BEANER, Sox on Patriot's day ?

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  • Doug
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-05
    • 6324

    #1
    BEANER, Sox on Patriot's day ?
    Any special insight to that game ?

    I'm leaning TB before looking into this game deeper.
  • BEANTOWNJIM
    SBR MVP
    • 08-12-05
    • 4610

    #2
    DOUG IN THE PAST THE GAMES TEND TO GO UNDER.THE PLAYERS HAVE TO BE AT THE BALLPARK AT 9.A.M. THERE BODIES ARENT USED TO THIS EARLY START.ATHLETES BODIES ARE ON CLOCKS THEY DONT LIKE CHANGE AND A GAME STARTING AT 11 A.M IS A BIG CHANGE IN THERE LIFESTYLES.

    ITS VERY SIMILIAR TO MY MARTIN LUTHER KING BIRTHDAY THE PLAYERS ARE UP LATE AND THEY ARE USED TO PLAYING NIGHT GAMES NOW YOU ARE ASKING THEM TO PLAY AT 11 AM IN THE MORNING THEY JUST DONT GET INTO IT.

    TAKE THE UNDER 9 DOUG LACKEY WILL PITCH WELL HE OWNS TAMPA BAY AND THE RED SOX ARENT HITTING THIS HAS UNDER WRITTEN ALL OVER IT.

    GAME TIME TEMPETURE 45 WITH SUN IF I PLAY THE GAME I WILL GO UNDER AND HOPE LACKEY PITCHES A GEM.
    Comment
    • BEANTOWNJIM
      SBR MVP
      • 08-12-05
      • 4610

      #3
      DOUG BEFORE YOU BET TAMPA BAY LOOK AT LACKEYS CAREER RECORD AGAINST TAMPA BAY I THINK HE OWNS THEM

      I JUST LOOKED AT THE GAME AND THE TOTAL IS UNDER 9 -125
      Comment
      • AnotherLoan
        SBR MVP
        • 07-21-08
        • 2225

        #4
        9-2 with a 3.07 era against the rays in 12 starts
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          glad to hear that Beaner, all over the under myself
          Comment
          • Brock Landers
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 06-30-08
            • 45359

            #6
            Boston has been Whore shit, take the rays and the big + money
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              Originally posted by Brock Landers
              Boston has been Whore shit, take the rays and the big + money

              ive been on TB but its just hard for me to take a team looking for a 4 game road sweep and Lackey has been solid
              Comment
              • AnotherLoan
                SBR MVP
                • 07-21-08
                • 2225

                #8
                Originally posted by 2daBank
                ive been on TB but its just hard for me to take a team looking for a 4 game road sweep and Lackey has been solid
                Expect the unexpected.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  Originally posted by AnotherLoan
                  Expect the unexpected.

                  and the expected is what exactly in this case?
                  Comment
                  • Doug
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 6324

                    #10
                    I don't like to lay big juice on teams that have lost like 5 in a row, still thinking about the side. I have to look at the stats a bit, just thinking now

                    Here's another oddity of this game, neither team is traveling on a Sunday. I'll look into the under. 9.5 would be nicer.
                    Comment
                    • BEANTOWNJIM
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-12-05
                      • 4610

                      #11
                      DOUG RIGHT NOW ITS MIDNIGHT DO YOU THINK THE RAYS ARE IN THE HOTEL JERKING OFF OR DO YOU THINK THE PLAYERS ARE DOWN THE NORTH END EATING ITALIAN FOOD AND CHASING BROADS.COME ON BOYS THIS IS A NO BRAINER THE RAYS WONT FEEL LIKE PLAYING TOMORROW MORNING AT 11 A.M.

                      THESE ARE YOUNG ATHLETES WITH MILLIONS OF DOLLARS I DOUBT THEY ARE IN BED PREPARING FOR A GAME TOMORROW AT 11 A.M.

                      BOTH TEAMS WILL BE JUST GOING THROUGH THE MOTIONS IT WILL BE A LAZY PLAYED GAMES I JUST HOPE THE PITCHERS ARE ON AND THROWING STRIKES

                      I JUST BET THE UNDER 9 600-500 I JUST HOPE THE PLAYERS ARE UP LATE TONIGHT AND FEEL LIKE SHIT IN THE MORNING.

                      JERY REMY SAID IN THE PAST THE BALLPLAYERS HATE THESE EARLY STARTS THEY DONT HAVE TIME TO STRETCH AND INSTEAD OF DRINKING POWERADE THEY ARE DRINKING COFFEE.THATS WHAT JERRY REMY SAYS

                      UNDER 9 GO TO THE BANK BOYS

                      I GRIN WHEN I WIN
                      Comment
                      • Doug
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 6324

                        #12
                        I'll buy the under, but not Sox at -165 or so, TB or pass.
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          anyone know the day/night splits for these pitchers?
                          Comment
                          • Doug
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 6324

                            #14
                            Looks like Boston has won this game six straight years.
                            Comment
                            • AnotherLoan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-21-08
                              • 2225

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              and the expected is what exactly in this case?
                              That there's no way the Sox can get swept and Lackey will shut down the Rays.
                              Comment
                              • THE PROFIT
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-27-09
                                • 17701

                                #16
                                BTJ must think I'm coachin' these boys!!!!

                                If they have a manager worth a shit they are in the fukin bed! And not with a beantown whore in it!
                                Comment
                                • THE PROFIT
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-27-09
                                  • 17701

                                  #17
                                  L8 sox have scored that many themselves on pats day
                                  Comment
                                  • Doug
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 6324

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by THE PROFIT
                                    BTJ must think I'm coachin' these boys!!!!

                                    If they have a manager worth a shit they are in the fukin bed! And not with a beantown whore in it!
                                    This isn't the 8th grade field trip to Washington DC....a bit harder to control these rich young ballplayers.

                                    I'm going under, maybe 1st 5 under also, and pass the side or small on TB.

                                    Matchbook will have this one live, should have good liquidity being the only game on, that's why I'd like a small starting bet on TB.

                                    I hate getting up this early for a game, too !

                                    How's traffic , Jeem with this game and the Marathon both going at 11 am ?

                                    Are you running this year, BTJ ?
                                    Comment
                                    • Doug
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 6324

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by THE PROFIT
                                      L8 sox have scored that many themselves on pats day
                                      Boston has scored 9+ runs on this day for 8 straight years, is that what you're saying ?
                                      Comment
                                      • Doug
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 6324

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BEANTOWNJIM
                                        DOUG RIGHT NOW ITS MIDNIGHT DO YOU THINK THE RAYS ARE IN THE HOTEL JERKING OFF OR DO YOU THINK THE PLAYERS ARE DOWN THE NORTH END EATING ITALIAN FOOD AND CHASING BROADS.COME ON BOYS THIS IS A NO BRAINER THE RAYS WONT FEEL LIKE PLAYING TOMORROW MORNING AT 11 A.M.

                                        THESE ARE YOUNG ATHLETES WITH MILLIONS OF DOLLARS I DOUBT THEY ARE IN BED PREPARING FOR A GAME TOMORROW AT 11 A.M.

                                        BOTH TEAMS WILL BE JUST GOING THROUGH THE MOTIONS IT WILL BE A LAZY PLAYED GAMES I JUST HOPE THE PITCHERS ARE ON AND THROWING STRIKES

                                        I JUST BET THE UNDER 9 600-500 I JUST HOPE THE PLAYERS ARE UP LATE TONIGHT AND FEEL LIKE SHIT IN THE MORNING.

                                        JERY REMY SAID IN THE PAST THE BALLPLAYERS HATE THESE EARLY STARTS THEY DONT HAVE TIME TO STRETCH AND INSTEAD OF DRINKING POWERADE THEY ARE DRINKING COFFEE.THATS WHAT JERRY REMY SAYS

                                        UNDER 9 GO TO THE BANK BOYS

                                        I GRIN WHEN I WIN
                                        Under sure isn't the trend..... I might just leave this one alone, and bet it after I see an inning or two.

                                        Sox have won thier last 6, and 8-1 over the last 9.

                                        Since 2003 the Sox have averaged 8 runs per game, last 9 scores, 12-1; 8-3; 7-2; 7-6; 12-7; 5-4; 6-11
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          while all that is true, dare i say there bats are not nearly as scary as they have been in the past
                                          Comment
                                          • Doug
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 6324

                                            #22
                                            I started with an overnite position on Boston -161 for a fairly large stake, trying for some Boston -1.5 +128 for a lesser amount, but will can that offer in about 30 minutes when I go to bed ( 3 am usually).

                                            I think the line will move towards Bosox being a bigger fav. I'm not touching the total, until in-game.

                                            This should be a great game for live trading.....between half-innings for me....I don't do between pitches, type of SHIT....I'm not really looking for fishing in a barrel, but not above it, either.
                                            Comment
                                            • THE PROFIT
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-27-09
                                              • 17701

                                              #23
                                              TB scored 7 today, the trends from the past point to over, everyone is expecting sox bats to get hot

                                              I dont see why everyone likes under
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by THE PROFIT
                                                TB scored 7 today, the trends from the past point to over, everyone is expecting sox bats to get hot

                                                I dont see why everyone likes under

                                                because i base little to nothing off previous years trends but if you like trends how about sox typically win this game and only way i see that is if Lackey pitches well....i certainly dont expect sox bats to get hot anytime soon as there lineup really isnt that strong imo
                                                Comment
                                                • Doug
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 6324

                                                  #25
                                                  I'm starting with Boston -161 and Boston -1.5 +127 ( filled it), roughly 3x more on the ML. No total bet

                                                  My initial success would be to beat the closing line. I may trade against these positions...would love to see Boston get 3+ runs in the 1st., then get some TB at +350 or something, then TB go ahead, get Bos as a dog.......every half inning.

                                                  I prefer starting with the dog, when I trade a live game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BEANTOWNJIM
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-12-05
                                                    • 4610

                                                    #26
                                                    THIS IS THE FIRST YEAR THE RED SOX HAVE PLAYED A GOOD TEAM ON PATRIOTS DAY WHEN YOU POST THE NUMBERS WHY DIDNT YOU POST WHO THEY PLAYED IN ALL THOSE GAMES THAT WENT OVER.I'LL BET YOU WILL FIND THEY ALWAYS SCHEDULED AND EASY TEAM ON THAT DAY BECAUSE THIS GAME ALWAYS SELLS OUT WICH WASNT ALWAYS THE CASE.

                                                    I'LL BET YOU THE RED SOX NEVER PLAYED THE YANKEES ON PATRIOTS DAY I MIGHT BE WRONG BUT I DONT THINK SO.

                                                    THIS IS A DEAD UNDER FELLAS LACKEY SHUTS DOWN THE RAYS AND THE SOX ARENT HITTING

                                                    I GRIN WHEN I WIN

                                                    THIS IS A LOCAL HOLIDAY WHO GIVES A F-CK 90% OF THE PEOPLE HAVE TO WORK TODAY ITS A POLITICIANS HOLIDAY THEY ARE TALKING OF DOING AWAY WITH THIS PHONY HOLIDAY.THE MAILMEN WORK TODAY
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Doug
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                      • 6324

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BEANTOWNJIM
                                                      THIS IS THE FIRST YEAR THE RED SOX HAVE PLAYED A GOOD TEAM ON PATRIOTS DAY WHEN YOU POST THE NUMBERS WHY DIDNT YOU POST WHO THEY PLAYED IN ALL THOSE GAMES THAT WENT OVER.I'LL BET YOU WILL FIND THEY ALWAYS SCHEDULED AND EASY TEAM ON THAT DAY BECAUSE THIS GAME ALWAYS SELLS OUT WICH WASNT ALWAYS THE CASE.

                                                      I don't think the Sox get to choose their opponent.

                                                      I'LL BET YOU THE RED SOX NEVER PLAYED THE YANKEES ON PATRIOTS DAY I MIGHT BE WRONG BUT I DONT THINK SO.

                                                      THIS IS A DEAD UNDER FELLAS LACKEY SHUTS DOWN THE RAYS AND THE SOX ARENT HITTING

                                                      I GRIN WHEN I WIN

                                                      THIS IS A LOCAL HOLIDAY WHO GIVES A F-CK 90% OF THE PEOPLE HAVE TO WORK TODAY ITS A POLITICIANS HOLIDAY THEY ARE TALKING OF DOING AWAY WITH THIS PHONY HOLIDAY.THE MAILMEN WORK TODAY
                                                      It is a bogus holiday. Nevada has a similar situation, Halloween is a state holiday.Oct 31st, actually statehood day.

                                                      So much for this game !
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AnotherLoan
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-21-08
                                                        • 2225

                                                        #28
                                                        Comment
                                                        • wantitall4moi
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-17-10
                                                          • 3063

                                                          #29
                                                          Guess people have never heard the old philosophy, dont bet against a streak, winning or losing. Problem is people do just what they always do either jump on too late or try to beat the streak.
                                                          Comment
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