE DOWN THE NORTH END EATING ITALIAN FOOD AND CHASING BROADS.COME ON BOYS THIS IS A NO BRAINER THE RAYS WONT FEEL LIKE PLAYING TOMORROW MORNING AT 11 A.M.
THESE ARE YOUNG ATHLETES WITH MILLIONS OF DOLLARS I DOUBT THEY ARE IN BED PREPARING FOR A GAME TOMORROW AT 11 A.M.
BOTH TEAMS WILL BE JUST GOING THROUGH THE MOTIONS IT WILL BE A LAZY PLAYED GAMES I JUST HOPE THE PITCHERS ARE ON AND THROWING STRIKES
I JUST BET THE UNDER 9 600-500 I JUST HOPE THE PLAYERS ARE UP LATE TONIGHT AND FEEL LIKE SHIT IN THE MORNING.
JERY REMY SAID IN THE PAST THE BALLPLAYERS HATE THESE EARLY STARTS THEY DONT HAVE TIME TO STRETCH AND INSTEAD OF DRINKING POWERADE THEY ARE DRINKING COFFEE.THATS WHAT JERRY REMY SAYS
UNDER 9 GO TO THE BANK BOYS
I GRIN WHEN I WIN
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Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#12
I'll buy the under, but not Sox at -165 or so, TB or pass.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#13
anyone know the day/night splits for these pitchers?
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Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#14
Looks like Boston has won this game six straight years.
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AnotherLoan
SBR MVP
07-21-08
2225
#15
Originally posted by 2daBank
and the expected is what exactly in this case?
That there's no way the Sox can get swept and Lackey will shut down the Rays.
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THE PROFIT
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-09
17701
#16
BTJ must think I'm coachin' these boys!!!!
If they have a manager worth a shit they are in the fukin bed! And not with a beantown whore in it!
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THE PROFIT
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-09
17701
#17
L8 sox have scored that many themselves on pats day
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Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#18
Originally posted by THE PROFIT
BTJ must think I'm coachin' these boys!!!!
If they have a manager worth a shit they are in the fukin bed! And not with a beantown whore in it!
This isn't the 8th grade field trip to Washington DC....a bit harder to control these rich young ballplayers.
I'm going under, maybe 1st 5 under also, and pass the side or small on TB.
Matchbook will have this one live, should have good liquidity being the only game on, that's why I'd like a small starting bet on TB.
I hate getting up this early for a game, too !
How's traffic , Jeem with this game and the Marathon both going at 11 am ?
Are you running this year, BTJ ?
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Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#19
Originally posted by THE PROFIT
L8 sox have scored that many themselves on pats day
Boston has scored 9+ runs on this day for 8 straight years, is that what you're saying ?
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Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#20
Originally posted by BEANTOWNJIM
DOUG RIGHT NOW ITS MIDNIGHT DO YOU THINK THE RAYS ARE IN THE HOTEL JERKING OFF OR DO YOU THINK THE PLAYERS ARE DOWN THE NORTH END EATING ITALIAN FOOD AND CHASING BROADS.COME ON BOYS THIS IS A NO BRAINER THE RAYS WONT FEEL LIKE PLAYING TOMORROW MORNING AT 11 A.M.
THESE ARE YOUNG ATHLETES WITH MILLIONS OF DOLLARS I DOUBT THEY ARE IN BED PREPARING FOR A GAME TOMORROW AT 11 A.M.
BOTH TEAMS WILL BE JUST GOING THROUGH THE MOTIONS IT WILL BE A LAZY PLAYED GAMES I JUST HOPE THE PITCHERS ARE ON AND THROWING STRIKES
I JUST BET THE UNDER 9 600-500 I JUST HOPE THE PLAYERS ARE UP LATE TONIGHT AND FEEL LIKE SHIT IN THE MORNING.
JERY REMY SAID IN THE PAST THE BALLPLAYERS HATE THESE EARLY STARTS THEY DONT HAVE TIME TO STRETCH AND INSTEAD OF DRINKING POWERADE THEY ARE DRINKING COFFEE.THATS WHAT JERRY REMY SAYS
UNDER 9 GO TO THE BANK BOYS
I GRIN WHEN I WIN
Under sure isn't the trend..... I might just leave this one alone, and bet it after I see an inning or two.
Sox have won thier last 6, and 8-1 over the last 9.
Since 2003 the Sox have averaged 8 runs per game, last 9 scores, 12-1; 8-3; 7-2; 7-6; 12-7; 5-4; 6-11
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#21
while all that is true, dare i say there bats are not nearly as scary as they have been in the past
Comment
Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#22
I started with an overnite position on Boston -161 for a fairly large stake, trying for some Boston -1.5 +128 for a lesser amount, but will can that offer in about 30 minutes when I go to bed ( 3 am usually).
I think the line will move towards Bosox being a bigger fav. I'm not touching the total, until in-game.
This should be a great game for live trading.....between half-innings for me....I don't do between pitches, type of SHIT....I'm not really looking for fishing in a barrel, but not above it, either.
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THE PROFIT
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-09
17701
#23
TB scored 7 today, the trends from the past point to over, everyone is expecting sox bats to get hot
I dont see why everyone likes under
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#24
Originally posted by THE PROFIT
TB scored 7 today, the trends from the past point to over, everyone is expecting sox bats to get hot
I dont see why everyone likes under
because i base little to nothing off previous years trends but if you like trends how about sox typically win this game and only way i see that is if Lackey pitches well....i certainly dont expect sox bats to get hot anytime soon as there lineup really isnt that strong imo
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Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#25
I'm starting with Boston -161 and Boston -1.5 +127 ( filled it), roughly 3x more on the ML. No total bet
My initial success would be to beat the closing line. I may trade against these positions...would love to see Boston get 3+ runs in the 1st., then get some TB at +350 or something, then TB go ahead, get Bos as a dog.......every half inning.
I prefer starting with the dog, when I trade a live game.
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BEANTOWNJIM
SBR MVP
08-12-05
4610
#26
THIS IS THE FIRST YEAR THE RED SOX HAVE PLAYED A GOOD TEAM ON PATRIOTS DAY WHEN YOU POST THE NUMBERS WHY DIDNT YOU POST WHO THEY PLAYED IN ALL THOSE GAMES THAT WENT OVER.I'LL BET YOU WILL FIND THEY ALWAYS SCHEDULED AND EASY TEAM ON THAT DAY BECAUSE THIS GAME ALWAYS SELLS OUT WICH WASNT ALWAYS THE CASE.
I'LL BET YOU THE RED SOX NEVER PLAYED THE YANKEES ON PATRIOTS DAY I MIGHT BE WRONG BUT I DONT THINK SO.
THIS IS A DEAD UNDER FELLAS LACKEY SHUTS DOWN THE RAYS AND THE SOX ARENT HITTING
I GRIN WHEN I WIN
THIS IS A LOCAL HOLIDAY WHO GIVES A F-CK 90% OF THE PEOPLE HAVE TO WORK TODAY ITS A POLITICIANS HOLIDAY THEY ARE TALKING OF DOING AWAY WITH THIS PHONY HOLIDAY.THE MAILMEN WORK TODAY
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Doug
SBR Hall of Famer
08-10-05
6324
#27
Originally posted by BEANTOWNJIM
THIS IS THE FIRST YEAR THE RED SOX HAVE PLAYED A GOOD TEAM ON PATRIOTS DAY WHEN YOU POST THE NUMBERS WHY DIDNT YOU POST WHO THEY PLAYED IN ALL THOSE GAMES THAT WENT OVER.I'LL BET YOU WILL FIND THEY ALWAYS SCHEDULED AND EASY TEAM ON THAT DAY BECAUSE THIS GAME ALWAYS SELLS OUT WICH WASNT ALWAYS THE CASE.
I don't think the Sox get to choose their opponent.
I'LL BET YOU THE RED SOX NEVER PLAYED THE YANKEES ON PATRIOTS DAY I MIGHT BE WRONG BUT I DONT THINK SO.
THIS IS A DEAD UNDER FELLAS LACKEY SHUTS DOWN THE RAYS AND THE SOX ARENT HITTING
I GRIN WHEN I WIN
THIS IS A LOCAL HOLIDAY WHO GIVES A F-CK 90% OF THE PEOPLE HAVE TO WORK TODAY ITS A POLITICIANS HOLIDAY THEY ARE TALKING OF DOING AWAY WITH THIS PHONY HOLIDAY.THE MAILMEN WORK TODAY
It is a bogus holiday. Nevada has a similar situation, Halloween is a state holiday.Oct 31st, actually statehood day.
So much for this game !
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AnotherLoan
SBR MVP
07-21-08
2225
#28
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wantitall4moi
SBR MVP
04-17-10
3063
#29
Guess people have never heard the old philosophy, dont bet against a streak, winning or losing. Problem is people do just what they always do either jump on too late or try to beat the streak.