It's time to fade Dr. Bob

[biggamer3]

I've said this before. It's much easier to find a guy that hits 45% then it is to find a guy that hits 55%.

Wow when you think of this, that is really true!

Now let me speak to my brother who ****in emptys his accounts faster than JJ Gold

[raiders72002]

in emptys his accounts faster than JJ Gold

Coach will be back. His posted picks aren't too good but his video plays are great.

[indianachris]

Coach will be back. His posted picks aren't too good but his video plays are great.

For some reason the few videos I watched reminded me of the Tourette guy's videos on youtube.com.

http://youtube.com/watch?v=rqtr_RvR3sY

[WileOut]

Mario loses the little bets but he hits walkoff homers 3 or 4 times a year and makes a killing.

When you make several 25-50 dime bets a year, the little nickel/dime bets mean nothing to your bottom line. They are just for enjoyment.

[raiders72002]

Dr. Bob 0-2 yesterday, thank you. He'll be out of business in a month, slaughter rule.

[Wheell]

Bob's methods are still sound. I expect him to bounce back.

[raiders72002]

His methods are only as solid as the programs that he writes. He's lost it. Time to ditch the program.

[raiders72002]

His NFL plays

o37.5 TB
Hou +3
Indy +5.5
Phil +3

[Wheell]

I'm sitting out phil and hou, backing Indy +6, backing over TB 37. GL Bob.

Any idea who in college is getting the Bob boost?

[hhsilver]

I didn't see the wild line changes that usually accompany his picks yesterday afternoon. About all I remember (there may be others) is Ohio U went up fast at that point. But, did i hear something about the Temple QB being out? If so, line change may have been caused by that.

[pokernut9999]

games are

303
304

335
336

329
330

341
342

337
338

369
370

399
400

325
326

[Wheell]

Dr. Bob knocked out the temple QB. That's talent.

[raiders72002]

78-111-3 Thank You Dr. Bob . Plus he was getting the best lines. After he moved the line it was even better.

Bowl Results
My bad season in College Football continued with an 0-2 on my Best Bets on New Year's Day, losing 2-Stars on Wisconsin and 2-Stars on Hawaii. I finished with a disappointing 3- 5 record on my Bowl Best Bets and my opinions are 9-10 after losing all 3 opinions on Tuesday.

Season to Date Results
I was just 3-5 on my Bowl Best Bets and I finished the season at a very poor 32-42-1 on my College Best Bets and 78-111-3 on a Star Basis for the season. My analysis obviously wasn't as good as it has been in recent years, but it wasn't as bad as my record would indicate either (College Best Bet Season Recap). I used the same methods this season that I used in winning 64% of my College Best Bets the previous 3 years, 59% the last 9 years and 57% over 20 years, but there are always going to be bad years regardless of how well my math model and situational analysis works in the long run.

It's just been one of those strange years when I've lost a lot of games when I've been on the right side and haven't had any lucky wins. I spent some time doing a College Best Bet Season Recap to make sure I wasn't just conveniently forgetting about some lucky wins I may have had earlier in the year. I also wanted to see if my handicapping was simply way off this year. What I found is what I suspected - that my handicapping hasn't been nearly as bad as my record. I urge you all to read the recap to see what I'm talking about. I'm not making excuses for why I'm having a losing season because losing seasons happen (this is my 5th in 21 years), but rather explaining why losing seasons happen even when the analysis is pretty good. I've also had seasons when my record was better than it should have been, like my 74% season in 2005 (I would have been 66% without the good luck that was on my side that year).

I know a lot of you are new to my service this year and may be doubting my handicapping, but people doubted me after a losing season in 2003 and those people that quit my service after that season missed out on my 58.5% winners on College Best Bets in 4 years since then (470-334-17 on a Star Basis), which includes my horrible season this year (see the season results chart below).

I will spend the off-season doing a thorough analysis of my methods (just as I did after my losing 2003 season) and I will make any necessary adjustments - although I am likely to find that this year was more about random negative variance than a flaw in my methods, which have worked great for me over the years.

The stock market has down years too, but like my service stocks have a long term history of being profitable and one down year in the stock market doesn't mean that stocks are no longer a good investment going forward. Unfortunately, a lot of gamblers don't have a long term perspective. I am grateful that most of my clients are intelligent, analytical people that understand long term success is the goal and that variability is a part of all good investments. Thankfully, I've never had consecutive losing seasons in football or basketball over my 21 years and hopefully my pattern of bouncing back with a very good year following my 5 losing seasons will continue next year.

I am getting some emails from clients that claim that I scammed them or ripped them off, which I find to be completely insulting. I have always been completely honest about my performance, good or bad, so I don't see how that can be construed as scamming someone. It would be different if I lied about my record to get you to sign up, but I have never lied about my record and fully admit on my site that I was having a bad year - updating my record every week just as I did in my recent winning seasons. I can understand being frustrated if you weren't a part of my winning seasons, but me having a losing season does not mean that I scammed you and your investment is likely to pay off in the long run (at least it always has before). You can complain about my record this year but I don't deserve to have my integrity questioned.

I know some of you won't be back next season, but I hope that you consider my long term record (last 9 years below) and my history of bouncing back after bad seasons before deciding that you no longer want to be a part of my service.

Sincerely,
Dr Bob


Year 5-Star 4-Star 3-Star 2- Star Total Star Basis
2007 0-0 1-5 12-17-1 19-20 32-42- 1 78-111-3

[durito]

..

[CHALKbreaker]

I don't have any problem with Dr Bob. I mean he is one of the ONLY "touts" I know who actually DOES put out BOTH his YTD record, and long term record, and I have never seen anyone claim he fudges his records. Only that he often gets a better line, because his plays always move a few points after he releases them (well they did when he was hot).

Like ANY big tout/service they go 70% one year (Dr Bob was near 80% a couple years ago in college football), and people think they are God. Then they follow it up with a 30% effort, and everyone says they are a big scam.

I call it KARMA...Bob had that huge year..Over 75% in college...Wall Street Journal wrote him up...Every trade magazine had articles on him..Every radio show talked about him,dadada. THEN you have EVERY black cat on the planet tailing his picks. I don't care what kind of statistical numbers you have. When you have the karma of so many losers tailing you, your bound to go down in flames as he has. He'll say its just statistical variance, but I have seen this time and time again. As soon as everyone starts following a tout it is the time you fade them folks!

[raiders72002]

i like how you cut off the records from the last 8 years below that.

My original statement was it's time to start fading Dr. Bob. It has nothing to do with the previous years. I hope he's around for the rest of the bowl season.

[raiders72002]

Sound of Silence said that he's being sued for Malpractice!

[Wheell]

Disagree, I would take Dr. Bob picks against the sides he bets against. You up for a gentleman's wager raiders? I get bob, you fade Bob.

[raiders72002]

Sure- I don't think Bob will improve upon that 41% win rate. He's in a deep hole and I don't expect him to see daylight again.

[CHALKbreaker]

looks like he was $$$ fading tonight...He had OU, correct?
Talk about never getting a sniff.

[durito]

..

[Wheell]

Gentleman, don't bury a team that isn't dead. OU can win this.

[Wheell]

It's just a flesh wound.

[CHALKbreaker]

Gentleman, don't bury a team that isn't dead. OU can win this.

Do you do stand up comedy on the side?

[Wheell]

WV deserves to lose for not going for 2 when up 19. And the announcers are idiotic for not noticing either then, or later when O scored. Their comment was (after failing to score on the last 2 two point conversions they've given up on them). No, when down 20 you go for 1 if you score a touchdown. Final score = 42-41 OU.

[CHALKbreaker]

It meant nothing. Their is no need to worry about a measly 2 points when your team is FAR superior.

[Wheell]

It might not have come back to haunt them, but it was a mistake and sooner or later it will bite some team in the ass.

[accuscoresucks]

you are all trying to hard the ''wonderdoggie''http://www.freeunderdog.com/
specializes in going 40% at best using value payoff lines imagine the cash in general you can make fading this freak,and if he hits the regular slumpy dumpy your bankroll grows bigger

[theroos]

Save your $.

[durito]

bumping old raiders threads is always funny