You assign numbers to all games available every night (lets assume 20 games in all NBA, NHL, NCAA). Then you do a raffle and pick one game. Then you flip a coin and pick a side. Is the probability to win still 50%?
-
-
i would expect very long term to get around near 50%
but that is based on a belief that efficiency rules all the markets mentioned. additionally you might hit a stretch of more favs covering or vice versa. so if you did this everyday for 3 years, i would expect something within an acceptable range of 50%.Comment -
If you did it, you'll probably end up around 50% (within the margin of error) now on the other hand if I did it, i would probably end up somewhere around 30%.Comment